Confirmed D60 to replace D30 at PMA

More tiny pixels in one direction and interpolation in the final image.
When people talk about higher resolution large physical size
sensors, I keep thinking back to the Nikon D1X. Nikon put roughly
5.4MP into a sensor with the same physical size as the 2.7MP sensor
of the original Nikon D1. Nikon clearly made a lot of improvements,
not just to the sensor but to surrounding electronics that
contributed to the noise when building the D1X.

I don't see why Canon can not make similar strides in their sensor
and camera designs. A smaller sensor does not always mean more
noise and less dynamic range. I'm sure most people agree that the
photos from the D1X are a generation better than the photos from
the D1.
Perhaps Canon will increase the resolution the same way Nikon did
with the D1x.
 
Is it just me, or would that announcement/availability be a
spectacular blunder?

Announcing the discontinuance and replacement in Feb. but not being
able to deliver the replacement until May or June would virtually
kill all sales for at least three months.
You were expecting better from Canon????
I recieved a call back from my local Canon Pro shop yesterday in
regard to my D60 questions. My contact spoke to a regional and a
national sales manager and they both confirmed that Canon will be
discontinuing the D30 offically at PMA and replacing it with the
D60 at the same price (likely to mean same list price) with planned
availability in May or June. They also confirmed that it will be
6mp CMOS but didn't give any further details.

Not surprising except for the price but very interesting none the
less. One could reasonably specualte that this would also mean a
similar form factor, lower lens multiplier, 3-4 fps, & better AF
almost has to be an assumption. If the new low end slr rumors are
true it may also mean a more EOS 3 like body but I'd be a bit
surprised if they went that far at a "D30 Price" since that is a
big price gap but not so big of a feature gap for
non-journalist/actions types.

p2g
 
It doesn't hurt that the D1 was a much easier compare but I do agree with your conclusions. They will use what they learned from the D30 to make some reasoned tradeoffs. They have the advantage of a much stronger base to start from which equates to less time fix things and more time to intergate new things well and improve other things.

Canon hasn't done a siginificant amount of spec hype to date so I expect their specs will be honest other than things that are within rounding i.e. 5.6mp vs 6mp.

p2g
I don't see why Canon can not make similar strides in their sensor
and camera designs. A smaller sensor does not always mean more
noise and less dynamic range. I'm sure most people agree that the
photos from the D1X are a generation better than the photos from
the D1.

My prediction is that Canon will make a 1.5x or 1.4x 6MP sensor. I
don't think they'll go 1.2x or 1.3x. To keep the cost of the camera
similar to the D-30s, they have to keep the physical sensor size
similar. This will mean a smaller sensor 'cell'. I think Canon will
make additional improvements to the cameras electronics, not just
to the processing algorithms, to improve the noise characteristics
of the sensor so that it matches or is close to that of the D-30's.

Joo
Just like "raw Mhz" seems to win the public in the current CPU war,
"raw Mpixels" is a big draw to many looking for digital cameras.
(Certainly in the consumer-end of the business).

I can just imagine the marketers at work in Canon, thinking that if
they offer a D-30 with 6-mpixels (same AF and same 1.6x sensor
size) at a "street price" of $2500, that they'll win over many
people wanting to enter the digital SLR market.

Like I said, I hope I'm wrong. If Canon DOES do this, I at least
hope they'll offer something (or at least announce it) later this
year that's based on large pixels . . . even a 1-D clone with CMOS
and less "robustness" (eg, an EOS-3 vs EOS-1v) would be a good
upgrade.
To do 6MP right, the chip would have to be much bigger. A 1.2
Multiplier would be expected. I don't know how they could do this
given current technology and hit D30 pricing. If this is really
6MP, nearly full framed, and D30 priced, it should destroy the
competition.

Red Flags:
Now if the chip is the same size as the current chip and 6MP, then
it will be higher noise and most current lenses would not
adequately resolve 6mp in that small space. This would be the case
if they chose marketing over good design.

Chip size is what I see as the main stumbling block.
--
The Unofficial Photographer of The Wilkinsons
http://thewilkinsons.crosswinds.net
--
Canon D-30 & PowerShot S100

Maybe one day I'll take a decent picture.
 
I presume the D30 replacement willl have Firewire out. Could they
really stick with USB?
It could be USB 2.0, which apparently is faster. From what I've been reading, the next generation USB is 480mbps while firewire is 400mbps.

