PC Watch posts megapixel comparison

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Enjoy it while you can. Of course you conveniently forgot to mention the CF has been out for quite a bit longer than Memorysticks. Keep looking over your shoulder because there is a new game in town and you may find yourself eating dust before you know it!

Oh yes, I also hope you enjoy using the Microdrive in the Nikon 990...oh...you can't?...Oh yes... incompatible CF Types!! I remember!
Rodger Carter wrote:
seriously misrepresenting the current state of the storage market.
 
Bobby Bobby Bobby -

When the best final answer little Bobby can come up with is basically translatable to "nyah nyah, its the way I say because I want it that way or I'm gonna throw a tantrum" its time to close the thread. You post to steve a few lines below this on is particularily amusing in this regard.

I am not advocating the side of any "criminals" - either the crackers and pirates, or the usurious corporate rapists like sony (how much of the profit from their music do you think artists actually see anyway? It is scant percentage points at best - the record company execs make more off of a recording than the aritists do).

I am simply pointing out a fact of life - people are basically motivated to get as much as they can for as little personal cost as possible, and while the computer illiterate portion of the population will continue to support the sony empire (and other record companies) by paying their inflated prices for products, anyone with a little internet savvy and some friends to share it with will buy one copy of a recording and immediately share it. The same way you made tapes of your old LPs to share with your friends and vice versa. It is just that now the technology exists to make higher fidelity copies of the original.
Your primary argument is null and void - do a websearch on warez and
magicgate - people are already writing software tools that have rendered
the magicgate "anti-piracy" scheme useless. There is not a company in
the world that will ever create a consumer level copy protection scheme
that won't be cracked virtually before it hits the market. The only
truly "secure" distribution system is public-private key encryption - and
there is no way any company is going to find it cost effective to produce
individually encrypted products for each consumer.
 
I am amazed at your enormous ability to rationalize...even to the point of absurdity!
I am not advocating the side of any "criminals" - either the crackers and
pirates, or the usurious corporate rapists like sony (how much of the
profit from their music do you think artists actually see anyway? It is
scant percentage points at best - the record company execs make more off
of a recording than the aritists do).
Have a look at this "short" list and pick out the poor exploited artists who are not seeing any profit from their association with Sony Music http://www.sonymusic.com/artists/full.html

You are free to write and ask any artist on that list if they think it is all right for you to make a few dozen copies of their latest album..."LPs to share with your friends and vice versa." I wonder what kind of an answer you will get from the down-trodden artist? It isn't hard to guess...and it won't be..."Sure, make all the copies you want..it's a fact of life!!"
I am simply pointing out a fact of life - people are basically motivated
to get as much as they can for as little personal cost as possible, and
while the computer illiterate portion of the population will continue to
support the sony empire (and other record companies) by paying their
inflated prices for products, anyone with a little internet savvy and
some friends to share it with will buy one copy of a recording and
immediately share it. The same way you made tapes of your old LPs to
share with your friends and vice versa. It is just that now the
technology exists to make higher fidelity copies of the original.
It's also a fact of life that people have their doors smashed in and their computers, cameras, VCRs, stereos are stolen yet, I would guess you still have a lock on your door. Or, do you leave your door unlocked because you want to share with the less fortunate? I suppose that is because the companies that make those electronic products price them so high ("inflated prices for products") that people without a lot of money can't afford them and, of course, that justifys those people stealing them from YOU!

Your argument is that because it's possible to pirate, ("...anyone with a little internet savvy and some friends to share it with will buy one copy of a recording and immediately share it...") it is right to pirate because of the "inflated prices for products". Have you ever thought that part of the "inflated price" is to counteract the loss because of illegal copying?

If you found the door of a house or apartment open, would you go in and take something just because you could? The same with pirating software or music or videos...just because you can doesn't justify doing it or make it right!
 
Enjoy it while you can. Of course you conveniently forgot to mention the
CF has been out for quite a bit longer than Memorysticks. Keep looking
over your shoulder because there is a new game in town and you may find
yourself eating dust before you know it!
Not Likely.

Memory Stick is Stuck

As is turns out memory stick uses the same basic flash ram chips that SM and CF does. But with a twist. Memory Stick can only contain TWO flash chips. Since today's flash chips are 256Mbits that leaves them with a maximum capacity of 512Mbits today -- in other words, 64Mbytes.

Compact Flash I architecture can hold EIGHT flash chips, giving it a max capacity with today's flash technology of 2048Mbits or 256Mbytes.

Thus, despite the ballyhooing about MS, it will ALWAYS be 1/4 the architectural capacity of CFI unless Sony begins using proprietary flash chips as well -- not very likely.

Next, let's turn to the claim of 1.3Gb on Memory Stick by 2002. The flash industry is currently shipping 256Mbit chips with plans to ship 512 Mbit chips by the end of 2000 and 1024Mbit chips in 2001. Thus we can derive the likely capacity landscape as follows:

Today End of 2000 2001
(256Mbit) (512 Mbit) (1024 Mbit)

CF I (Ram) 256 512 1024
CF II (Ram) 320 640 ???
CF II (Drive) 340 1000 ???
Memory Stick 64 128 256

In order for the 1.3G claim to come true, flash manufacturers would have to have a 500% increase in circuit density between 2001 and 2002. Anyone familiar with the IC industry knows how utterly improbable that is.

So, Rodger, Bob, I've done my homework. Go verify my numbers in the February 2000 issue of JEI (Japan Electronics Industry).

Mike.
 
It's useless to argue this. Wait and see. Both of you have made some good points and some totally irrelevant ones. Time will tell.

John
Enjoy it while you can. Of course you conveniently forgot to mention the
CF has been out for quite a bit longer than Memorysticks. Keep looking
over your shoulder because there is a new game in town and you may find
yourself eating dust before you know it!
Not Likely.

Memory Stick is Stuck

As is turns out memory stick uses the same basic flash ram chips that SM
and CF does. But with a twist. Memory Stick can only contain TWO flash
chips. Since today's flash chips are 256Mbits that leaves them with a
maximum capacity of 512Mbits today -- in other words, 64Mbytes.

Compact Flash I architecture can hold EIGHT flash chips, giving it a max
capacity with today's flash technology of 2048Mbits or 256Mbytes.

Thus, despite the ballyhooing about MS, it will ALWAYS be 1/4 the
architectural capacity of CFI unless Sony begins using proprietary flash
chips as well -- not very likely.

Next, let's turn to the claim of 1.3Gb on Memory Stick by 2002. The
flash industry is currently shipping 256Mbit chips with plans to ship 512
Mbit chips by the end of 2000 and 1024Mbit chips in 2001. Thus we can
derive the likely capacity landscape as follows:

Today End of 2000 2001
(256Mbit) (512 Mbit) (1024 Mbit)

CF I (Ram) 256 512 1024
CF II (Ram) 320 640 ???
CF II (Drive) 340 1000 ???
Memory Stick 64 128 256

In order for the 1.3G claim to come true, flash manufacturers would have
to have a 500% increase in circuit density between 2001 and 2002. Anyone
familiar with the IC industry knows how utterly improbable that is.

