D800->Z7 or wait for next generation?

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Although I followed this forum in the last months, I am quite unsure at the moment if I should buy the Z7 and sell the D800, or wait for the next generation model. Currently I am using a D800 for my amateur photography.

Main interests are portraiture (on location and sometimes in a studio), landscape, travel and to some extent events, i.e. small concerts in dimly lit rooms. BIF, wildlife, sports and action only to a very, very small amount, next to nothing.
I use speedlights for my portraiture work and also available light, partly I shoot at night, with the citylights as a background, hence the use of flash :-)

What are my main requirements?

1.) My main reason to switch is to get rid of AF fine tune/AF micro adjustments and to get precise AF all the time. This requirement is madatory. The more I dived deeper in portraiture the more I recognised, that the focus was not nailed in a lot of pictures. I fiddled around with Reikan software to AFMA my lenses but only with limited success. So I send all my gear (the D800, 24-70/2.8, 70-200/2.8) to Nikon to check and adjust. The result is better, but sometimes the camera struggles to nail the focus. Then I bought a 85/1.8 lens and it missed the focus a lot. By the way a second lens was even worse in combination with my camera. So Nikon checked and adjusted the 85 lens, too. The results are better, but I am still not convinced, that the miss-focus plague is gone forever, as the focus problems in the past seem to be distance and brightness dependent and quite complex. At the end it is a DSLR. :-)

2.) Sometimes my D800 AF is hunting in dimly lit situations, and so does the life view AF, so it would be nice if the new camera shows an improved behavior in dim light conditions. This would be a nice to have feature, but it is not mandatory.

3.) I want (nearly) full frame AF point coverage. Obviously this box is ticked, the Z7 fullfills that requirement.

I was lucky to use the Z7 for two or three hours during a workshop under real conditions, with an early 1.0.x firmware. Regrettably I wasn't instantly convinced, the AF system seems to be a weakness, i.e. I got the impression, that it is not that much superior in comparision to my D800:
At the moment I am shooting in AF-C with back button focus nearly all the time, but with the Z7 I tried, I noticed several times even under daylight conditions, that it hunts more then once. That was new to me, although I had to admit, that I can't say wether my D800 is quite free of hunting in such situations or if I got only used to it, so I don't recognize it anymore or if it was just a user error handling the Z7. :-)
So I switched to AF-S and the hit rate was dramatically higher. But even there I had a series of pictures which are out of focus, whatever it was at the end of the day I had mixed feelings about the Z7, which brought me to this forum.

Hopefully I can get here some valuable experiences of former D800 users, who can give a comparision of the Z7's AF system related to the D800 in general and especially the experience with the AF-C modes.

My third worry:

As I use very often flash, I am a little bit concerned by the shorter flash sync time, being 1/200 (Z7) and 1/250 (my D800).
Is this of any major importance? I understand that there will be a significant loss in flash output at shutter speeds at or shorter than 1/250 with the Z7, but should I worry about it? Some kind of complication that I am not aware of at the moment?

But my main concern is the potential need for AF fine tune. After reading all that stuff here and in blogs (e.g. https://blog.reikanfocal.com/2018/10/the-new-nikon-z7-investigating-with-reikan-focal/ and this one https://eduardolibby.com/2018/12/22/nikons-z7-requires-af-fine-tuning/ ) I feel unsure if a switch to the Z7 is the right step to get rid of AFMA now and forever.

Thank you very much for reading all the text!
:-)
 
What are my main requirements?

