I’m thinking about purchasing the lens like really soon. Do you think I should wait?
The honest answer is that no one here knows (or if they do, they aren't allowed to say).
And what do you anticipate the new lens would go for?
Again, if anyone here has any actual information, they will be in legal (and other) jeopardy if they share it.
The best you will get is conjecture, most of which is based on looking at what Sony have done with other releases and making guesses as to whether they might do something similar.
What that amounts to is something like:
- A new 24-70 GM will probably be released sometime between next week and the end of 2025.
- It will likely be a bit lighter, possibly a bit smaller, and probably optically excellent (though, contrary to some reports, the current 24-70 GM is no slouch, IMO).
- It will probably cost either about the same as the current 24-70GM did at release --- or a bit more, or (just possibly) a bit less.
Glad I was able to clear that up for you! ; )
It is definitely going to be noticeable more expensive, People though the same thing you do with the 70-200 but Sony has proven again and again that their pricing is very predictable because they price lenses in the following GM categories, 1,4-1,8, 1.2, Variable zoom & 2.8 zoom, within each category it will often be within €200 differences at launch prices.
2.8 zoom of same generation is going to be priced within a very modest amount of each other. This isn’t going to be noticeable more cheaper then the 70-200 or 12-24 , meaning it going to be around €2999/ $2798-2998 just like the others.
A good example of this is in Europe (Germany) following 1.4-1.8 lenses where launched at:
GM 14 €1599
GM 24 €1599
GM 35 €1699
On top GM 85 the older lens has been reduced to guess what €1599 and the 135 to €1699 Coincidence I do not think so.
All odds will say it will come out some time this year and it will be announced somewhere between February and black friday.. But unless you preorder immediately you won’t get it before 2023. I don’t think Sony can stretch it much longer then that, because this is what their consumer demands and it’s a lens in dire need of updating.
This also mean the 85/1.2 is going to be €2299 or +/- €100