How long before our cameras are obsolete ?

As the OP I asked a question that related to time.

As far as I can see .apart from rattling a few cages and quite a few.....Never never never !!!! answers I dont think anyone has answered the question.

One interesting comment from a mature contributor said he had witnessed the demise of film.........sunk by new technology.....so what is going to kill todays camera ?

Possibly It will be a smart phone of some sort with converging technology that will overcome most of the technical objections raised here.

If you can imagine it ...you can build it .
I don't think a phone over taking a camera will happen in our lifetimes. People like to get all excited about how their 4/3 cameras are out doing FF; when that is just brand boy talk and nothing more.

Probably less than 10% of pros use something smaller than a FF and now you want to predict when something smaller than 1" will over take the camera. I will go with never since I will never live long enough to see it.
 
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Perhaps, at least for us older photographers, it is because we have already gone through a mass extinction event, with the death of film cameras. It wasn't that our film cameras ceased to work, or that we ceased to be able to buy film or get it processed. Instead, a whole ecosystem of skills, techniques and equipment that were integral to photography as we knew it ceased to be relevant. We had to learn and buy everything all over again.
I don't see it that way. Skills I learned shooting film still apply. I never did my own darkroom work, though I imagine that helps with post processing, at least a little. I migrated to new gear over time, initially using all of my old lenses. And the thing is - I welcomed that shift - I embraced digital. And I imagine a lot of other "older photographers" did, too. We weren't afraid of digital; reluctant to try something new. No scars here, only smiles.

So when I argue that cell phones aren't the obvious evolution of (all) cameras, it's not out of some objection to change. Cell phones are, apparently, the evolution of compact digicams. Suggesting that cell phones will replace all cameras is no more logical than suggesting that pocketable digicams would have eventually replaced all other cameras.
I suspect that is behind many of these posts, however irrational it may be.
Maybe, but not in my case. I'll admit that things continue to change - that video is becoming increasing important and will continue to have an effect on the gear that we can buy; that manufacturers are looking to increase profit margins and concentrate on high end gear; that most photos are shared on social media and hardly anything is printed any more ... I don't like all the changes I can foresee and I'm sure we'll be blindsided by others. But I can't pay any heed to the idea that manufacturers who are currently investing tons of money in ILC systems (including Nikon & Canon rumored to be developing new systems) are going to stop making cameras and consumers are going to stop demanding cameras, because phones get more capable.

- Dennis
--
Gallery at http://kingofthebeasts.smugmug.com
 
Dennis you protest too much :) I didn't know you were the forum spokesman.

The future is going to trample a lot folks inflexible ideas .

Photography has already changed.......can Nikon/canon /Fuji not have an eye on the changes in the market place... my guess is they are already looking at ways of tapping into future markets that they have lost out to.

Todays smart phone technology isnt going to replace the cameras we use now..........but the generation

after the generation after the generation after that just might.....and the new world answer will probably not look like a camera.
 
I presume that most folks here do not earn their living from photography.

I bet most of the images we make are viewed on screens and stored in a computer.

I love my camera gear and I enjoy photography of all sorts but the quality of the latest generation of smart phones is impressive. Both for stills and video.

What's more they are easy to carry..........you can make phone calls and text...watch films and TV. And play games . Not to mention access to the net. I' stating the obvious but this coming together of technology must signal the end of photography and camera gear as we know it .

The latest smart phones are Impressive ..really impressive.
It may not have escaped your attention that cell phones do an abysmal, completely unacceptable job indoors in normal room lighting, especially if anyone is moving. Anyone can put 12 or so MP in a smartphone and make a halfway decent pic in daylight.
Bearing in mind my 2 opening statements do we need more? .......So when will the penny drop and will we start to swap a £1000 camera for a £1000 smart phone?
It may happen far in the future.
If we all come to this conclusion together there is going to be a lot of good gear on Ebay for not a lot of dosh ? :)
There is always a lot of gear on Ebay.
 
As the OP I asked a question that related to time.

As far as I can see .apart from rattling a few cages and quite a few.....Never never never !!!! answers I dont think anyone has answered the question.

One interesting comment from a mature contributor said he had witnessed the demise of film.........sunk by new technology.....so what is going to kill todays camera ?

Possibly It will be a smart phone of some sort with converging technology that will overcome most of the technical objections raised here.

If you can imagine it ...you can build it .
I don't think a phone over taking a camera will happen in our lifetimes. People like to get all excited about how their 4/3 cameras are out doing FF; when that is just brand boy talk and nothing more.