1.) My main reason to switch is to get rid of AF fine tune/AF micro adjustments and to get precise AF all the time. This requirement is mandatory. The more I dived deeper in portraiture the more I recognised, that the focus was not nailed in a lot of pictures. I fiddled around with Reikan software to AFMA my lenses but only with limited success. So I send all my gear (the D800, 24-70/2.8, 70-200/2.8) to Nikon to check and adjust. The result is better, but sometimes the camera struggles to nail the focus. Then I bought a 85/1.8 lens and it missed the focus a lot. By the way a second lens was even worse in combination with my camera. So Nikon checked and adjusted the 85 lens, too. The results are better, but I am still not convinced, that the miss-focus plague is gone forever, as the focus problems in the past seem to be distance and brightness dependent and quite complex. At the end it is a DSLR. :-)
You've got it wrong here. The Z6/7 and other mirrorless cameras use Phase Detect AF most of the time. In the first mirrorless cameras, Contrast Detect AF was used but it was unacceptably slow. Now with the Z6/Z7, the only mode that uses Contrast Detect AF is AF-S with Pinpoint AF. So you will still need to consider using AF Fine Tuning, but you do have the option of Pinpoint AF if your subject is not moving much. I used AF-S pinpoint and LowLight AF to photograph the lunar eclipse and it was spectacular - to the point where I stopped using my D850.
You are right saying that the pinpoint mode is the only mode which uses CDAF. But I thought that the general consensus is that the Z7 has a hybrid AF system, which means that after the PDAF step a CDAF step follows which would correct any misfocus of the previous PDAF step. Although the thoughts and opinions are quite mixed if both steps (PDAF and CDAF) are always done or only sometimes depending of the conditions.

The first rumors even said that there is only PDAF (without CDAF) with adapted lenses, which was later on denied by some Nikon engineers in an interview.

So my hope is that due to the hybrid character of the AF system any misfocus from the PDAF step will be corrected with CDAF so that there is no need to fine tune your lenses.

And even if the CDAF not always kicks in, the possible misalignment errors between the dedicated AF sensor and the sensor plane are non existing, so the need for AFMA should be dramatically lower. That is my hope and my main reason for considering an update to a Z7.
You have not considered the three big advantages of the Z.

1. Pointpoint AF is not available on the D800 but is on the D850 using LiveView. It's available through the EVF on the Z cameras - and is very accurate albeit a little slower.

2. The Z cameras have focus peaking using AF-S. It's available through the viewfinder so you can see exactly what plane is is focus and adjust if needed.
Is the focus peaking also available if the focus mode is not set to manual?
I think the Z7/Z6 cameras are terrific. There are a few instances where the D850 is better, and places where the Z7/Z6 are better than any other camera. I'm not sure there is anything that my D800/D800E does better than the Z7/Z6.
 
Btw, do you use flash? Do you see any limitations regarding the lower flash sync time?
Yes I use flash and no the sync speed does not bother me. I grew up with 1/60s which was OK for me for several decades, so 1/200s is fine. If I need faster then there is the high speed mode also.

What is not awailable is the AF assist light, but I solved that issue with this external AF assist light.
That device sounds interesting. Hopefully the high intensity LED is not harmful to the eye...
Green laser is very harmful, but this is NOT laser, but pure visible green light. It is as harmful as any other high intensity LED, and that is not at all harmful, but can be irritating if you keep playing with the shutter release and keep on half pressing without need. It's green and has the same intensity and wave length as the built in AF assist LED of the Z7. It is on only for as long as the built in AF assist LED is.
 
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So I send all my gear (the D800, 24-70/2.8, 70-200/2.8) to Nikon to check and adjust. The result is better, but sometimes the camera struggles to nail the focus. Then I bought a 85/1.8 lens and it missed the focus a lot. By the way a second lens was even worse in combination with my camera. So Nikon checked and adjusted the 85 lens, too. The results are better, but I am still not convinced, that the miss-focus plague is gone forever,
STOP!

Hire a Z 7 with FTZ and try it during a portrait session - ideal after the May update.

A possible reason for your current AF frustration is you have not realised D800 outer points do not detect detail parallel to the long dimension of the frame.
Well, I know that the outer AF points are not cross type, but no matter how the detail is oriented, in my experience the outer points are rather weak and unreliable. FWIW that was also the result of several measurements with Reikan Focal. And the misfocus of the 85/1.8G was clear to see even using only the center field.
This is less than ideal for focussing on an eye with the camera in portrait position, especially if the sitter does not wear strong eye make up.
The Z's do not work well with detail parallel to the long dimension of the frame which is OK for some subjects but not for others.

You could end up jumping out of the frying pan into the fire with some AF subjects.
Ok, I think I got your point: As the Z7 has no cross type AF points, the AF system is probably as problematic as my D800, right?
The Z's should be better for focussing on the eye in portraiture once the May update is released.
Hopefully that update will not only include the eye tracking, but will also include enhancements of the capabilities of the AF system itself (and some usability improvements).
By hiring a Z you can quickly learn if you find it overall better or worse for the photography you do.
Yes, you are right, I am also considering a rent. But again I have mixed feelings, because even if I would rent it for a day, I am not sure if I can gain so much insights in such a short time compared to someone who has used it for weeks or months. Thus I created this thread to listen to the experiences and opinions of other users.
 
