I was on the fence but went ahead and pre-ordered the Z 14-30 f/4 today from Amazon. I like the zoom range. I can add some cost effective 3rd party primes when a better selections become available. I currently have the Z6 with the 24-70 f/4 and I'm very happy with it.
Amazon is now listing an availability date of April 18. Kits with this lens show as "Available"
The Adorama penalty may well come into play for me. They say it will be released the 18th, but can't promise it'll ship before they close. If it doesn't get shipped before that, it won't arrive til May.
:-(
When did you place your order with Adorama?
Three weeks ago, end of March.
Ok, so maybe Adorama ships what they get in their initial shipment tomorrow and then anyone that didn't make that shipment gets the "Adorama penalty" (assuming they receive more stock before they re-open). It seems possible that end of March orders would miss the initial shipment if the demand really is high.
It does seem possible. It's hard to know what is reasonable to expect. How many people ordered? How many did they get in? That sort of thing. If 10,000 people ordered one through Adorama (seems unlikely), it's pretty unreasonable to expect them to get and move that many immediately.
Tomorrow should be telling. If Amazon opens regular orders without a shipping delay, I feel like I should have no problems. If it's immediately on backorder, I'm probably out of luck.