So, Rodger, Bob, I've done my homework. Go verify my numbers in the
February 2000 issue of JEI (Japan Electronics Industry).

Mike.
 
MIKE: “The difference here is that Memory Stick technology is not an industry-wide standard.”

ANS: You meant to say “The difference here is that Memory Stick technology is not an industry-wide standard YET: didn’t you?

MIKE: “It is a proprietary technology licensed by Sony to other manufacturers. And if you think that has no effect on product availability, think again. In the digicam space there are exactly 5 models of cameras which use Memory Stick; only two of them are shipping today. All 5 are manufactured by Sony. As of August 31, there were over 100 cameras models from over 30 different manufacturers using CF technology.”

ANS: Since Sony has just been licensing out the MS for only the past few months its hardly a surprise that digicams made in the past didn’t have them (duh). As to MS digicams, for 2000 Sony will have three Mavicas, three new DSC models as well as the 770 and 505. Since Sony accounted for 47% of U.S. digicam sales in 1999 and hit 50% later in the year (more than all the other brands you mentioned combined!), I’d say that MS will be off to a good start.

Sony took the top spot in sales for the category in 1999, claiming 47% dollar share, up from 42% in 1998. (NPD Intellect)

Top Five Digital Imaging Brands By Dollar Share, 1999
(Based on U.S. Sales Data)
Portable Digital 1999 Dollar Digital 1999 Dollar
Still Camera Brand Share (%) Camcorder Brand Share (%)
Sony 47.2 Sony 67.5
Olympus 17.3 JVC 22.2
Kodak 13.1 Canon 4.8
Nikon 7.4 Panasonic 4.5
Polaroid 3.1 Sharp 1.0

Digicam Sales, PC Magazine, 16 Nov 99, page 12

Sony – 50%
Kodak – 14%
Creative Labs – 12%
Olympus – 11%
HP – 4%
Toshiba – 2%
Nikon – 2%
Agfa – 1%
Cannon – 1%
All others (approx 20 mfrs) – 3%

MIKE: “CF Spec 1.4 ( http://www.compactflash.org/cfspc1_4.pdf does not specify ANY upper limit on storage size. (To be fair however, I surmize the limit would be reached by exceeding the bit addressibility of the number of sectors per track -- a 32 bit value. Since the current sector size (b/s) in use is 512, this would mean a limit of 2.1 billion sectors times 512 bytes each -- roughly 1 terabyte -- unless, of course manufacturers increased the sector size.)”

ANS: Are you saying that CFII has a potential capacity of 1 terabyte? Phil Askey says that the MS is the smallest for the capacity. Do you have a reference for your 1 terabyte figure? The CF Association web site seems to be a little behind. It has this to say about CF capacity: “Capacities? CF cards are available in capacities from 4MB to 64MB, storage densities that can effectively be doubled with the use of compression software.”

MIKE: “Look, I mentioned half a dozen devices that I PERSONALLY OWN and use today. At the end of this message, I've included a partial list of the HUNDREDS of devices YOU CAN BUY AND USE TODAY using CF. Secondly, it is hardly appropriate to compare jets & prop planes in this context. Current memory capacities are 500% higher on CF (64 vs 340). Thirdly, if your basing the dominance of MS on 40 manufacturers, think again. Here's the list of 140 manufacturers supporting CF:”

ANS: Nice list. How many actually sell products with CF, and, more important, how many will continue to do so when they see competitors taking their business away because products which use MS are cheaper and have numerous advantages over CF and SM that have been previously mentioned? By the way, what does that 340MB card sell for? If a 224MB CF (the highest I’ve seen advertised) goes for $889, the 340 would be well over a $1,000. Sure hate to pay more for a memory card than the entire camera!
ANS: Do you consider the Mavicas a failure on Sony’s part? If so,
I can guarantee you that every other digicam manufacture in the world
wishes they could fail so brilliantly. As to other floppy users, read on.
MIKE: “As a matter of fact I do think it's been a failure. Otherwise they wouldn't be inventing a new storage architecture.”

ANS: Mavica, the leading digicam by far with 40% of the U.S. market, a failure? What do you consider success? Perhaps Nikon now running at 2%, or Canon now running at 1%? Where exactly did you go to school? The 2000 Mavicas use floppies and MS. The new JPEG 2000 may make the floppy practical for many years to come. What choice of media does your camera allow?
It's nice to see someone other than Sony finally produce a digicam that
can use conventional floppy diskettes. (Steve’s Digicams re
Panasonic PV-SD4090 Superdisk digicam 16 Mar 00)
MIKE: If Sony were committed to the smashing success of the Mavica floppy approach, why wouldn't they use SuperDisk? Perhaps because it's not a Sony technology?

ANS: Panasonic has not exactly broken any sales records to date. Would you trade Mavica sales income for Panasonic sales income? (From your posts, I get the idea you might)
As to marketing hype, could you be more specific? Which of the
advantages of MS that I previously listed were in error. What technical
advantages does CF or SM have over MS? I don’t think we have any
marketers here, just users.
MIKE: “Yes let me be specific:

1. Can you give me ANY aspect of Memory Stick technology available today that is superior to (or even equal to) available CF technology?”

ANS: I guess you missed the list I previously posted. Let me repeat it for you (this is not my list, by the way):

In addition to price, Memory Sticks have a number of other advantages over CF and SM:

1. The most compact and space efficient of the various memory cards
2. The most rugged of available memory cards
3. Protected contacts
4. Has write protect
5. Fewer connecting pins
6. Less wear on contacts during insertion and removal
7. Small enough to fit into adapters for floppies and other memory cards
8. Up to 1.3GB capacity without increasing size of card

9. Made available for use in hundreds of different electronic devices by approximately 40 mfrs and increasing rapidly. This means that those who own Memory Sticks will not have to buy additional ones when they purchase any of these devices. It also means that CF and SM may become endangered species if digicam manufacturers decide that MS is the way to go.

“Of all the memory formats we've played with to date (December, 1999), we actually found ourselves liking the Memory Stick the most.” Imaging Resource

“The memory Stick technology will likely become the predominate flash memory medium for digicams.” Steve Giannoni

MIKE: 2. Can you name any manufacturer other than Sony that is putting memory stick in their PC's, Laptops, PDA's, etc.

ANS: As stated before, about 40 companies have been recently licensed to do so. Ask this question again in five years (if CF and SM are still being manufactured then)

MIKE: 3. If what we have here is "just users". then please stick to information that "users" can use. "Users" want information that is useful about making current and near term purchasing decisions. I don't think it is very helpful to cast aspersions on the market viability of CF just because Sony has announced "a plan".