...unless you already know the camera. I mean, who is ready to hire a camera long enough to learn everything about the camera, read the thick reference manual and play with the camera long enough to know it? It's pretty expensive, and unless you hire it for long enough you will not get the full picture of how it works, what's good and not good, which situations you have to think or use it differently and so on. Just to get your hands on the camera there is no need to hire, just go to a shop and try it there. That gives you an idea about the feel of the camera. If you like the feel, I am sure the rest will be solved automatically in time.

Another thing is that if you are not sure about it then wait. Save the money and see how it turns out. Maybe you'll feel more secure later on, maybe not, but waiting for a new model will not change anything because the new model, when it comes, will be more expensive and you will end up with the same insecure questions...

On the other hand, in the meantime, while you are waiting, the Z7 will become cheaper (maybe) so you may change your mind because of the price drop.

I think hiring cameras is more beneficial for those who are familiar with the camera they hire and need one on short terms, temporarily.
 
So I send all my gear (the D800, 24-70/2.8, 70-200/2.8) to Nikon to check and adjust. The result is better, but sometimes the camera struggles to nail the focus. Then I bought a 85/1.8 lens and it missed the focus a lot. By the way a second lens was even worse in combination with my camera. So Nikon checked and adjusted the 85 lens, too. The results are better, but I am still not convinced, that the miss-focus plague is gone forever,
STOP!

Hire a Z 7 with FTZ and try it during a portrait session - ideal after the May update.

A possible reason for your current AF frustration is you have not realised D800 outer points do not detect detail parallel to the long dimension of the frame.
Well, I know that the outer AF points are not cross type, but no matter how the detail is oriented, in my experience the outer points are rather weak and unreliable. FWIW that was also the result of several measurements with Reikan Focal. And the misfocus of the 85/1.8G was clear to see even using only the center field.
This is less than ideal for focussing on an eye with the camera in portrait position, especially if the sitter does not wear strong eye make up.

The Z's do not work well with detail parallel to the long dimension of the frame which is OK for some subjects but not for others.

You could end up jumping out of the frying pan into the fire with some AF subjects.
Ok, I think I got your point: As the Z7 has no cross type AF points, the AF system is probably as problematic as my D800, right?
The Z's should be better for focussing on the eye in portraiture once the May update is released.
Hopefully that update will not only include the eye tracking, but will also include enhancements of the capabilities of the AF system itself (and some usability improvements).
By hiring a Z you can quickly learn if you find it overall better or worse for the photography you do.
Yes, you are right, I am also considering a rent. But again I have mixed feelings, because even if I would rent it for a day, I am not sure if I can gain so much insights in such a short time compared to someone who has used it for weeks or months. Thus I created this thread to listen to the experiences and opinions of other users.
I think what Len is saying is that with all cameras, the skill in getting sharp images comes from the photographer rather than the gear. If you can't get sharp images with the D800, it's you - not the camera. Sure - there are settings that don't work as you might like, and you can choose AF sensors that are better or worse than others, but those are normal things for any camera. In skilled hands these issues are insignificant. Even the best technology requires you know when and how to use it effectively.

My experience is that while the Z6/Z7 does not have cross AF points, its usually not a barrier to sharp images. It has more AF points and you can use the EVF to check focus and adjust if needed. Focus peaking is only available with manual focus - but that can help too.

I do agree - a one day rental won't tell you much. Most likely you'll spend several hours figuring out how to tweak the camera for your use, and understanding how to choose the right AF setting. You'll have to be willing to modify your technique to fit the camera. But once you know the camera, there is no question that the results are superior to your D800.
 
So I send all my gear (the D800, 24-70/2.8, 70-200/2.8) to Nikon to check and adjust. The result is better, but sometimes the camera struggles to nail the focus. Then I bought a 85/1.8 lens and it missed the focus a lot. By the way a second lens was even worse in combination with my camera. So Nikon checked and adjusted the 85 lens, too. The results are better, but I am still not convinced, that the miss-focus plague is gone forever,
STOP!

Hire a Z 7 with FTZ and try it during a portrait session - ideal after the May update.