Probably less than 10% of pros use something smaller than a FF and now you want to predict when something smaller than 1" will over take the camera. I will go with never since I will never live long enough to see it.
Having been to David Hurn's 'Swaps' photography exhibition today, I can tell you categorically that it is not the camera or the ultimate picture quality that makes a memorable or beautiful photograph. I'm damned sure that today's phone cameras have better image quality than the machines that took the majority of the photos in the exhibition, taken by some of the highest profile and/or skilled photographers of their time.

Its not the size that matters, its what you do with it. The eye of the photographer and his ability [not the camera's] to capture the scene to best effect is all that really matters, not the pixel-peeping of quite mediocre images, so often given priority on these pages.
 
The advent of frozen pizza made making your own pizza obsolete for many.

Last year I built my own pizza oven.

Funny thing is that I am not all that fanatical about making pizza but I enjoy it.

For some photography is like that too.
 
This same statement has been posted a million times.
Per week. Maybe we need a mobile photography forum?
we do , we have several in fact. One for general sort of like an open forum for phone photographers https://www.dpreview.com/forums/1046

we also have an iPhone and android forum. People just prefare to keep spamming this forum with the same old , same old.

until phones get viewfinders and grips and 83x zoom lens like a P900 I`ll stick with cameras for photos and making prints and my phone for contacting my family and friends even though it has an ok camera and internet.

--
https://www.flickr.com/photos/p-labe/albums
Paul.....so very well said :-)......my thoughts too.....

Griddi......
 
I presume that most folks here do not earn their living from photography.

I bet most of the images we make are viewed on screens and stored in a computer.

I love my camera gear and I enjoy photography of all sorts but the quality of the latest generation of smart phones is impressive. Both for stills and video.

What's more they are easy to carry..........you can make phone calls and text...watch films and TV. And play games . Not to mention access to the net. I' stating the obvious but this coming together of technology must signal the end of photography and camera gear as we know it .

The latest smart phones are Impressive ..really impressive. Bearing in mind my 2 opening statements do we need more? .......So when will the penny drop and will we start to swap a £1000 camera for a £1000 smart phone?

If we all come to this conclusion together there is going to be a lot of good gear on Ebay for not a lot of dosh ? :)
Impressive compared to what? Compared to previous generation smartphone? Yes. Compared to current mirrorless/DLSR? No.

And why does it have to be one or the other? Why can't a phone and a dslr/mirrorless camera co-exist in their respective niches? They serve vastly different purposes. There's no risk of one eliminating the other IMO.
I've used both an Olympus E-M10 and an iPhone 8 today. M10 mostly but phone did a marvellous job except in some difficult light where both cameras gave a magenta tint to some features. Not a problem, because I shot the M10 in both jpeg and raw. The raw can be easily adjusted in post.

I'll just post one made by the iPhone unedited [the Olympus picture is very similar] and one after a minute's editing with Apple Photo. Remember that the first, the original is a jpeg and the edit is on that same jpg.

I'm not claiming ultimate image quality, just that something can be achieved in quite dark and difficult lighting conditions from even an iPhone image.

A custom white balance on the Olympus would have sorted it, but the iPhone just did this with no camera option to rectify
A custom white balance on the Olympus would have sorted it, but the iPhone just did this with no camera option to rectify

Tweaked exposure, raised shadows slightly and corrected WB in post. This is more like it.
Tweaked exposure, raised shadows slightly and corrected WB in post. This is more like it.

The greenish light in the second is not quite right, but given another minute of my life I'd get it right I'm sure. If I want this particular image to be perfect, I'll see what the RAW from the Olympus looks like and see which I prefer and If I prefer the Olympus image content, I'll process that.

There's always this to fall back on of course

84200b7617834169ad6abb862f825597.jpg

Yes, I know this is all crap when viewed at 100%, but why should anyone care if its not destined to be printed large. Its fine at up to A4 viewed at a reasonable distance. If I or anyone wanted ultimate quality, for a commercial shoot, depending on the intended use the phone is not appropriate, but for most people most of the time, this is now their preferred camera, and why not.
 
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....So when will the penny drop and will we start to swap a £1000 camera for a £1000 smart phone?
Let me ask you a question :

when will the penny drop, for you, that some people enjoy the experience of handling a real camera, looking through a viewfinder,focusing, composing ?

Have you not seen how film is making a comeback ?

Why ?

I bet that it has a lot to do with the pleasure of using those cameras versus something that is an electronic gitzmo that also takes photos.