ANS: I think it is very important for potential buyers of digicams to understand that MS is both cheaper and superior to SM and CF, that digicams using MS already have 50% of the digicam market and that share is increasing rapidly, and that those buy digicams now must take this situation into consideration when making their digicam choice.

MIKE: “Your fanciful prediction of the demise of CF in the shadow of MS dominance is unsupported by ANY facts. If you have 'em, show 'em in the same detail you find below.”

ANS: Time will tell. Your opinion and mine will not affect matters, but superior technology and much lower prices will.
Here's the list of Digicams YOU CAN BUY TODAY using CF:
ANS: Thanks for compiling that list of losers! I wonder how many will exist in a year or two? Almost all of them have sales well below 1% of the market! Actually, there are very few on that list I’ve even heard of. Maybe you ought to write a book for collectors: “Rare and Little Known Digicams that Disapppeared from the Market as Fast as they Appeared.”

A final comment by someone else that pretty well summarizes the situation:

Robert may have the reason wrong but the memory war is already over and Sony has won. The battles will go on for awhile but the outcome is clear. No Beta fiasco this time. Sony learned their lesson well and blindsided CF and SM and they will not be able to maintain market share. Already the memory stick has passed SM in capacity and will go past CF late this year. As already discussed earlier in this thread the price per MB is less then either one. Sony is adding companies at a rapid rate which will assure widespread use and availability in a short time. I predict that the marketing of the memory stick will end up being used in business schools as a model of how to penetrate an established market. John Burns

Rodger
 
This guy will never give up his opinions no matter how much evidence is brought up! If the hand of Gd came down (and took his picture with a Memorystick camera) he would still say "Yes, but..."

He can't see that there is a design limitation in CF cards that make it impossible to expand capacity without also changing form factor. I guess he never asked himself: If the Type I format can reach a Gigabyte in capacity, why did they waste all that time going to Type II?
Like you say, Time will tell. My investment in cameras is safe.
John
Enjoy it while you can. Of course you conveniently forgot to mention the
CF has been out for quite a bit longer than Memorysticks. Keep looking
over your shoulder because there is a new game in town and you may find
yourself eating dust before you know it!
Not Likely.

Memory Stick is Stuck

As is turns out memory stick uses the same basic flash ram chips that SM
and CF does. But with a twist. Memory Stick can only contain TWO flash
chips. Since today's flash chips are 256Mbits that leaves them with a
maximum capacity of 512Mbits today -- in other words, 64Mbytes.

Compact Flash I architecture can hold EIGHT flash chips, giving it a max
capacity with today's flash technology of 2048Mbits or 256Mbytes.

Thus, despite the ballyhooing about MS, it will ALWAYS be 1/4 the
architectural capacity of CFI unless Sony begins using proprietary flash
chips as well -- not very likely.

Next, let's turn to the claim of 1.3Gb on Memory Stick by 2002. The
flash industry is currently shipping 256Mbit chips with plans to ship 512
Mbit chips by the end of 2000 and 1024Mbit chips in 2001. Thus we can
derive the likely capacity landscape as follows:

Today End of 2000 2001
(256Mbit) (512 Mbit) (1024 Mbit)

CF I (Ram) 256 512 1024
CF II (Ram) 320 640 ???
CF II (Drive) 340 1000 ???
Memory Stick 64 128 256

In order for the 1.3G claim to come true, flash manufacturers would have
to have a 500% increase in circuit density between 2001 and 2002. Anyone
familiar with the IC industry knows how utterly improbable that is.

So, Rodger, Bob, I've done my homework. Go verify my numbers in the
February 2000 issue of JEI (Japan Electronics Industry).

Mike.
 
MIKE: “Memory Stick is Stuck. As is turns out memory stick uses the same basic flash ram chips that SM and CF does. But with a twist. Memory Stick can only contain TWO flash chips. Since today's flash chips are 256Mbits that leaves them with a maximum capacity of 512Mbits today -- in other words, 64Mbytes. Compact Flash I architecture can hold EIGHT flash chips, giving it a max capacity with today's flash technology of 2048Mbits or 256Mbytes. Thus, despite the ballyhooing about MS, it will ALWAYS be 1/4 the architectural capacity of CFI unless Sony begins using proprietary flash chips as well -- not very likely. Next, let's turn to the claim of 1.3Gb on Memory Stick by 2002. The flash industry is currently shipping 256Mbit chips with plans to ship 512 Mbit chips by the end of 2000 and 1024Mbit chips in 2001. Thus we can derive the likely capacity landscape as follows: Today End of 2000 2001 (256Mbit) (512 Mbit) (1024 Mbit)
CF I (Ram) 256 512 1024
CF II (Ram) 320 640 ???
CF II (Drive) 340 1000 ???
Memory Stick 64 128 256

ANS: Since Sony says their 128MB MS will be out this year, we’ll not have long to wait to find out if your statement that MS has a 64MB limit is true and that you know more about MS than Sony does. Like to make a wager?

I am not that familiar with CF, but my understanding was that there was a reason that they went to the larger size CFII when CFI hit 64MB. Can you enlighten us? It doesn’t jive with your above statement that CFI can hold 256MB. As to 1.3GB MS and 1.024GB CF, what pray tell will be the price of these devices? MS is fast approaching $1 per MB, so I assume that a 1.3GB MS will be around $1,000 or less. At about $4 per MB, that big CF card should be around $4,000! Now, my financial genius, if you have a choice of two memory cards holding approximately equal amounts of data for you laptop or whatever, but one costs a $1000 and the other costs $4000, which one is going to be a big seller and which one is going to be a market laughing stock? Further, despite your figures above, my guess is that CF will have to go to yet another larger CFIII card to get 1GB storage while Sony sticks (no pun intended) with the chewing gum sized Memory Stick. Have you seen the new digicams Sony is developing to take advantage of the small size of the MS? They are only slightly bigger than a stick of gum, but will store images of 128MB this year and up to 1.3GB in the future. That’s a month of Sunday’s worth of images on a digicam that can be completely hidden in the palm of your hand! Ta-Ta to CF.

Rodger
 
Too bad. I would call those digicam s obsolete.

I see the future now. Its 2010. CF just came out with it's latest card---150GB. It is attached to the camera by cord and is pulled in a trailor by a SUV. Price is only $600,000, but what a bargain say Mike and Misha, the world's last two remaining CF fans. Meanwhile, Sony has also come out with a 150GB card that has to be inserted into electronic devices using a pair of tweezers and a magnifying glass becuase of its small size. Price is only $1.98, or they come free in a box of Whaties.

Rodger
 
The substancial information in this forum becomes more and more inverse reziprok to the number of new messages.

Albert E.
 