A possible reason for your current AF frustration is you have not realised D800 outer points do not detect detail parallel to the long dimension of the frame.
Well, I know that the outer AF points are not cross type, but no matter how the detail is oriented, in my experience the outer points are rather weak and unreliable. FWIW that was also the result of several measurements with Reikan Focal. And the misfocus of the 85/1.8G was clear to see even using only the center field.
This is less than ideal for focussing on an eye with the camera in portrait position, especially if the sitter does not wear strong eye make up.

The Z's do not work well with detail parallel to the long dimension of the frame which is OK for some subjects but not for others.

You could end up jumping out of the frying pan into the fire with some AF subjects.
Ok, I think I got your point: As the Z7 has no cross type AF points, the AF system is probably as problematic as my D800, right?
The Z's should be better for focussing on the eye in portraiture once the May update is released.
Hopefully that update will not only include the eye tracking, but will also include enhancements of the capabilities of the AF system itself (and some usability improvements).
By hiring a Z you can quickly learn if you find it overall better or worse for the photography you do.
Yes, you are right, I am also considering a rent. But again I have mixed feelings, because even if I would rent it for a day, I am not sure if I can gain so much insights in such a short time compared to someone who has used it for weeks or months. Thus I created this thread to listen to the experiences and opinions of other users.
I think what Len is saying is that with all cameras, the skill in getting sharp images comes from the photographer rather than the gear. If you can't get sharp images with the D800, it's you - not the camera. Sure - there are settings that don't work as you might like, and you can choose AF sensors that are better or worse than others, but those are normal things for any camera. In skilled hands these issues are insignificant. Even the best technology requires you know when and how to use it effectively.
Well, I agree, but only to a certain extent.

Yes, you are right, the D800 is capable of stunning and sharp images, no question. And of course it is the photographer not the tool, not the camera. I am not so naive to think that I will take better images with a Z7 or any other camera.

But, and now I have to diagree, in my opinion some issues are not insignificant. They are becoming more and more significant if these issues begin to rain on your parade. I was already afraid of buying a f/1.8 lens after my mixed experiences with my 2.8 lenses wide open, although I originally wanted a f/1.4 lens. And the focus problem of both 85/1.8 lenses were visible using the center focus points. The next shootings will tell wether the problem is solved or persistent.

I just want to get rid of the DSLR's inherent possible AF problems, i.e. AFMA, that I experienced. That is my main expectation and my hope a Z7 has to fullfil. I don't want to care if my camera can handle a f/1.2 or not or if I have to better use only the centre AF fields, I just want to be confident in my camera and I want to concentrate in composing and in taking the picture, capture the moment and to become a better photographer, what is already hard enough. ;-)

Of course everyone has different experiences, I respect that. And of course I am not stating that it is impossible to get sharp images with a DSLR or the D800, but to be honest, at the moment I am a little bit frustrated.

At the end it seems that I am not alone, as one can read in this thread and here in this forum in general.
My experience is that while the Z6/Z7 does not have cross AF points, its usually not a barrier to sharp images. It has more AF points and you can use the EVF to check focus and adjust if needed. Focus peaking is only available with manual focus - but that can help too.
If I zoom in the EVF, does the frame rate decrease drastically?
I do agree - a one day rental won't tell you much. Most likely you'll spend several hours figuring out how to tweak the camera for your use, and understanding how to choose the right AF setting. You'll have to be willing to modify your technique to fit the camera. But once you know the camera, there is no question that the results are superior to your D800.
 
.... I was already afraid of buying a f/1.8 lens after my mixed experiences with my 2.8 lenses wide open, although I originally wanted a f/1.4 lens. And the focus problem of both 85/1.8 lenses were visible using the center focus points. The next shootings will tell wether the problem is solved or persistent.

I just want to get rid of the DSLR's inherent possible AF problems, i.e. AFMA, that I experienced. That is my main expectation and my hope a Z7 has to fullfil. I don't want to care if my camera can handle a f/1.2 or not or if I have to better use only the centre AF fields, I just want to be confident in my camera and I want to concentrate in composing and in taking the picture, capture the moment and to become a better photographer, what is already hard enough. ;-)
A very reasonable expectation.

