NikonRumor posted hat Nikon had registered a new camera to be released. So now there are two cameras, N2216 and N2312 that will likely be released. It's been speculated the first two digits represents the year and the last 2 digits represents the week that it has been in full development. The Nikon Z6iii was registered N2214, so it took 2 years for full development.
Interesting, I thought a full new camera release would take about 3 years, and in teh cae of the Z6III, would have taken longer still. Maybe they wanted to wait until Expeed 7 was ready before starting on a Z6II replacement.
Thom posted that he thought a new camera would not likely be released until after Labor Day. He also alluded that he thought at new line of camera (not an upgraded existing camera) would make sense. He also did not expect to see a Z7iii given the current line up of available sensors and cost of a one-off high mp sensor.
If a Z7III was happening, it would probably be the same sensor as the Z7II with Expeed 7 processing.
Making a partially stacked Z7III would increase the price to basically current Z8 levels... at which point it becomes useless to make another 45MP camera. I agree with Thom on that one.
So I am guessing the N2216 will likely be a new high end APS-C camera. To be competitive, it would likely be a Z80/Z90. A stacked/partial stacked sensor based off the current technology, 20-24 mp with IBIS. Probably a body like the Z6iii with EXPEED7, lightning fast AF, 4K/60/120. This is sorely needed for the D500 users.
Not sure about that. Sure, D500 users have been complaining about a lack of higher end APS-C camera for a while. But looking at the market right now, there is very little room for a $2000 APS-C body on the market. The only companies that are bothering with high-end $2000+ crop bodies are those that have an extensive lineup of glass to go along with it : Fujifilm, OM-System, Panasonic.
All the others are staying in the sub-1500 range : Sony A6700, Canon EOS R7... Which is in my opinion what Nikon should target as well. The R7, which is technically a mirrorless update to the 90D seemed to make a lot of former 7D2 owners happy. I think that Nikon, if they should release a mid-range APS-C body (since we already have the Z30 and Z50 filling in for the D3000 and D5000 line, let's call it the Z70 to be the D7500 replacement) would most likely target that 1500 USD pricepoint as well, while giving D500 owners what they want just the way Canon did with the R7.
I'm fine with a rumored Z70 having the same 20.9MP sensor as the D7500/D500/Z50, it's a pretty good sensor. If Nikon could make it partially stacked as well, it would be great, and a nice way to stick it to Canon, which have a fast shooting camera with the R7, but suffereing from rolling shutter in electronic shutter mode.
I think it's doable in this price range for sure, but only time will tell if that's what Nikon is going for. It should definitely have IBIS, weather sealing an dual card slots to pretend being a D500 successor. 14/15fps mechanical 20fps electronic sounds like the absolute minimum, as well as 4K60. 4K120 is not that important in this segment to be competitive : the R7 doesn't have it (only does 4K60 with a crop) and the A6700 does 4K120, at the price of a huge crop and heavy quality loss. Not super usable. I'd rather have HD240p, Fujifilm have had this in their cameras since 2018..
The N2312, which has a shorter development time is probably another APS-C. Maybe a Z50II with a fast process and a better LCD screen. But perhaps they will surprise us with a rangefinder design or a ZfcII.
I don't know. Honestly, it could be a lot of things. A Nikon rangefinder design taking back the lines of the Nikon SP could be super great, but I doubt Nikon would go for it. They seem to really leverage their SLR heritage more.
Maybe they could do a Lumix S9 competitor? Like a full frame Z30 of sorts?
The Z50II could be it, but if it was, what would change? Body design? Sensor? Pricepoint? All of the above? Expeed 7 is a given, but I feel like for its target audience, the Z50 is already doing the job it was asked to do, same goes for the Zfc.
We'll see, but I'd bet on an entry level full frame, either rangefinder styled, or without viewfinder entirely : compact full frame cameras is a segment that has been growing a little for a few years, first with the Sony A7C series, then recently with the Lumix S9, I can see Nikon trying to take a step in there before Canon does.