MIKE: “Memory Stick is Stuck. As is turns out memory stick uses
the same basic flash ram chips that SM and CF does. But with a twist.
Memory Stick can only contain TWO flash chips. Since today's flash chips
are 256Mbits that leaves them with a maximum capacity of 512Mbits today
-- in other words, 64Mbytes. Compact Flash I architecture can hold EIGHT
flash chips, giving it a max capacity with today's flash technology of
2048Mbits or 256Mbytes. Thus, despite the ballyhooing about MS, it will
ALWAYS be 1/4 the architectural capacity of CFI unless Sony begins using
proprietary flash chips as well -- not very likely. Next, let's turn to
the claim of 1.3Gb on Memory Stick by 2002. The flash industry is
currently shipping 256Mbit chips with plans to ship 512 Mbit chips by the
end of 2000 and 1024Mbit chips in 2001. Thus we can derive the likely
capacity landscape as follows: Today End of 2000 2001 (256Mbit) (512
Mbit) (1024 Mbit)
CF I (Ram) 256 512 1024
CF II (Ram) 320 640 ???
CF II (Drive) 340 1000 ???
Memory Stick 64 128 256
ANS: Since Sony says their 128MB MS will be out this year, we’ll
not have long to wait to find out if your statement that MS has a 64MB
limit is true and that you know more about MS than Sony does. Like to
make a wager?
I'll be happy to, Rodger. Here's the bet (if your wallet is bigger than your IQ.)

On December 31, 2000, the maximum capacity of a single memory stick available for purchase & immediate delivery will be one half (or less) than that available in CF I format.
I am not that familiar with CF, but my understanding was that there was a
reason that they went to the larger size CFII when CFI hit 64MB. Can you
enlighten us?
The primary reason for CFII was to allow a new generation of multifunction devices that would fit in a small form factor. For example, you can now by a CF network interface card that will allow a PDA to connect directly to a 10BaseT ethernet rather than pigtailing off another PC. The larger physical form factor also allowed the moving part devices (like IBM's microdrive) to be developed.
It doesn’t jive with your above statement that CFI
can hold 256MB. As to 1.3GB MS and 1.024GB CF, what pray tell will be
the price of these devices? MS is fast approaching $1 per MB, so I
assume that a 1.3GB MS will be around $1,000 or less.
Re-check this line of reasoning with your Jr. High economics teacher. Price is a function of supply and demand at a given production cost.
At about $4 per
MB, that big CF card should be around $4,000! Now, my financial genius,
if you have a choice of two memory cards holding approximately equal
amounts of data for you laptop or whatever, but one costs a $1000 and the
other costs $4000, which one is going to be a big seller and which one is
going to be a market laughing stock?
What fantasy land are you living in? Sony's list price on a 64Mb MS is $149.99. Typical street price is 139.99 and there are two discount sites selling for $105. These same sites sell 64Mb CF for $137. It doesn't take a financial genius to figure out that your working from a (not very well) hidden agenda to misrepresent everything from product plans to market pricing to try to show Memory Stick in a good light. My question is, "Why, Rodger? Why are you misrprepresenting what is easily verified with a web browser and search engine?"
Further, despite your figures
above, my guess is that CF will have to go to yet another larger CFIII
card to get 1GB storage while Sony sticks (no pun intended) with the
chewing gum sized Memory Stick.
Well why don't we stop guessing and deal with facts -- you do still remember what facts look like don't you? All the facts and specs on CF are publicly available at http://www.compactflash.org . You could compare them with Sony's -- except that Sony's is proprietary and not available for public review.

Have you seen the new digicams Sony is
developing to take advantage of the small size of the MS? They are only
slightly bigger than a stick of gum, but will store images of 128MB this
year and up to 1.3GB in the future. That’s a month of
Sunday’s worth of images on a digicam that can be completely hidden
in the palm of your hand! Ta-Ta to CF.
Yes I think good-bye is in order here. Trot along back to the Sony-centric fantasy land that you've created for yourself out of unsubstantiated marketing hype. This thread has put real facts up against your fanciful thinking. If 1.3G will hold months worth of your pictures, we're obiously in different worlds. I take hundreds of megabytes per trip. The kind of serious digital photographers debating the optical strengths of Nikon versus the storage strenths of Casio with Microdrive are dealing with multimegabyte images.

If you care to do your homework and bring back verifiable infomation, I'm all ears. Otherwise, say hello to Elvis for me.

mike.
 
Actually, in physics its known as the "inverse square law." That is, the number 1 divided by the product of: the number of squares replying to the post multiplyed by the distance they are from the original subject.

Of course, if your last name is what I suspect it is, you are already familiar with this well-known law of physics. Say hello to my grandfather. He invented what folks used to call a "church key" used for opening a pour hole in metal cans (beer can tabs killed that!).

Rodger
 
ANS: Since Sony says their 128MB MS will be out this year, we’ll
not have long to wait to find out if your statement that MS has a 64MB
limit is true and that you know more about MS than Sony does. Like to
make a wager?
MIKE: I'll be happy to, Rodger. Here's the bet (if your wallet is bigger than your IQ.)

On December 31, 2000, the maximum capacity of a single memory stick available for purchase & immediate delivery will be one half (or less) than that available in CF I format.

ANS: Hmmmm. Seems like you’re wanting to change the wager. Remember, you said the MS has a 64MB max capacity, “ Memory Stick can only contain TWO flash chips. Since today's flash chips are 256Mbits that leaves them with a maximum capacity of 512Mbits today -- in other words, 64Mbytes.” I offered to wager that you’re are incorrect. Now you come and say the wager is to be that MS will have less capacity available this year than CFI. Don’t quite see the relation there. Incidentally, I’m not sure how to compare my IQ with my wallet size, but unlike some here, it does make it out of the single digits.

Incidentally, if CFI is going to have 128MB or more by end of year, why haven’t they done so a long time ago? Kind of locking the barn door after the horses are out aren’t they?
I am not that familiar with CF, but my understanding was that there was a
reason that they went to the larger size CFII when CFI hit 64MB. Can you
enlighten us?
MIKE: The primary reason for CFII was to allow a new generation of multifunction devices that would fit in a small form factor. For example, you can now by a CF network interface card that will allow a PDA to connect directly to a 10BaseT ethernet rather than pigtailing off another PC. The larger physical form factor also allowed the moving part devices (like IBM's microdrive) to be developed.

ANS: Huh? You’re saying bigger is better? Something of a revolutionary idea in the electronics world. Don’t hold your breath until it catches on.
It doesn’t jive with your above statement that CFI
can hold 256MB. As to 1.3GB MS and 1.024GB CF, what pray tell will be
the price of these devices? MS is fast approaching $1 per MB, so I
assume that a 1.3GB MS will be around $1,000 or less.
MIKE: Re-check this line of reasoning with your Jr. High economics teacher. Price is a function of supply and demand at a given production cost.

ANS: Interesting, the more you make, the lower the individual production cost. Now, lets see, previously you told us how many zillions of CF have been coming off the assembly lines compared to the measly production of MS cards, and, lets see, the CF cards cost four times as much for equal capacity as MS cards. Hmmmmmm, something seems to be wrong with your formula. Oh, I see! CFs are in such demand that buyers are willing to pay four times as much for the same storage as they would get from an MS (or is it they are four times as dumb as MS buyers?).

