We have had several threads on the shortage of the 800mm PF lens. From the beginning I thought Nikon priced it way too low, at US$6500, while the F-mount 800/5.6 FL is $16300. The Z lens is much lighter and a lot more compact, at merely 1/3 stop slower. Additionally, the production of PF element is a bottleneck.
Here are a few data points to help us get an idea how many 800 PF lenses Nikon is manufacturing:
- 6 April 2022: Nikon officially announced the 800mm PF. As far as I know and according the Roland Vink, serial numbers begin with 20002001.
- 5 May 2022: Chambeshi received his 800 PF in South Africa with serial number 2000214* https://www.dpreview.com/forums/post/66800418
- Late June 2022: A Nikon rep for California told me that if one placed an order at that point, it would take 12 to 18 months to receive the 800 PF or 400/2.8 TC.
- 14 July 2022: Nikon USA officially stop accepting any more new orders for the 800 PF and 400/2.8 TC.
- 5 October 2022: My friend B received his 800 PF, an NPS order from B&H on April 7 (one day after the announcement). His serial number is 200043**.
- 23 November 2022: I received my 800 PF, ordered from B&H on April 6 within the first minute after they opened ordering, but without NPS priority. Serial 200047**.
- 5 December 2022: My friend R received his 800 PF, serial 200049**.
- 24 January 2023: Roland Vink's web site is showing the latest serial number is 20005287. But Roland's web site is not necessarily very up to date.
I downloaded the attached image from Nikon on April 8, 2022. Interestingly, that lens is showing the serial number 20002001, which I believe is the very first number from production. There are earlier serial numbers from pre-production models Nikon had sent to various YouTube reviewers so that those video would be ready at the official announcement on April 6, 2022.
For those who are fortunate enough to have the 800/6.3 PF, it would be interesting if you could supply your serial numbers
without perhaps the last two digits and the date you received it. That may help us get a better idea how many lenses Nikon is shipping. My personal estimate is 300 units a month (maybe slightly more) based on the data points I posted above.
Thanks in advance.