Sony to Canon/Nikon? Good Choice?!

Moshe22

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Hello everyone!

Been lurking for a long time but just now am I writing a question. The big question is: If I currently own a Sony Nex F3 camera, and doing small jobs and getting compliments with my photography, is it time to upgrade to a full frame camera like a 6D or D750 or should I just stay with Sony and simply start investing in new lenses, flash systems, lights, etc?

I am currently doing small gigs such as Friends Weddings (Very happy with the results, Just 1 body), Pregnancy, Portraits, Family pictures.

I am not invested into Sony at all at the moment. I own a manual Canon prime lens and the kit lens on the Sony. 18-55m. That is really it!

I am interested in knowing your thoughts, Should I make the jump or stay with Sony and buy a FF Sony Mirrorless? What would you recommend to someone starting out? In what directions do you see the major companies going in the next 10 years or so?
 
Solution
I'm by no means a pro.

That said, I like to see clean crisp photos out of my cameras.

I currently own cameras from Canon, Sony and Nikon. I just sold the Pentax I owned. These cameras are both APS-C and full frame.

You may note the order in which I wrote the brands in the previous paragraph. These are the choices in which I prefer the photographs out of the camera. I also prefer the full frame to the APS-C cameras, though I will keep the APS-C cameras that I have.

In order of preference-

1. Canon - 6D

2. Sony - A99

3. Sony - A77II

4. Canon - SL1

5. Nikon - D610

Note that the Canon SL1 and the Nikon D610 are very close in the things I like to see in my photographs. Mostly sharpness. I also understand that the lenses have...
We simply have moved forward to the point that "mirrors" ARE NO LONGER "NECESSARY" as they once originally were.
I think too many people are stuck in thoughts of what's possible now (& their likes and dislikes) rather than into forecasting any trends much past their noses. The trends are mirrorless. Clearly mirrorless.

And for that I am glad. No, we are not completely there yet in all areas, but things are changing fast.
Indeed! And apart from having optical image stabilization, mirrorless cellphones now even sport dual lenses! Talk about leaving the clickety-clack like-a-train-on-tracks DSLRs in the dust!
Very true Buybuybu.... i mean Manbungo. The problem is phones have tiny sensors, so you get a technically garbage shot that's silent. yay.



d6554d38a0c549d9be89fe2ab8e85e22.jpg.gif




--
"This is the year where hope fails you
The test subjects run the experiment
And the bastardo you know is the hero you hate
But cohesion is possible if we try
There's no reason, there's no lesson, no time like the present
Tell me right now, what have you got to lose?
What have you got to lose? Except your soul
Who's with us?"
-Slipknot
 
We simply have moved forward to the point that "mirrors" ARE NO LONGER "NECESSARY" as they once originally were.
I think too many people are stuck in thoughts of what's possible now (& their likes and dislikes) rather than into forecasting any trends much past their noses. The trends are mirrorless. Clearly mirrorless.

And for that I am glad. No, we are not completely there yet in all areas, but things are changing fast.
I'll make a rather easy prediction that the 5DIV will outsell all mirror less pro bodies by miles...or kilometers, whichever you prefer. The mirror less cameras are nice, but can't hold a candle to the old dinosaurs when the application requires professional gear. Canon and Nikon are the cameras of choice for the pros...pretty simple.
Moral of the story: Old dinosaurs will gravitate towards old dinosaurs.
But that's a poor explanation. I have only used ILC for about 5 years, i used phones and a couple "ML" P&S before that. I much prefer DSLRs at this point, i just prefer the aesthetics of an OVF, and the larger size and weight. One could say the opposite about ML users, that limp wristed hipsters will gravitate towards the "trendy".

Sometimes it's true, sometimes not. It's not reliable enough to be used as an explanation.
 
We simply have moved forward to the point that "mirrors" ARE NO LONGER "NECESSARY" as they once originally were.
I think too many people are stuck in thoughts of what's possible now (& their likes and dislikes) rather than into forecasting any trends much past their noses. The trends are mirrorless. Clearly mirrorless.

And for that I am glad. No, we are not completely there yet in all areas, but things are changing fast.
I'll make a rather easy prediction that the 5DIV will outsell all mirror less pro bodies by miles...or kilometers, whichever you prefer. The mirror less cameras are nice, but can't hold a candle to the old dinosaurs when the application requires professional gear. Canon and Nikon are the cameras of choice for the pros...pretty simple.
Moral of the story: Old dinosaurs will gravitate towards old dinosaurs.
But that's a poor explanation. I have only used ILC for about 5 years, i used phones and a couple "ML" P&S before that. I much prefer DSLRs at this point, i just prefer the aesthetics of an OVF, and the larger size and weight. One could say the opposite about ML users, that limp wristed hipsters will gravitate towards the "trendy".

Sometimes it's true, sometimes not. It's not reliable enough to be used as an explanation.
But that is also an even poorer explanation because you admit your experience is mostly w/ "phones" and "P&S".

That is hardly representative of current ML / EVF technology and capabilities you unqualified to comment on and discount.