This is where I can offer my own observation and experience with my Z7 compared to D750/D800/D700 :

I found that the focus accuracy that I get with the Z7 with both 50 1.8G and 85 1.8G f-mount lenses is in a class of its own. Make no mistake, I got good and sharp images with these lenses on my DSLRs, but I had to focus tune them at specific apertures to be able to do so, and then the focus accuracy at (or near) those apertures were good. Eg., I focus tuned these lenses at f2.5 which gave me reasonable accuracy from f1.8 to f5.6.

With the Z7 I did not need any tuning whatsoever, I get very good results from f1.8 right up to f8, which is generally the smallest aperture I use. I suppose the reason for this is that the camera focusses using the chosen aperture and only stop down to f5.6 when the chosen aperture is smaller than f5.6.

Add the fact that these lenses are now also stabilised via IBIS and I suddenly get far more use out of my two primes.

I've never really been fond of using primes but now it's a different story, even to the point of where I consider getting one or two more!

This kind of difference between Z7 and D800 might just be important enough to make a difference to you as well.
 
Some quick thoughts:

I used to AF tune my lenses on my DSLR's. It was a frustrating experience. The optimal value would fluctuate with Focal length (on zoom lenses), with distance, it seemed to even fluctuate with temperature. I have found this is not the case with my Z7. Any fluctuation in tested "optimal" values seems to fluctuate around zero, and is just noise. If not having to deal with tuning lenses is important to you, I would say switch now.

On my D500 and D5 cameras, I used AF-C as my default focus mode. It just worked. On my Z7 I use AF-S as my default and use AF-C on a situtational basis. AF-S is rock solid and if your subjects are mostly static, I'd say go for it. If solid AF-C performance is really important to you, I would say wait for the next generation.
I have the same experience as Alex, using the D800 with the Nikon 35mm f/1.4 at 1.4 was a nightmare about AF calibration, since I got the Z6 I have tack sharp photos at f/1.4 without calibration.

Same thing about AF-S / AF-C, I use a D5 for work and bought the Z6 for personal proyects (street, portraits, etc) and I´m very pleased on how AF-S works.

Best Regards
 
I have the same experience as Alex, using the D800 with the Nikon 35mm f/1.4 at 1.4 was a nightmare about AF calibration, since I got the Z6 I have tack sharp photos at f/1.4 without calibration.
Lots of us (and a very significant majority of the photographers I meet) have no difficulty getting good focus accuracy with DSLR phase detect over 97% of the time.

Whether it is because this majority appreciate phase detect is unlikely to be at its best with some types of subjects is a separate topic.

While ML largely removes phase detect AF from the equation, no amount of fine tune is likely to get ML to focus consistently well on a line parallel to the long dimension of the frame ;-)

Z bodies IMO can help get critical manual focus more accurate.
 
I have the same experience as Alex, using the D800 with the Nikon 35mm f/1.4 at 1.4 was a nightmare about AF calibration, since I got the Z6 I have tack sharp photos at f/1.4 without calibration.
Lots of us (and a very significant majority of the photographers I meet) have no difficulty getting good focus accuracy with DSLR phase detect over 97% of the time.
...but also 97% of the time,they don't use fast lenses wide open. There is no doubt that the Z7 is more accurate at f/1.4 compared to the D800, regardless which AF point is used or what the target is.
Whether it is because this majority appreciate phase detect is unlikely to be at its best with some types of subjects is a separate topic.

While ML largely removes phase detect AF from the equation, no amount of fine tune is likely to get ML to focus consistently well on a line parallel to the long dimension of the frame ;-)
That's true, but rarely a problem and is often easily solved.
Z bodies IMO can help get critical manual focus more accurate.
Definitely true as well.
 
Some quick thoughts:

I used to AF tune my lenses on my DSLR's. It was a frustrating experience. The optimal value would fluctuate with Focal length (on zoom lenses), with distance, it seemed to even fluctuate with temperature. I have found this is not the case with my Z7. Any fluctuation in tested "optimal" values seems to fluctuate around zero, and is just noise. If not having to deal with tuning lenses is important to you, I would say switch now.

On my D500 and D5 cameras, I used AF-C as my default focus mode. It just worked. On my Z7 I use AF-S as my default and use AF-C on a situtational basis. AF-S is rock solid and if your subjects are mostly static, I'd say go for it. If solid AF-C performance is really important to you, I would say wait for the next generation.
I have the same experience as Alex, using the D800 with the Nikon 35mm f/1.4 at 1.4 was a nightmare about AF calibration, since I got the Z6 I have tack sharp photos at f/1.4 without calibration.
Calibration only works for one distance, at least the type we users can do.