Reminds me of a story that was going around back when I received my master’s degree in industrial management. It concerned a company that went broke selling widgets at a loss of $1 per unit. The CEO said it wasn’t the cost that killed them, they just couldn’t get the volume! Maybe if CF could get people to use them for landfill (appropriate) and other such uses they might get enough volume to get their price down to only twice as much as MS.
At about $4 per
MB, that big CF card should be around $4,000! Now, my financial genius,
if you have a choice of two memory cards holding approximately equal
amounts of data for you laptop or whatever, but one costs a $1000 and the
other costs $4000, which one is going to be a big seller and which one is
going to be a market laughing stock?
What fantasy land are you living in? Sony's list price on a 64Mb MS is $149.99. Typical street price is 139.99 and there are two discount sites selling for $105. These same sites sell 64Mb CF for $137. It doesn't take a financial genius to figure out that your working from a (not very well) hidden agenda to misrepresent everything from product plans to market pricing to try to show Memory Stick in a good light. My question is, "Why, Rodger? Why are you misrprepresenting what is easily verified with a web browser and search engine?"

ANS: Well, I copied that list of price comparisons from someone else so I just checked one of them now. Try http://www.computers4sure.com/product.asp?ProductId=90931& . You’ll find that they have the 64MB MS for $89.99. If the very best you can find for 64MB of CF is $137, I congratulate you—that’s only a 52% penalty you have to pay for having a CF card rather than a MS card. Lets see now, I bought a Chevy for $22,00 and you got an amazing deal on a Ford with exactly the same equipment for only $33,440. Wow! You’re really a smart shopper! Of course, that isn’t entirely a fair comparison. After all, the Ford and Chevy are probably pretty equal, but MS is superior to CF in all respects so your deal of only a 52% penalty is not quite as good as it first seems.

As to misrepresentation, there have been dozens of articles and post comparing MS against SM and CF. They all point out the many advantages of MS, starting with price and listing the points I have mentioned. Actually, every advantage I listed for MS was gathered from other posts or articles, I didn’t originate a single one. So far, I have seen no articles or posts pointing out technical or price advantages of CF over MS. "Why, Mike? Why are you misrprepresenting what is easily verified with a web browser and search engine?"
Further, despite your figures
above, my guess is that CF will have to go to yet another larger CFIII
card to get 1GB storage while Sony sticks (no pun intended) with the
chewing gum sized Memory Stick.
MIKE: Well why don't we stop guessing and deal with facts -- you do still remember what facts look like don't you? All the facts and specs on CF are publicly available at http://www.compactflash.org You could compare them with Sony's -- except that Sony's is proprietary and not available for public review.

ANS: Don’t know what “facts” you are referring to. Plenty of articles on MS and its advantages over CF by independent sources. You need to get out a little more.

Have you seen the new digicams Sony is
developing to take advantage of the small size of the MS? They are only
slightly bigger than a stick of gum, but will store images of 128MB this
year and up to 1.3GB in the future. That’s a month of
Sunday’s worth of images on a digicam that can be completely hidden
in the palm of your hand! Ta-Ta to CF.
MIKE: Yes I think good-bye is in order here. Trot along back to the Sony-centric fantasy land that you've created for yourself out of unsubstantiated marketing hype. This thread has put real facts up against your fanciful thinking.

ANS: The mfrs of CF and SM dearly wish it was fantasy. They’re not getting much sleep these days. As Lincoln said, “You can fool some of the people all of the time (must have been some Mikes back in those days too), and all of the people some of the time, but you can’t fool all of the people all of the time.” How long do you think that people will continue to buy a clearly inferior product at double or more the price of a superior product (don’t’ use yourself as a standard to judge by)?

MIKE: If 1.3G will hold months worth of your pictures, we're obiously in different worlds. I take hundreds of megabytes per trip. The kind of serious digital photographers debating the optical strengths of Nikon versus the storage strenths of Casio with Microdrive are dealing with multimegabyte images. If you care to do your homework and bring back verifiable infomation, I'm all ears. Otherwise, say hello to Elvis for me.
mike.

ANS: I guess you set some kind of new record every month for wasted shots. Kind of going on the theory that if you take a few zillion photos some are bound to occasionally turn out right. Talking about Nikon, Casio, Olympus and others, did you see the article in Forbes that says that Sanyo is the actual maker of digicams for those companies and many others and that Nikon, Olympus, etc, just put their name on the camera? Sanyo is actually the world’s largest digicam maker with 40% of the market. Another interesting article today about the new drive by Sony and Sharp:

“Sharp and Sony have jointly developed a new MO (Magneto-Optical) storage disk which is just 50.8mm in diameter (2"), 0.5mm thick and has a storage capacity of 1GB using a red laser (655nm wave length) and 2GB or more using a blue laser (405nm wave length). Up to 4GB could be stored on larger disks.”

Hmmmm. Up to 4GB. What was that other drive you mentioned? Elvis says “Hi.” He’s doing fine and taking lots of photos with his Sony digicam (really likes the convenience of a Mavica). I mentioned CF to him. He said, “What, you mean corn flakes?” I said, “No, Compact Flash image storage memory cards. He said, “Sorry, we up here can see into the future and there is no future for CF!”

As to being all ears, that kind of explains your conclusions. If you had something substantial between those ears your arguments would probably make a lot more sense.
 
Too bad. I would call those digicam s obsolete.

I see the future now. Its 2010. CF just came out with it's latest
card---150GB. It is attached to the camera by cord and is pulled in a
trailor by a SUV. Price is only $600,000, but what a bargain say Mike
and Misha, the world's last two remaining CF fans
I hope you're able to get some kind of disability check for this mental problem, Rodger.

You can buy 160Mb CF Type I TODAY from a variety of manufacturers, including some that you get see without even typing. Just click on either of the two links below.

http://www.lexarmedia.com/products/usb_cf2_main.html

http://www.bc-express.com/sandisk/product.asp?sku=SD%2DSDCFB%2D160455&mscssid=JH0T0P4P00SR2N2N001PQPPD4CBA91A3

You can also visit the following link to order a 192Mb TYPE I card for delivery next week.
 