Mark
 
Canon already uses two sensors in the 1D. It looks like they've already mastered binning on a production scale.
The sensor size is a more difficult question, making it
larger increases cost dramatically but how small are they willing
to let the pixels get.
That's the key point, assuming that your source is correct. I
strongly suspect that if a new DSLR is designed to "replace" the
D30 at the same price point, it will have a sensor with a 1.5x or
1.6x multiplier. If that sensor will have six megapixels, then
either (a) the pixels will be smaller (something like 7um, but
somebody else should do the math...) or (b) will require the
involvement of interpolated pixels, like DavidP has been suspecting
for a while now. Neither of these is a good thing.

But, this is all hocus-pocus at this stage, unless you've seen,
handled, or have other evidence regarding this new camera you're
holding back!

JCDoss
--
http://www.RobsPhoto.com
 
for all the info guys.

So... a bigger sized sensor (physical dimensions) is not necessarily better, right? It's the pixel size that has to be bigger as well?

And... the smaller the pixel size, the more noise? But smaller pixels let companies claim a higer resolution?
 
Unfortunately I can't afford to keep a $2000 camera as a backup.
What I will do is keep the D30 for a year - I love the camera - wait
for the price to come down on the D60, then upgrade. I'm sure I
will take a big hit on the D30 at that time but it will keep the anxiety
level low and I still have the use of a wonderful, although not perfect
camera in the mean time.

That's it - I'm done reading posts about this subject - only adds
to the ulcer factor (^:

Brian
Every heard of Film? I'm using an original EOS 650 which is
compatible with all the EF Lenses.
I gave up on film a while ago and I don't own either a film scanner
or film based EOS body. I suspect many D30 owners are in the same
position.
I was pretty lucky to get what I got for my D30. I've seen
D30's in the local classifieds for $1700 with grip, they are only
going to drop further.
Selling on Ebay seems to be the best bet. There is always someone
who will overpay.
I also have a backup G2...
I had an Oly C3000Z but I sold it when I bought the D30. I decided
I didn't like consumer digitals.Too slow and the images are too
noisy.
However, the D30 would make a great backup body to either the 1D or
D60.
 
Every heard of Film? I'm using an original EOS 650 which is
compatable with all the EF Lenses.
I'd guess that there's a large percentage of D30 users who have never touched film (myself included, unless you count the family P&S camera I used in 6th grade). And going to film now would require climbing up another learning curve, much the same way many film users had to when going digital.

But boy, selling your D30 now - that's quite a move. :)--jason: http://www.jcwphoto.net
 
Canoga Camera has sold out of D30's and the following message is posted on the D30 ordering page:

Sold Out! New models and promotions are expected to be announced Late February.

http://www.canogacameras.com/e/env/0001-929901-1642502092-28217507-7681-2G2i7/index.html?link=%2e%2e/info_pages/cam_info.html&item=invnew:52492

I just bought my D30 from Canoga yesterday so this must have been posted today. My order must have been one of the last fulfilled, because my order shipped today... I feel very lucky that I got one of the last D30's from Canoga...

I know the D60 is about to be announced, but the D30 is a fine camera and I look forward to having it in my hands real soon. It is time to start saving for some more lenses!
 
Actually, if I ONLY used the D30 for viewing on the screen, I
would hold on to it, but I print 13X19 prints from my Epson 1280
and at that size it is only OK. It's no match from a good medium
format print or even a print from a 6MP Kodak 760. Interpolation
with a D30 print is fine for macro work, but for any landscapes
with grass or small bushes, or worse yet, a portrait with lots
of hair, it falls on it's face. This is my reason for wanting an
upgrade. I've printed 90 meg scans of large format transparencies
on my 1280, so I know it's not the printer that is not up to the
task.

Matt
That's it - I'm done reading posts about this subject - only adds
to the ulcer factor (^:

Brian
Every heard of Film? I'm using an original EOS 650 which is
compatible with all the EF Lenses.
I gave up on film a while ago and I don't own either a film scanner
or film based EOS body. I suspect many D30 owners are in the same
position.
I was pretty lucky to get what I got for my D30. I've seen
D30's in the local classifieds for $1700 with grip, they are only
going to drop further.
Selling on Ebay seems to be the best bet. There is always someone
who will overpay.
I also have a backup G2...
I had an Oly C3000Z but I sold it when I bought the D30. I decided
I didn't like consumer digitals.Too slow and the images are too
noisy.
However, the D30 would make a great backup body to either the 1D or
D60.
 