I agree that the Z is better wide open, also with the Z7 and the 50/1.4. A huge difference between the D800 and the Z7 in this regard.
Same thing about AF-S / AF-C, I use a D5 for work and bought the Z6 for personal proyects (street, portraits, etc) and I´m very pleased on how AF-S works.

Best Regards
 
z7: The combination of silent shooting, in-body-IS and on-chip-focussing makes it joy to shoot again on not too moving subjects. Would not bet on it for my dog running towards cam, here the D810 is better still.
Funny...



ec1d96153e654ca6a9df5b1f159ee1a9.jpg

Th Z6/Z7 can do it.

--
Laslo
 
Loving to shoot wide open (85/1.4, 24/1.4 and 200/2) I was massivly annoyed when I stepped from D700 to D800 and threw in another chunk of money for the D810.
To be honest, I didn't dare to buy the 85/1.4, instead I bought the 85/1.8, because I have not that much confidence in the D800 AF to manage that shallow DoF.
D700: no issues I ever realized

D800: AF on everything but eyes no matter what. AF plain unuasable in dark tungsten or even candle light.
Well, in my experience it is not that bad. Although the lighting conditions you describe are sometimes challenging. Often they lead to missfocued shoots, indeed.
D810: better than D800 but lots of misses on candle light or on backlight situations still, kept me frustrated

z7: The combination of silent shooting, in-body-IS and on-chip-focussing makes it joy to shoot again on not too moving subjects. Would not bet on it for my dog running towards cam, here the D810 is better still.
Running or walking? A walking model is hopefully covered by the AF system?
No problem at all with such subjects.
 
Some quick thoughts:

I used to AF tune my lenses on my DSLR's. It was a frustrating experience. The optimal value would fluctuate with Focal length (on zoom lenses), with distance, it seemed to even fluctuate with temperature. I have found this is not the case with my Z7. Any fluctuation in tested "optimal" values seems to fluctuate around zero, and is just noise. If not having to deal with tuning lenses is important to you, I would say switch now.

On my D500 and D5 cameras, I used AF-C as my default focus mode. It just worked. On my Z7 I use AF-S as my default and use AF-C on a situtational basis. AF-S is rock solid and if your subjects are mostly static, I'd say go for it. If solid AF-C performance is really important to you, I would say wait for the next generation.
I have the same experience as Alex, using the D800 with the Nikon 35mm f/1.4 at 1.4 was a nightmare about AF calibration, since I got the Z6 I have tack sharp photos at f/1.4 without calibration.
Calibration only works for one distance, at least the type we users can do.
And to make things worse, for zoom lenses there is only one AFMA value. So I had troubles to tune my 24-70/2.8 which has more problems wide open in the 24-30mm range.
I agree that the Z is better wide open, also with the Z7 and the 50/1.4. A huge difference between the D800 and the Z7 in this regard.
Same thing about AF-S / AF-C, I use a D5 for work and bought the Z6 for personal proyects (street, portraits, etc) and I´m very pleased on how AF-S works.

Best Regards
 
z7: The combination of silent shooting, in-body-IS and on-chip-focussing makes it joy to shoot again on not too moving subjects. Would not bet on it for my dog running towards cam, here the D810 is better still.
Funny...

ec1d96153e654ca6a9df5b1f159ee1a9.jpg

Th Z6/Z7 can do it.
That's a pretty good Z6 image. When examined at 100%, the DOF is pretty well centered between the front and back of the dog which is very good for a subject coming right at you. Further, it's good for a dark colored subject without a ton of contrasting elements. But, there does appear to be plenty of bright sunlight (judging by the shadow) so it isn't a particularly difficult set of circumstances to draw wide ranging conclusions from.

FYI, the EXIF gives us 1/1600, 220mm, ISO 800, but curiously does not give us the aperture.

Also, it's not fair to assume the Z7 has exactly the same capabilities as the Z6. This is one place where the two may have different strengths/weaknesses due to the different size/qty of AF sensors.

Anyway, nice to see the Z6 nail this one.