ANS: Hmmmm. Seems like you’re wanting to change the wager.
OK, let me see if I can make this simple enough for you. You tell me the date that you're willing to bet $50 that available SM media capacity will exceed CF-I.
Incidentally, if CFI is going to have 128MB or more by end of year, why
haven’t they done so a long time ago? Kind of locking the barn
door after the horses are out aren’t they?
You can buy 160Mb CF Type I TODAY from a variety of manufacturers, including some that you can see without even typing. Just click on either of the two links below.

http://www.lexarmedia.com/products/usb_cf2_main.html

http://www.bc-express.com/sandisk/product.asp?sku=SD%2DSDCFB%2D160455&mscssid=JH0T0P4P00SR2N2N001PQPPD4CBA91A3

You can also visit the following link to order a 192Mb TYPE I card for delivery next week.

http://www.bc-express.com/sandisk/product.asp?sku=SD%2DSDCFB%2D192455&mscssid=JH0T0P4P00SR2N2N001PQPPD4CBA91A3

Now try to act like a mature adult and simply admit that you've made a mistake.
I am not that familiar with CF, but my understanding was that there was a
reason that they went to the larger size CFII when CFI hit 64MB. Can you
enlighten us?
MIKE: The primary reason for CFII was to allow a new generation of
multifunction devices that would fit in a small form factor. For example,
you can now by a CF network interface card that will allow a PDA to
connect directly to a 10BaseT ethernet rather than pigtailing off another
PC. The larger physical form factor also allowed the moving part devices
(like IBM's microdrive) to be developed.

ANS: Huh? You’re saying bigger is better? Something of a
revolutionary idea in the electronics world. Don’t hold your
breath until it catches on.
As a matter of fact, Rodger, in this case bigger is better -- even by your own standard. The additional 2mm in depth allows the production of a 340Mb storage device (let's see that what -- over 500% larger than than the largest memeory stick) at a cost low enough that CASIO can bundle it with the QV3000 for an additional $200. That's less than 59 cents a megabyte, Rodger. Now here's a tantalizing offer: Why don't you stay away from the POST button until SONY bundles there storage at under 59 cents a meg? Deal?
As to misrepresentation, there have been dozens of articles and post
comparing MS against SM and CF. They all point out the many advantages
of MS, starting with price and listing the points I have mentioned.
Actually, every advantage I listed for MS was gathered from other posts
or articles, I didn’t originate a single one. So far, I have seen
no articles or posts pointing out technical or price advantages of CF
over MS. "Why, Mike? Why are you misrprepresenting what is easily
verified with a web browser and search engine?"
Show us a web site that will contradict any specific statement I've made about CF, Rodger.
MIKE: Well why don't we stop guessing and deal with facts -- you do
still remember what facts look like don't you? All the facts and specs on
CF are publicly available at http://www.compactflash.org You could
compare them with Sony's -- except that Sony's is proprietary and not
available for public review.

ANS: Don’t know what “facts” you are referring to.
Plenty of articles on MS and its advantages over CF by independent
sources. You need to get out a little more.
The facts I'm referring to are the technical architecture of both CF and MS. They are what control the rate of capacity increase in the two product types. I'll be happy to look at whatever site you want to point me to that has FACTS -- not speculation -- about the two product types.
MIKE: If 1.3G will hold months worth of your pictures, we're obiously in
different worlds. I take hundreds of megabytes per trip. The kind of
serious digital photographers debating the optical strengths of Nikon
versus the storage strenths of Casio with Microdrive are dealing with
multimegabyte images. If you care to do your homework and bring back
verifiable infomation, I'm all ears. Otherwise, say hello to Elvis for me.
mike.

ANS: I guess you set some kind of new record every month for wasted
shots. Kind of going on the theory that if you take a few zillion photos
some are bound to occasionally turn out right.
No I go on the REALITY that digital shots are essentially free if you haven't hamstrung yourself by buying a camera that only take Liliputian size storage.
“Sharp and Sony have jointly developed a new MO (Magneto-Optical)
storage disk which is just 50.8mm in diameter (2"), 0.5mm thick and has a
storage capacity of 1GB using a red laser (655nm wave length) and 2GB or
more using a blue laser (405nm wave length). Up to 4GB could be stored on
larger disks.”

Hmmmm. Up to 4GB. What was that other drive you mentioned?
No, the other drive I mentioned is a 1Gb Micro IDE drive in the same product family as IBM's 340Mb Microdrive.

Perhaps prospective Memory Stick providers should hold off purchases until Sony tells them what their storage strategy is. The MO technology is interesting, though I doubt seriously that we'll see it in digital cameras any time soon, for a number of reasons: 1) the size given is the media alone, not the write mechanism which will add size and weight; 2) MO is much more enegy intensive. Battery life is already an issue with digital cameras.
Elvis says
“Hi.” He’s doing fine and taking lots of photos with
his Sony digicam (really likes the convenience of a Mavica). I mentioned
CF to him. He said, “What, you mean corn flakes?” I said,
“No, Compact Flash image storage memory cards. He said,
“Sorry, we up here can see into the future and there is no future
for CF!”
Somehow this is all making sense Rodger. A 25 year old corpse would probably be thrilled with a Mavica.
 
ANS: Hmmmm. Seems like you’re wanting to change the wager.
MIKE: OK, let me see if I can make this simple enough for you. You tell me the date that you're willing to bet $50 that available SM media capacity will exceed CF-I.

ANS: I’m not quite that simple. The wager was over whether or not MS is limited to 64MB as you stated, not whether available MS exceeds CF-1. Now, if you’re stating that CF-1 will exceed the 1.3MB that Sony is going to put on MS by 2002, I’ll take that bet even though it is not the original wager.

MIKE: You can buy 160Mb CF Type I TODAY from a variety of manufacturers, including some that you can see without even typing. Just click on either of the two links below.
http://www.lexarmedia.com/products/usb_cf2_main.html

http://www.bc-express.com/sandisk/product.asp?sku=SD%2DSDCFB%2D160455&mscssid=JH0T0P4P00SR2N2N001PQPPD4CBA91A3

You can also visit the following link to order a 192Mb TYPE I card for delivery next week.

http://www.bc-express.com/sandisk/product.asp?sku=SD%2DSDCFB%2D192455&mscssid=JH0T0P4P00SR2N2N001PQPPD4CBA91A3
Now try to act like a mature adult and simply admit that you've made a mistake.

ANS: And your point is? I made no statement as to what CF cards you could buy where or when. I did point out that the lowest price you quoted was still 52% higher than 64MB of MS.
ANS: Huh? You’re saying bigger is better? Something of a
revolutionary idea in the electronics world. Don’t hold your
breath until it catches on.
MIKE: As a matter of fact, Rodger, in this case bigger is better -- even by your own standard. The additional 2mm in depth allows the production of a 340Mb storage device (let's see that what -- over 500% larger than the largest memory stick) at a cost low enough that CASIO can bundle it with the QV3000 for an additional $200. That's less than 59 cents a megabyte, Rodger. Now here's a tantalizing offer: Why don't you stay away from the POST button until SONY bundles there storage at under 59 cents a meg? Deal?

