LOL you may not realize it but you prove my point exactly that these big lumbering corporations (the Japanese especially) develop a grand long range business plan that is often (even detrimentally) very slow to pivot with quickly changing market forces. Sony bursting into the professional mirrorless arena simply forced everybody to move up their existing timetables.
My evaluation stands that Canon never had any huge plans for the M System (history of course bears this out). It was designed to be a system that filled a specific spot in the marketplace and reach no further (Canon has always been ultra-protective of their upper echelons of products). In this role the M System (and the EF-M mount) also served as a placeholder until the R System (and RF mount) was ready for release. IMHO the R System represents a HUGE step forward in Canon’s business model, limiting full compatibility to only Canon’s (truly awesome) proprietary RF autofocus lenses, and improving profitability in their ever important lens division, while also keeping compatibility with its huge existing population of EF lenses. Brilliant move Canon.
Personally I think we can all benefit from this new lineup if/when we are ready for something beyond the M System (many here are in fact doing exactly that). And as wonderfully capable as the new R System is, it’s completely amazing that there’s still room to keep the M System in our bags! We all know the reason, because it’s still the smallest and lightest and funnest lineup of cameras and lenses out there. :-D
And that was exactly according to Canon’s plan. ;-)
R2
You make a good case with many solid points that ring true. nnowak brings up an interesting angle — Sony's entrance into the field with full-frame mirrorless — although my understanding is that Sony's market share with those was kind of small.
But, in both these analyses something's missing: price. Let me put it this way. Imagine if Cadillac were to suddenly bring forth a fabulous, game-changing hydrogen fuel-cell car with 600-mile range, excellent power, speed and comfort, breathtaking styling and 10-year, 100,000-mile engine and drive train warranty for the full cost of parts and labor. All that for only $95,000 plus sales tax and delivery charge. Wow, right? Well, yes, for those who could afford one and would be willing to spend that much for one.
For many of us who are amateurs with no intention of going pro, with no chance to amortize our gear outlays on our taxes, the price of a good full-frame R-mount camera with a couple of good lenses is daunting. And, for me, at least anytime soon, the siren-call of a new APS-C R-mount Canon does not ring loudly in my ears. If I were to feel my M gear and some of my other cameras were unsatisfactory it might be different. But that's not the case.
Will I never move up to an R-mount camera? I won't say that. A few years on if a good deal, especially on a full-frame model and lens comes along in the secondary marketplace, I might go for it. I suspect I'm not alone in looking at it this way.