This time of year, from the Perseids to the Quadrantids (peaks 3/4 Jan) is generally a busy time for meteors, and this thread is for anything which does not fit into existing threads on the forum, so please feel free to join in and post anything meteor related here which might not fit in elsewhere.
Of course, as well as the better know meteor showers during this period like the Orionids (peaks 20/21 Oct), Leonids (peaks 17-18 Nov), and Geminids (peaks 13-14 Dec), there are many smaller showers active, as well as sporadics (random meteors not associated with currently known showers), which all adds up, and can make some nights very busy for meteors.
Of particular interest this year, are the Taurids, which are divided into two closely related showers, the Northern (peaks 11/12 Nov), and Southern Taurids (peaks 04/05 Nov). The Taurids are very interesting for a number of reasons. Although rates tend to be low (usually no more than a handful can be observed in an hour, even near peak), a significant portion of these are very bright (fireballs) and sometimes they can be extremely bright. It's thought that a Taurid may have caused the 1908 Tunguska blast that leveled 10's of thousands of square km of forest. So there are good reasons to keep an eye on this shower, and one of the best ways is to image or record footage.
Like the Leonids, which has a 33 year cycle, the Taurids have a 7 year cycle, when fireball rates spike, and the last time this happened was 2015, so this year, 2022, is especially important.
Further reading:
Taurid complex smoking gun: detection of cometary activity
Taurid stream #628: a reservoir of large cometary impactors
An observational synthesis of the Taurid meteor complex
Unlike the Leonids, we don't have predictions for precise times when high activity may occur, and high activity can potentially be spread out over many weeks, as it was in 2015 and 2008. Your best bet is to spend as much time as possible pointing cameras up at the night sky between now and mid November. Anything is possible, so I would not necessarily rule out very high rates, or a complete dud, but in years like this there is always a better chance of something very unusual.
My strategy as the regular posters here will know is, as always, to run my two a7SII cameras + 20/1.4 lenses whenever it's clear. I record footage rather than take stills as it's more forgiving in my situation right now (light pollution).
With other showers active there should not be too many very slow nights in the coming weeks, which of course also is highly dependent on your location (light pollution, and many obstructions hiding your horizons will significantly reduce what you see/catch), but the occasional lull, should be expected. I often go a few nights without seeing much, then all of a sudden there is lots of activity!
Take the last few weeks for example. Basically since the last of the Perseids in early-September, there have been very few bright meteors, then all of a sudden, I get a night (2/3 Sep) when my cameras catch two fireballs.
The first of the two occurred a few minutes before midnight, and was a sporadic according to the UKMON analysis . It was also observed and reported by a few witnesses. Here's a capture from one of the UKMON cameras:

Here's the video:
Interestingly one of the UKMON camera operators who caught the event reported that the magnitude was "-5" when the UKMON analysis states "-2.2". So the automated analysis IS prone to under reporting magnitude, by as much as a factor of 2 it seems - something I have long suspected!
The second event was caught by my other camera in less than ideal conditions (lots of high altitude haze), but the terminal flash, and it's after-glow are easily visible through the muck. The UKMON analysis of this event suggests it was another sporadic with an absolute magnitude of "-3.4", but I think it's likely closer to -7 given what I now know.
According to Stellarium, Jupiter was the next brightest object visible in the footage at magnitude -2.93, and given the difference in altitude above the horizon/atmospheric extinction , I think that there's a strong argument that the fireball must be at least 2x brighter than Jupiter at the time! See screencap from my own footage :

Here's a capture from one of the UKMON cameras:

Here's the video: https://vimeo.com/756458459
No one else reported this event, but I submitted a report to the IMO which is still pending (they must have had a busy night or two I'm guessing).
--
Leo S.
Of course, as well as the better know meteor showers during this period like the Orionids (peaks 20/21 Oct), Leonids (peaks 17-18 Nov), and Geminids (peaks 13-14 Dec), there are many smaller showers active, as well as sporadics (random meteors not associated with currently known showers), which all adds up, and can make some nights very busy for meteors.
Of particular interest this year, are the Taurids, which are divided into two closely related showers, the Northern (peaks 11/12 Nov), and Southern Taurids (peaks 04/05 Nov). The Taurids are very interesting for a number of reasons. Although rates tend to be low (usually no more than a handful can be observed in an hour, even near peak), a significant portion of these are very bright (fireballs) and sometimes they can be extremely bright. It's thought that a Taurid may have caused the 1908 Tunguska blast that leveled 10's of thousands of square km of forest. So there are good reasons to keep an eye on this shower, and one of the best ways is to image or record footage.
Like the Leonids, which has a 33 year cycle, the Taurids have a 7 year cycle, when fireball rates spike, and the last time this happened was 2015, so this year, 2022, is especially important.
Further reading:
Taurid complex smoking gun: detection of cometary activity
Taurid stream #628: a reservoir of large cometary impactors
An observational synthesis of the Taurid meteor complex
Unlike the Leonids, we don't have predictions for precise times when high activity may occur, and high activity can potentially be spread out over many weeks, as it was in 2015 and 2008. Your best bet is to spend as much time as possible pointing cameras up at the night sky between now and mid November. Anything is possible, so I would not necessarily rule out very high rates, or a complete dud, but in years like this there is always a better chance of something very unusual.
My strategy as the regular posters here will know is, as always, to run my two a7SII cameras + 20/1.4 lenses whenever it's clear. I record footage rather than take stills as it's more forgiving in my situation right now (light pollution).
With other showers active there should not be too many very slow nights in the coming weeks, which of course also is highly dependent on your location (light pollution, and many obstructions hiding your horizons will significantly reduce what you see/catch), but the occasional lull, should be expected. I often go a few nights without seeing much, then all of a sudden there is lots of activity!
Take the last few weeks for example. Basically since the last of the Perseids in early-September, there have been very few bright meteors, then all of a sudden, I get a night (2/3 Sep) when my cameras catch two fireballs.
The first of the two occurred a few minutes before midnight, and was a sporadic according to the UKMON analysis . It was also observed and reported by a few witnesses. Here's a capture from one of the UKMON cameras:

Here's the video:
Interestingly one of the UKMON camera operators who caught the event reported that the magnitude was "-5" when the UKMON analysis states "-2.2". So the automated analysis IS prone to under reporting magnitude, by as much as a factor of 2 it seems - something I have long suspected!
The second event was caught by my other camera in less than ideal conditions (lots of high altitude haze), but the terminal flash, and it's after-glow are easily visible through the muck. The UKMON analysis of this event suggests it was another sporadic with an absolute magnitude of "-3.4", but I think it's likely closer to -7 given what I now know.
According to Stellarium, Jupiter was the next brightest object visible in the footage at magnitude -2.93, and given the difference in altitude above the horizon/atmospheric extinction , I think that there's a strong argument that the fireball must be at least 2x brighter than Jupiter at the time! See screencap from my own footage :

Here's a capture from one of the UKMON cameras:

Here's the video: https://vimeo.com/756458459
No one else reported this event, but I submitted a report to the IMO which is still pending (they must have had a busy night or two I'm guessing).
--
Leo S.
Last edited:








