Brian,
The point is that these Wilhelm test, despite all the good science
behind them (I'm not being ironic here, really), are not being very
successful at predicting the life people have been experiencing in
real-world circumstances. What exactly is causing this I don't
know. But a lot of people in this forum, myself included, have
found the livick.com tests to have a better correlation to what we
are getting than the Wilhelm tests.
Maybe Wilhelm should keep their high-standards of testing but offer
another number/test method with different parameters that offer
people a better estimate of what the print life will be. In many
areas (I work in Engineering myself) you offer a "typical case"
number and a "worst case number" with different environmental
assumptions for each. Wilhelm would do a better service to people
if they confronted them with these two scenarios. Of course, I know
it is naive to expect they will do this because there are many
market pressures behind these numbers and printer manufacturers
want to look good.
but I wonder, would you, as an engineer, want to give a worst case
lifetime prediction when someone else built and maintained the
equipment (with no controlling input from you) but you were
responsible for the outcome?
That, I think, is the problem with all this type of discussion. All
that good science / technology / engineering can do is to provide a
product with measurable and predictable properties at a price and
performance that the customers will accept. The testing process
confirms that the performance standards on which the product is
sold are met.
When the product performance has to be idiot (sorry "Customer")
proof then the product will either become unsaleable (too highly
specified for the market place) or unsellable (to low a predicted
worst case performance).
I'm not involved in the printing / paper business (spent most of
my life in materials R&D) but I am a firm believer in showing
customers what the product can do if it is handled properly, with
suitable warnings about detrimental effects of incorrect usage and
storeage.
Anyway, we will never solve such issues here - thank the lord that
as you say, there are forums like this where we can share
experiences and get a better "real world" understanding of how
things work!
Brian