Nothing wrong with taking photos with a phone, if that is what you like to do.
 
For many people. But not for some others.

The smartphone is really like a Swiss Army Knife. It can do a lot of things, but it isn't always best tool for doing all of them. It is convenient, and it is "always with you" but it isn't the tool of choice when someone needs a better knife, a better scissors, a better corkscrew, or a better can opener.

Cameras will fall into the category of devices that smartphones have partially replaced.... but not made obsolete. Eventually, they could disappear too, but not in foreseeable future. These things still exist, even if their market share has been diminished due to smartphones:
  • Point and Shoot cameras
  • GPS devices
  • Wristwatches
  • AM and FM radio
  • land line phones
  • the flashlight
  • tablet computers
  • pocket calculators
  • ebook readers
  • remote controllers
  • paper checks
  • printed tickets
  • hand held gaming devices
And there are quite a few devices that the smartphone really has made obsolete, but it may be quite some time before the standalone camera joins this list:
  • the Rolodex
  • the address book
  • personal organizers
  • pagers
  • answering machines
  • portable handheld TVs
  • MP3 players
--
Marty
http://www.fluidr.com/photos/marty4650/sets/72157606210120132
http://www.flickr.com/photos/marty4650/sets/72157606210120132/show/
my blog: http://marty4650.blogspot.com/
Personally, even I have a smartphone, and sometimes take some images with it, I prefer to shot with my camera, but I believe over the years, and smartphones even still getting better,it will be that mostly older hobby photographers will still using a camera as they did sort grow up without a smartphone, contrary to the young people of today........

Both my grandchildren when they were still teenagers used a camera to shot photos , but not anymore, as they have the latest smartphone , and they are just not interested in a camera anymore, the same applied to their friends........and theirs friends etc........

So I believe YES over the years the new younger generation will overall not using a camera for photography.......

Ask any young person, expect if this person is truly interested in photography as such, if they would buy a camera, and the answer will be a NO.......

This will leave mostly just the older people who will using a camera.......and so over the years cameras will sell less and less........and the smartphone has made the camera so good as then obsolete .........

Griddi......
 
....So when will the penny drop and will we start to swap a £1000 camera for a £1000 smart phone?
Let me ask you a question :

when will the penny drop, for you, that some people enjoy the experience of handling a real camera, looking through a viewfinder,focusing, composing ?

Have you not seen how film is making a comeback ?

Why ?

I bet that it has a lot to do with the pleasure of using those cameras versus something that is an electronic gitzmo that also takes photos.

Nothing wrong with taking photos with a phone, if that is what you like to do.
The penny will hardly drop for the young people of today, for them the smartphone is Everything.........

It is mostly the older people who will using a camera, incl people who don't have a smartphone at all.......

Griddi.......
 
Your camera is already obsolete.

So is your smartphone.

If you mean when will photography become obsolete, that will happen when someone creates a working USB 4.0 interface to the human brain.
 
For many people. But not for some others.

The smartphone is really like a Swiss Army Knife. It can do a lot of things, but it isn't always best tool for doing all of them. It is convenient, and it is "always with you" but it isn't the tool of choice when someone needs a better knife, a better scissors, a better corkscrew, or a better can opener.

Cameras will fall into the category of devices that smartphones have partially replaced.... but not made obsolete. Eventually, they could disappear too, but not in foreseeable future. These things still exist, even if their market share has been diminished due to smartphones:
  • Point and Shoot cameras
  • GPS devices
  • Wristwatches
  • AM and FM radio
  • land line phones
  • the flashlight
  • tablet computers
  • pocket calculators
  • ebook readers
  • remote controllers
  • paper checks
  • printed tickets
  • hand held gaming devices
And there are quite a few devices that the smartphone really has made obsolete, but it may be quite some time before the standalone camera joins this list:
  • the Rolodex
  • the address book
  • personal organizers
  • pagers
  • answering machines
  • portable handheld TVs
  • MP3 players
--
Marty
http://www.fluidr.com/photos/marty4650/sets/72157606210120132
http://www.flickr.com/photos/marty4650/sets/72157606210120132/show/
my blog: http://marty4650.blogspot.com/
Personally, even I have a smartphone, and sometimes take some images with it, I prefer to shot with my camera, but I believe over the years, and smartphones even still getting better,it will be that mostly older hobby photographers will still using a camera as they did sort grow up without a smartphone, contrary to the young people of today........

Both my grandchildren when they were still teenagers used a camera to shot photos , but not anymore, as they have the latest smartphone , and they are just not interested in a camera anymore, the same applied to their friends........and theirs friends etc........