ANS: I believe you’ve confused IBM’s Microdrive with a memory card, the subject of our discussion. Nice drive though for owners of the new Casio QV3000EX (or is that Sanyo?), however, the Sony/Sharp drive seems to be at least as small (just 58 x 54 x 4mm) and to hold up to 2GB. Makes even the Microdrive seem rather handicapped as to storage capacity.
As to misrepresentation, there have been dozens of articles and post
comparing MS against SM and CF. They all point out the many advantages
of MS, starting with price and listing the points I have mentioned.
Actually, every advantage I listed for MS was gathered from other posts
or articles, I didn’t originate a single one. So far, I have seen
no articles or posts pointing out technical or price advantages of CF
over MS. "Why, Mike? Why are you misrprepresenting what is easily
verified with a web browser and search engine?"
MIKE: Show us a web site that will contradict any specific statement I've made about CF, Rodger.

ANS: How about all your statements? One reference follows. To save you the effort, it is printed in its entirety below. PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO THE ITEMS IN CAPS.

http://www.imaging-resource.com/NEWS.HTM

"Sony Memory Stick gains ground
By David Etchells, The Imaging Resource
(Thursday, February 24, 2000 - 12:00 EST)

When we first heard of Sony's "Memory Stick" technology, we weren't shy about our chagrin over yet another digicam memory format. We were surprised by how much we liked it though, once we played with a few Sony cameras using it. Today, Sony announced a slew of new licensees for the technology (19 to be exact), suggesting that MEMORY STICK MAY IN FACT BECOME SOMETHING OF A STANDARD. The interesting part of the announcement to us though, was that only one of the announced partners makes digicams (Samsung), while most of the partners were in the auto industry (!?) Here's the list, see the press release link below for more details: "The 19 new licensees included General Motors (NYSE:GM - news), Adam Opel AG, Holden, Saab, Vauxhall, Hitachi Ltd , Mitsubishi Electric Corp , Compaq Computer Corp (NYSE:CPQ - news), Samsung Electronics Co Ltd , Texas Instruments Inc (NYSE:TXN - news) and Acer Laboratories Inc.” (AT LEAST 20 MORE MANUFACTURERS HAVE BEEN ADDED SINCE THIS REPORT)

Does the Memory Stick have advantages over current formats? That point is constantly argued. Some feel this is merely a way for Sony to add your money to their pockets (after all, why even make the format if they didn't want to make money on it). On the other hand, there are points that can be made for the new format to actually benefit the user. Regarding this, the Imaging Resource had this to say about the format itself when they reviewed the Sony DSC-F505 digital camera:

"IT'S BAD ENOUGH (THE ARGUMENT GOES) THAT WE HAVE TO CONTEND WITH THE COMPLETELY INCOMPATIBLE SMARTMEDIA AND COMPACTFLASH STANDARDS, why must Sony introduce yet another format into the fray? As noted, we've been strongly in the "oh no, not another memory format" camp ourselves. We were rather surprised then, by how appealing we found the Memory Sticks themselves. OF ALL THE MEMORY FORMATS WE'VE PLAYED WITH TO DATE (DECEMBER 1999), WE ACTUALLY FOUND OURSELVES LIKING THE MEMORY STICK THE MOST. (!?!) We're still not keen to see yet another memory format muddying the waters for consumers, but have to admit that there's a lot to like about the Memory Stick form factor. RELATIVE TO SMARTMEDIA, IT FEELS MORE RUGGED, AND DOESN'T EXPOSE IT'S ELECTRICAL CONTACTS TO THE ENVIRONMENT QUITE AS MUCH. SINCE INSERTION TRAVEL IS MUCH LESS, IT SHOULD ALSO BE LESS SUBJECT TO RUBBING WEAR OF THE PLATING ON THE CONTACTS, SOMETHING WE'VE OBSERVED WITH SMARTMEDIA. RELATIVE TO COMPACTFLASH, IT'S A FAIR BIT MORE COMPACT, AND DOESN'T HAVE THE DOZENS OF PINS THAT CF REQUIRES. (WE'RE FIRMLY OF THE OPINION THAT THE FEWER CONNECTIONS THERE ARE, THE LESS CHANCES THERE ARE FOR SOMETHING TO GO WRONG WITH ONE OF THEM.) WE ALSO LIKE THE WAY THE MEMORY STICK CARDS CAN BE WRITE-PROTECTED BY SLIDING A TINY SWITCH ON THEIR BACK. (CF CARDS HAVE NO SUCH PHYSICAL WRITE-PROTECTION AVAILABLE, AND SMARTMEDIA CARDS REQUIRE THE USE OF EXPENDABLE CONDUCTIVE FOIL DOTS THAT ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO FAILURE DUE TO DIRT OR FINGERPRINTS.) While we don't expect the rest of the world to jump onboard the Memory Stick bandwagon anytime soon, we do feel that it's at least a viable and useful solution within the Sony product line."

Interesting points, I'd say. If you already own several pieces of memory of another format, then it is perfectly legitimate to go for a camera that will utilize your investment. IT'S YOUR MONEY, AND YOU DON'T WANT TO WAIST IT. However, if you don't have much money tied up in any particular format, then it really does not matter what format the camera uses, as long as that memory is reliable and will take, protect, and hold your images for years to come. THE MEMORY STICK DOES THESE THINGS AT LEAST AS WELL AS THE OTHER FORMATS, AND POSSIBLY MORE EFFICIENTLY. HOW SO?

THE MEMORY STICK HAS A GREAT LITTLE PROTECT SWITCH THAT KEEPS YOU FROM ACCIDENTALLY ERASING THE DATA ON THE STICK. IT HAS THOSE PROTECTED METAL CONTACTS, AS MENTIONED IN THE REVIEW COMMENTS ABOVE, SO IT IS LIABLE TO LAST LONGER BEFORE FAILURE THAN COMPETING FORMATS. THE LARGER FORMATTED MEMORY STICKS ON UP TO 256MB OR EVEN 1GB ARE EXPECTED TO BE COMPATIBLE WITH EXISTING DEVICES. WITH CF CARDS AT THIS POINT, THERE IS A DIVISION INTO TYPE I AND TYPE II CARDS BECAUSE OF INCREASING MEMORY SIZE; NOT LIKELY TO HAPPEN FOR QUITE A WHILE WITH MEMORY STICK. THE MEMORY STICK WILL AS LICENSED TO OTHERS WILL GET FASTER IN ITS READ/WRITE CAPABILITY, AS SONY HAS MADE A LICENSING DEAL WITH LEXAR MEDIA, WHO PRODUCE SOME OF THE "FASTEST" MEMORY MEDIA AROUND, ACCORDING TO THEM.

SO, IT MAY BE EASILY ARGUED THAT WE DON'T NEED ANOTHER FORMAT. HOWEVER, THE FORMAT IS HERE TO STAY, AND IT SEEMS THAT THERE WILL BE LOTS OF REASONS TO USE IT BY THE TIME OTHER MANUFACTURERS JUMP ON BOARD.

MIKE: The facts I'm referring to are the technical architecture of both CF and MS. They are what control the rate of capacity increase in the two product types. I'll be happy to look at whatever site you want to point me to that has FACTS -- not speculation -- about the two product types.