Is it just me, or would that announcement/availability be a
spectacular blunder?

Announcing the discontinuance and replacement in Feb. but not being
able to deliver the replacement until May or June would virtually
kill all sales for at least three months.
You were expecting better from Canon????
I was getting accustomed to Canon hosing its users but if that's the case, then they would be hosing themselves just as much. :-)
 
Maybe they hope to beat their stated goal? I'd rather they spend a little more time at the end tuning IQ either is fine with me
still don't understand why it take so long, if they already stopped
production for the D30 ,... should be more like april....
cheers, Robert Schultz
JCDoss wrote:
 
Jesus Christ you whine alot! Every post I've read from you since
I've joined this board this board over 1 year ago has been
the same thing, whine whine whine! Go buy Nikon.

Matt
Is it just me, or would that announcement/availability be a
spectacular blunder?

Announcing the discontinuance and replacement in Feb. but not being
able to deliver the replacement until May or June would virtually
kill all sales for at least three months.
You were expecting better from Canon????
I was getting accustomed to Canon hosing its users but if that's
the case, then they would be hosing themselves just as much. :-)
 
Lighten up, Francis.
Matt
Is it just me, or would that announcement/availability be a
spectacular blunder?

Announcing the discontinuance and replacement in Feb. but not being
able to deliver the replacement until May or June would virtually
kill all sales for at least three months.
You were expecting better from Canon????
I was getting accustomed to Canon hosing its users but if that's
the case, then they would be hosing themselves just as much. :-)
 
Unfortunately I can't afford to keep a $2000 camera as a backup.
What I will do is keep the D30 for a year - I love the camera - wait
for the price to come down on the D60, then upgrade. I'm sure I
will take a big hit on the D30 at that time but it will keep the
anxiety
I suspect that in a year a used D30 will not be a $2000 camera. It will probably be closer to a $1000 camera which is not much more expensive than Matt's G2 or an EOS 3.

For me, a consumer digicam or a film camera is not an acceptable backup. Consumer digicams are too expensive for thier performance and a film camera would require the purchase of a scanner ($1000-$1600) plus the film camera itself ($250-$2000).

Acutally, I plan to hold out on a new body while I complete my lens collection (16-35 on order, 100/2.8 macro and 300/4 IS planned).
 
a good lens resolving around 100lines/mm. If a
much denser sensor is used, it will be wasted by current lens
Are you talking specifically about 35mm lenses? Or do the same figures hold true for MF lenses. Is this why you can use Contax medium format lenses on their new 35mm DSLR? More resolving power?
 
Its not just noise. Lenses are designed with film in mind I think
numbers I saw was a good lens resolving around 100lines/mm. If a
much denser sensor is used, it will be wasted by current lens
technology.
If you're using 100lp/mm as a goal, I think the maximum pixel size to reach that goal would be around 5um square. Even if the sensor in the "D60" stays the same size, 6MP would require that pixels measure 7um square. This would be something like a 30MP full frame (24x36) sensor, if you added it all up. So, there's room to wiggle.

OTOH, I'm with you. I'd ultimately prefer a 6-10MP output assuming that was a noiseless output. Most of us are doing fine with 3MP! :-)

JCDoss
 
I gave up on film a while ago and I don't own either a film scanner
or film based EOS body. I suspect many D30 owners are in the same
position.
New Rebel's are $200ish, the ELAN 7 is $500ish. Will you make it back if you sell the D30 now before the price falls? Maybe, if you don't spend too much on film and processing in the next few months.

Will you want a D60 when it comes out? Who knows, there are as many things they could screw up as get right. (my guess is that it is better on the whole, but there may be specific things it won't do as well, maybe high ISO if they don't make the sensor larger, or if the sensor is larger you don't get a "free teleconverter", or...so depending on what you like about the D30 you might not like the D60 more...)

The safest thing is to hang onto the D30, since you know the maximum cost of that (approx the current resale value of hte D30 -- assuming the D60 makes it's resale drop to zero, likely more like half that though), and you won't be "stuck" buying back a D30 if the D60 doesn't meet your needs, nor will you be without a DSLR if the D60 takes longer to get to market then expected.

The biggest potential payoff is to sell now though.

For me, I would rather have another few months with my D30 then the extra money. In fact depending on how the D60 is I may rather have years... (but I expect the D60 would actually be better then the D30 for most D30 users, including me)
 

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