Anyone with an economics background who can briefly explain what
actually happened to the US dollar?
1) The Clinton administation left with a surplus budget. You current
admistration generated a huge budget defict. The money talking from
loans and the money floods the market will dollars.
2) US individuals bough a lot of houses on loans to participate in
the real estate bubble. Money they do not have and is also provided
via loans. Thes morgages have varible interest rates to lure people
into buying in the first place: the first few years low interst and
than very high interest. Now its paytime and lots of family houses
are now on forclosure, since they cannot affort the payment. Lots a
bank have millons of rotten credit -- citigroup reported 6Bil Dollor
losses this week! -- some real estate companies filed for chapter 11.
3) the FED has interveen several times and is flooding the market
with US Dollars to keep the US banking system from collaps.
Consequence: the marked is floodes with dollars. But the banks have
no money to provide loans for prosperous business which might slow
down the US ecomomy. Therefore foreign investeres start withdrawing
money and investing in Europe. There the stockmarket is rising
tremendously since the economy is duing extremly well.
In a nutshell: its simple market econonomy: if there is a lot of
dollar in the market but not enough interest, the price drops.
IMHO the dollar is going south because of the US lifestyle and the US
government. The american people wanted this, so they have to live
with the consequences, too.
Frithjof