ANS: You won’t accept the word of independent reviewers, and won’t accept the word of Sony which has publicly stated that the MS has a max capacity of 1.3GB which they intend to reach by 2002. If you won’t take the word of independent reviewers or the manufacturer of the item and refer to their statements as “speculation,” what do you want from me?
ANS: I guess you set some kind of new record every month for wasted
shots. Kind of going on the theory that if you take a few zillion photos
some are bound to occasionally turn out right.
MIKE: No I go on the REALITY that digital shots are essentially free if you haven't hamstrung yourself by buying a camera that only take Liliputian size storage.

ANS: Free, yes, but not an excuse for careless photography. I use my digicam the same way I use my film camera---I take each photo the best way I know how, and with one major question in mind, “Will it be a really good image that people enjoy viewing?” I avoid exces shots just as though I had to pay film prices

MIKE: No, the other drive I mentioned is a 1Gb Micro IDE drive in the same product family as IBM's 340Mb Microdrive. Perhaps prospective Memory Stick providers should hold off purchases until Sony tells them what their storage strategy is. The MO technology is interesting, though I doubt seriously that we'll see it in digital cameras any time soon, for a number of reasons: 1) the size given is the media alone, not the write mechanism which will add size and weight; 2) MO is much more energy intensive. Battery life is already an issue with digital cameras.

ANS: Cartridge size is 58 x 54 x 4mm, pretty small in my book. Four mm is less than 3/16 of an inch thick. As to drive, Sony has had no problem putting floppy drives in their cameras---and with the FD-91/95, a big zoom and image stabilization too—all for the same price other as digicams (made by Sanyo in most cases) without those three additional cost-of-manufacturing items. As to energy use, if your digicam (a Sanyo?) had the powerful lithium ion battery and charger that Sony includes with their digicams you would know that energy consumption is a non-issue.
Elvis says Hi. He’s doing fine and taking lots of photos with his Sony digicam (really likes the convenience of a Mavica). I mentioned CF to him. He said, What, you mean corn flakes? I said, No, Compact Flash image storage memory cards. He said, “Sorry, we up here can see into the future and there is no future for CF!”
MIKE: Somehow this is all making sense Rodger. A 25 year old corpse would probably be thrilled with a Mavica.

ANS: Indeed. Even the dead know enough not to buy a Sanyo with someone else’s name glued on to it.

Rodger
 
Rodger, after reading your numerous postings, it seems to me that you have based your argument around the premise that Sanyo makes poor quality products. If this claim cannot be proved, then you entire argument falls apart.

The premise that Sanyo is a company incapable of producing high quality products is a perception, and not a fact. However, it is a fact that Nikon and Oly digital cameras produce excellent results, are loaded with sophisticated features and solidly built.

In fact, if Nikon, Oly and Sanyo were to vertically integrate their operations to design as well as produce their own cameras, I bet that the quality of the cameras would have been less than what we have seen. What's wrong with companies sticking to their core competencies and trying to produce something that is more than the sum of its parts?

GC
 
It's good now and then to revist past prophecies. When we last touched on this thread, Mr. Carter was prophesying the impending demise of CompactFlash in the shadow of the ubiquitous and pervasive standard of the future ... Sony's Memory Stick.

http://www.dpreview.com/news/0111/01110501sandisk1gbtypei.asp

Now recall that Mr. Carter's prophecy was that mighty memory stick would "Leave compact flash in the dust" with an astounding 1.3Gb capacity by 2002.

Well, here we are in November 2001. The biggest memory stick Sony has on the market is 128Mb. Meanwhile SanDisk has announced intentions to produce 1Gb CF type 1 Card.

Meanwhile on the partnering front Sony is now up to a whopping 185 manfacturers paying lip service to the MS standard. But the reality in the market place. A quick check of Phil's buying guide reveals that there are a phenomenal 16 cameras that you can use your memory stick in from a stunning range of ... er, uh , one manufacturer.

That's right, if you want to use memory stick, you'll be using a Sony camera because Sony is the ONLY manufacturer that bothers to use device.

So, Rodger, find that fine Sony marketing rep you told you these fairy tales and ask him how he likes his crow.
I imagine Bob will jump in here if he reads your post, and he
certainly knows more about this subject than I, but several things
do jump out as I read it.

“Unless Sony is giving away the electronics, manufacturers
will have to be forced into adopting a standard like this.”

ANS: Approximately 40 different manufacturers of electronic
devices have already signed agreements with Sony for production of
MS and use of MS in their electronic products. I don’t
believe any force was involved. Perhaps they were just covering
all bases, but if they decide that the MS technology is better than
CF or SM, CF and SM may someday be a footnote in electronics
history.

“Secondly, the fact that something is possible and available,
doesn't make it inevitable or even likely. At last check, HP, IBM,
Compaq, Dell, made up the lions share of new system sales. Do any
of these desktop manufacturers have announced (or unannounced)
plans to ship Memory Stick enabled keyboards with their systems?
Even as an option?”

ANS: Don’t know. Haven’t kept track of which
companies have gotten on the MS bandwagon so far. But Sony
hasn’t placed a limit on new entries, so those that
haven’t still may do so.

“All of which I can do today with greater capacity using
CF.”

ANS: What is the max capacity possible with CF or SM? Sony says
128MB later this year and a max of 1.3GB by 2002. How about CF and
SM?

“Today, I take pictures on 64Mb Lexar CF chip, which also
contains my PowerPoint presentation, some MP3s, etc. I can pop the
CF chip into my laptop -- any laptop from any manufacturer with a
PCMCIA slot -- edit my pictures, and play the MP3, and update the
PowerPoint. I can then pop the chip into my PDA, listen to the
MP3s, fiddle with the photos, and rehearse my PowerPoint pres.
Finally I can throw the chip into a dedicated MP3 player. Seems to
me that I already am doing today what your promising for Memory
Stick. Until it becomes cheap as chewing gum, why would I switch.
And of course, if people don't switch, it won't become as cheap as
chewing gum. Sony has a long history (can anybody say "Betamax"?)
of producing interesting technology that doesn't become the adopted
standard

ANS: You’ve named several devices which use CF cards. With
40 mfrs already online, use of the MS potentially involves
thousands of individual products. not half-a-dozen. Since MS has
only been on the market a short time, it is rather specious to use
the argument that CF is currently used in more devices.
That’s like criticizing the first jet liners by saying that
more airlines were using prop jobs.

As to marketing hype, could you be more specific? Which of the
advantages of MS that I previously listed were in error. What
technical advantages does CF or SM have over MS? I don’t
think we have any marketers here, just users.

Rodger
 
Agree, I read some of the debates just now, what are those arguments defending memory stick based on anyway? I can't understand. CF is obviously less expensive, more widely used and has more support from manufacturers.

Martin
 
When I saw this message at the top of the threads list I thought for a second - "Hey, Frances is back, Phil must have let him back in" - but then I saw the posting date ;-)

Oh, well ....

Claus
 

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