I have used both and I agree that in good light OVF can indeed appear more "natural", (and undeniably has absolutely no lag).

But there are many other lighting situations that EVF can be much better and undeniably can offer many more options/features, (while resolution is getting better and lag is getting shorter).

AF "tracking" has been the only thing where dSLR were clearly superior and it appears the new Sony a6300 has now equaled that.
 
Actually i don't think it's a trend. A trend would suggest people are flocking to it, while sales numbers show that's not true.
If mirrored (DSLRs) are declining faster, then projecting forward we can probably expect the upstart (mirrorless) to take over the sales one day (at least I can just based on my own usage likes and dislikes). Mirrorless cameras have made me think certain things are really primitive in 'fat camera' land and I bet these thoughts apply to the wider market.

The catalyst would be if Nikon and Canon ever decide its time to get serious about mirrorless - really serious. If that happens, the doors will blow open. Both are doing their thing but both are acting scared of killing DSLR sales. Nikon with its small sensor (and incompatible flash) and Canon with its 'slow-but-steady' mirrorless offerings.

If the 2 Big Shots don't get serious, their competitors will get serious for them. I think they know that by now.
 
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Moral of the story: Old dinosaurs will gravitate towards old dinosaurs.
But that's a poor explanation. I have only used ILC for about 5 years, i used phones and a couple "ML" P&S before that. I much prefer DSLRs at this point, i just prefer the aesthetics of an OVF, and the larger size and weight. One could say the opposite about ML users, that limp wristed hipsters will gravitate towards the "trendy".

Sometimes it's true, sometimes not. It's not reliable enough to be used as an explanation.
But that is also an even poorer explanation because you admit your experience is mostly w/ "phones" and "P&S".

That is hardly representative of current ML / EVF technology and capabilities you unqualified to comment on and discount.

I have used both and I agree that in good light OVF can indeed appear more "natural", (and undeniably has absolutely no lag).

But there are many other lighting situations that EVF can be much better and undeniably can offer many more options/features, (while resolution is getting better and lag is getting shorter).

AF "tracking" has been the only thing where dSLR were clearly superior and it appears the new Sony a6300 has now equaled that.
But you are mistaken. My first ILC was one with an EVF, a Sony A33 (a LV based system). I have owned an A77II and two MFT ML bodies as well. I have owned ML or LV based and DSLRs intermittenly. all fairly modern bodies, so im actually very qualified to make a judgment.

As for equaling the tracking, not so. With the right len$es it can do well, but those are very very spendy lenses. You hear about the new 50mm 1.8 in E mount? Insanely slow AF lock. Meanwhile one can buy a $125 Canon 50mm STM and get blazing fast AF (not that it's a sports lens).

DSLRs still win big in system maturity, as well as battery life and IMO, hand comfort. They also have far more robust flash systems. My point wasn't that all i have tried is P&S and phones, my point was after sampling both sides many times, i much prefer DSLRs and it has nothing to do with age or nostalgia.

They have real practical benefits that many people prefer. It's like ML users just can't get that into their head, they can't see any POV but their own. I understand how you could prefer ML for real tangible reasons. Can you say the same about a DSLR user with DSLRs?

--
"This is the year where hope fails you
The test subjects run the experiment
And the bastardo you know is the hero you hate
But cohesion is possible if we try
There's no reason, there's no lesson, no time like the present
Tell me right now, what have you got to lose?
What have you got to lose? Except your soul
Who's with us?"
-Slipknot
 
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Actually i don't think it's a trend. A trend would suggest people are flocking to it, while sales numbers show that's not true.
If mirrored (DSLRs) are declining faster, then projecting forward we can probably expect the upstart (mirrorless) to take over the sales one day (at least I can just based on my own usage likes and dislikes). Mirrorless cameras have made me think certain things are really primitive in 'fat camera' land and I bet these thoughts apply to the wider market.
But i wouldn't even call it "taking over", bc it's more like they inherited the position. And that's if it even happens, we don't know, DSLR sales might level off at a point and still be higher than ML. ML popularity isn't growing like people claim it is, it's not growing at all.
The catalyst would be if Nikon and Canon ever decide its time to get serious about mirrorless - really serious. If that happens, the doors will blow open. Both are doing their thing but both are acting scared of killing DSLR sales. Nikon with its small sensor (and incompatible flash) and Canon with its 'slow-but-steady' mirrorless offerings.
I agree but that's bc they have systems behind them that people can deal with. They have the money and know-how to do it right. Today's ML is good for some things but they are IMO not good enough for my everyday camera. Canikon have the capability to make that camera, if hey will remains to be seen.
If the 2 Big Shots don't get serious, their competitors will get serious for them. I think they know that by now.
Nothing is certain. They may lengthen camera cycles, spending less on R&D and making bigger margins. The tech may slow but at this point, i personally don't care. The newest DSLRs are so good i don't require better tech.

A D500 would track anything and everything i could ever ask for, the IQ is good enough for any print or email i use. It has all the lenses i could ask for available. Canikon could slow way down and just stay with DSLRs forever and many people would stay loyal.
 