--
John
 
Some quick thoughts:

I used to AF tune my lenses on my DSLR's. It was a frustrating experience. The optimal value would fluctuate with Focal length (on zoom lenses), with distance, it seemed to even fluctuate with temperature. I have found this is not the case with my Z7. Any fluctuation in tested "optimal" values seems to fluctuate around zero, and is just noise. If not having to deal with tuning lenses is important to you, I would say switch now.

On my D500 and D5 cameras, I used AF-C as my default focus mode. It just worked. On my Z7 I use AF-S as my default and use AF-C on a situtational basis. AF-S is rock solid and if your subjects are mostly static, I'd say go for it. If solid AF-C performance is really important to you, I would say wait for the next generation.
Or at the very least see how the update pans out.
 
For me it was a no-brainer. The D800 was a nice camera, but it was sufficiently large and heavy that I almost never took it out. Instead, I used a D7200 and a Fuji X-T2. Given that the D800 was gathering dust, it made sense for me to dump it while it still had some resale / trade-in value. In addition, I dumped the D7200. It was a fine DX camera, but the Z7 is still smaller, lighter and it provides about the same resolution in DX crop format as the D7200. Thus, for me the Z7 replaced 2 cameras.

In fact, the Z7 with the kit 24-70 lens is only a bit larger and heavier than the X-T2 with its (very nice) 18-55 kit lens. Now, whenever I travel or spend the day away from home, I almost always take the Z7 rather than the Fuji. The Fuji still wins if I mount the pancake 27mm lens as that combo is really small and light. If only Nikon or Sigma would make a pancake lens in the 30mm to 40mm range for the Z, then I might not need the Fuji at all.

Anyway, if you are still using the D800 and its size and weight are not slowing you down, you can likely afford to wait for the next Z camera and a few more native Z lenses. Otherwise, if the D800 met your shooting needs, but you want something smaller and lighter, I don't think you lose anything going with the Z7.

Good luck
 
I think you should wait. Next generation of Z cameras will surely be better than today's Z6/Z7s and if you can wait longer, the generation after will be even better than next generation ones, and next to next generation will be far far superior.

And imagine the camera ten generations later... Waiting is the best thing you can do...
 
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For me it was a no-brainer. The D800 was a nice camera, but it was sufficiently large and heavy that I almost never took it out. Instead, I used a D7200 and a Fuji X-T2. Given that the D800 was gathering dust, it made sense for me to dump it while it still had some resale / trade-in value. In addition, I dumped the D7200. It was a fine DX camera, but the Z7 is still smaller, lighter and it provides about the same resolution in DX crop format as the D7200. Thus, for me the Z7 replaced 2 cameras.

In fact, the Z7 with the kit 24-70 lens is only a bit larger and heavier than the X-T2 with its (very nice) 18-55 kit lens. Now, whenever I travel or spend the day away from home, I almost always take the Z7 rather than the Fuji. The Fuji still wins if I mount the pancake 27mm lens as that combo is really small and light. If only Nikon or Sigma would make a pancake lens in the 30mm to 40mm range for the Z, then I might not need the Fuji at all.

Anyway, if you are still using the D800 and its size and weight are not slowing you down, you can likely afford to wait for the next Z camera and a few more native Z lenses. Otherwise, if the D800 met your shooting needs, but you want something smaller and lighter, I don't think you lose anything going with the Z7.

Good luck
Much like you, I replaced two cameras (a D750 and a complete X-T2 system) with a Z7.

I also found the Z7 + 24-70S to be close in size to the X-T2 + 18-55, just a bit heavier. In any event, the Z7 + 24-70S is now my main kit and working very well for me. I kept a 50 1.8G and 85 1.8G (both work quite well on the Z) and will add the 14-30S when that becomes available.

My wife (who is very fond of her D800, and loves her 14-24 f2.8) is now eyeing my Z7 and I suspect that once she sees the diminutive size and weight of the Z7 + 14-30 compared to her D800 + 14-24 she is going to want a similar setup.
 
I think you should wait. Next generation of Z cameras will surely be better than today's Z6/Z7s and if you can wait longer, the generation after will be even better than next generation ones, and next to next generation will be far far superior.

And imagine the camera ten generations later... Waiting is the best thing you can do...
:-D

I got your point and you are right. But for me it is not a matter of will the next gen. camera be better than this one. It is a matter of will this camera meet my main requirements, because every upgrade of gear means a loss of money.
 

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