So I believe YES over the years the new younger generation will overall not using a camera for photography.......

Ask any young person, expect if this person is truly interested in photography as such, if they would buy a camera, and the answer will be a NO.......

This will leave mostly just the older people who will using a camera.......and so over the years cameras will sell less and less........and the smartphone has made the camera so good as then obsolete .........

Griddi......
I think you're right here. One of the things that I find is a shame, is that due to this explosion of interest in smartphone cameras, there will be less research and development going into 'proper' cameras, as the demand will be much less. For a long long time to come professionals will still demand these cameras but the cost of these will be much higher - in fact we've already seen the prices increase. For me it's a shame as it has priced me out of the market. Thankfully I have what I need (at the moment).

Of course I welcome the developments in smartphone camera technology, but despite the massive hype the improvements are only ever incremental, and the price tags for these flagships enormous. If more people were using cameras today I wonder how much better these cameras would have become?
 
I presume that most folks here do not earn their living from photography.

I bet most of the images we make are viewed on screens and stored in a computer.

I love my camera gear and I enjoy photography of all sorts but the quality of the latest generation of smart phones is impressive. Both for stills and video.

What's more they are easy to carry..........you can make phone calls and text...watch films and TV. And play games . Not to mention access to the net. I' stating the obvious but this coming together of technology must signal the end of photography and camera gear as we know it .

The latest smart phones are Impressive ..really impressive. Bearing in mind my 2 opening statements do we need more? .......So when will the penny drop and will we start to swap a £1000 camera for a £1000 smart phone?

If we all come to this conclusion together there is going to be a lot of good gear on Ebay for not a lot of dosh ? :)
Impressive compared to what? Compared to previous generation smartphone? Yes. Compared to current mirrorless/DLSR? No.

And why does it have to be one or the other? Why can't a phone and a dslr/mirrorless camera co-exist in their respective niches? They serve vastly different purposes. There's no risk of one eliminating the other IMO.
I've used both an Olympus E-M10 and an iPhone 8 today. M10 mostly but phone did a marvellous job except in some difficult light where both cameras gave a magenta tint to some features. Not a problem, because I shot the M10 in both jpeg and raw. The raw can be easily adjusted in post.

I'll just post one made by the iPhone unedited [the Olympus picture is very similar] and one after a minute's editing with Apple Photo. Remember that the first, the original is a jpeg and the edit is on that same jpg.

I'm not claiming ultimate image quality, just that something can be achieved in quite dark and difficult lighting conditions from even an iPhone image.

A custom white balance on the Olympus would have sorted it, but the iPhone just did this with no camera option to rectify
A custom white balance on the Olympus would have sorted it, but the iPhone just did this with no camera option to rectify

Tweaked exposure, raised shadows slightly and corrected WB in post. This is more like it.
Tweaked exposure, raised shadows slightly and corrected WB in post. This is more like it.

The greenish light in the second is not quite right, but given another minute of my life I'd get it right I'm sure. If I want this particular image to be perfect, I'll see what the RAW from the Olympus looks like and see which I prefer and If I prefer the Olympus image content, I'll process that.

There's always this to fall back on of course

84200b7617834169ad6abb862f825597.jpg

Yes, I know this is all crap when viewed at 100%, but why should anyone care if its not destined to be printed large. Its fine at up to A4 viewed at a reasonable distance. If I or anyone wanted ultimate quality, for a commercial shoot, depending on the intended use the phone is not appropriate, but for most people most of the time, this is now their preferred camera, and why not.
yes there is a lot to be said for convenience, and yes IQ is mush when looking close (Apple continue to have such heavy handed processing and NR, wish they'd dial it back like Google and Samsung) but our phones provide a convenience in terms of photography, but the benefits of that convenience needn't be confused with the quality of the output vs ILC/DSLR etc.

--
Jostian
 
Answer : when would I change to a new technology.............is when it is as good as todays's current stuff. ..and meets my needs.

As for film making a comeback................like vinyl records.... we are not talking mass market trends here,,,, just a few romantics.

What can film do that the best digital cant........... ? With all its benefits
 
Answer : when would I change to a new technology.............is when it is as good as todays's current stuff. ..and meets my needs.

As for film making a comeback................like vinyl records.... we are not talking mass market trends here,,,, just a few romantics.

What can film do that the best digital cant........... ? With all its benefits
That is all about you, but your needs and wants may not be the same as "our" needs and wants.

So the thread should have been :

How long before my camera is obsolete for me ?
 
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