We simply have moved forward to the point that "mirrors" ARE NO LONGER "NECESSARY" as they once originally were.
I think too many people are stuck in thoughts of what's possible now (& their likes and dislikes) rather than into forecasting any trends much past their noses. The trends are mirrorless. Clearly mirrorless.

And for that I am glad. No, we are not completely there yet in all areas, but things are changing fast.
I'll make a rather easy prediction that the 5DIV will outsell all mirror less pro bodies by miles...or kilometers, whichever you prefer. The mirror less cameras are nice, but can't hold a candle to the old dinosaurs when the application requires professional gear. Canon and Nikon are the cameras of choice for the pros...pretty simple.
Moral of the story: Old dinosaurs will gravitate towards old dinosaurs.
But that's a poor explanation. I have only used ILC for about 5 years, i used phones and a couple "ML" P&S before that. I much prefer DSLRs at this point, i just prefer the aesthetics of an OVF, and the larger size and weight. One could say the opposite about ML users, that limp wristed hipsters will gravitate towards the "trendy".

Sometimes it's true, sometimes not. It's not reliable enough to be used as an explanation.
You should give today's phones a try. They've come a long way and probably eclipse your D300 in more ways than one.

Although you're not alone in preferring the heft of DSLRs, all around us, once able-bodied men and women are collapsing under their weight--from bursitis and other maladies.

The writing is on the wall: when the boomers go bust, so too will these heavy cameras!
 
But i wouldn't even call it "taking over", bc it's more like they inherited the position.
Whether inherited or not, the bulk of sales in the interchangeable lens market will be mirrorless one day. As hard as that might be to believe now.
And that's if it even happens, we don't know, DSLR sales might level off at a point and still be higher than ML. ML popularity isn't growing like people claim it is, it's not growing at all.
Canon and Nikon wouldn't have even gone into this area if they didn't see which way the wind was blowing. The last thing on their minds must have been developing a new lens ecosystem next to their existing successful lines. They did it because they needed to. It's virtually guaranteed that bucketloads of R&D yen will continue to be spent here, in my opinion.
Today's ML is good for some things but they are IMO not good enough for my everyday camera. Canikon have the capability to make that camera, if hey will remains to be seen.
If they don't, their competitors will make them do it (eventually). I don't think this train is going to stop anytime soon.
If the 2 Big Shots don't get serious, their competitors will get serious for them. I think they know that by now.
Nothing is certain. They may lengthen camera cycles, spending less on R&D and making bigger margins. The tech may slow but at this point, i personally don't care. The newest DSLRs are so good i don't require better tech.
Now versus future. Imagine a scenario in the not-too-distant when you get everything you want in a smaller, lighter body and lens(es). The choice will be made for you. It will eventually happen. Of course you don't have to move, but you'll have a silent shutter, more informational EVF (with great performance), mad frame rate, etc. etc.
A D500 would track anything and everything i could ever ask for, the IQ is good enough for any print or email i use. It has all the lenses i could ask for available.
You wil have the choice of that (and more) in a smaller, lighter body. In the not-too-distant. It will happen.
Canikon could slow way down and just stay with DSLRs forever and many people would stay loyal.
Until that fateful day where their lunch is eaten by their competition. Canon and Nikon can't afford to sit and watch the mirrorless train; that's why both are on it. Though Nikon possibly caught the wrong one...
 
As of right now my guess is that Canon will be first of the big two to market with a serious mirrorless offering, at least competitive with entry level DSLRs in overall features and performance.

I read good reports of their dual pixel on-sensor AF, which is largely wasted on 'live view'.

They already have a strong reputation in DSLR video, which could be their main reason for bringing in an EVF -- much better ergonomically than all those 'rigs'.

Their DSLR lens mount is fully electronic (AFAIK) rather than having that legacy mechanical linkage that Nikon is stuck with, so it would be trivially easy to have an adapter like the M to EFS to accept all their existing glass.

--
Albert
(The one in France)
Every photograph is an abstraction from reality.
 
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But that's a poor explanation. I have only used ILC for about 5 years, i used phones and a couple "ML" P&S before that. I much prefer DSLRs at this point, i just prefer the aesthetics of an OVF, and the larger size and weight. One could say the opposite about ML users, that limp wristed hipsters will gravitate towards the "trendy".

Sometimes it's true, sometimes not. It's not reliable enough to be used as an explanation.
You should give today's phones a try. They've come a long way and probably eclipse your D300 in more ways than one.
I have 3 Note 3s, a Note 4 and a G5. I have used plenty of modern cameras, my G5 even has dual cameras !!!!! (ZOMG!!!).
Although you're not alone in preferring the heft of DSLRs, all around us, once able-bodied men and women are collapsing under their weight--from bursitis and other maladies.

The writing is on the wall: when the boomers go bust, so too will these heavy cameras!
That writing must be forgery, i know more people under 40 than over who prefer DSLRs. Perhaps with all the children running around taking selfies with their smart phones, the wall was written on with magic markers?
 
Nothing is certain. They may lengthen camera cycles, spending less on R&D and making bigger margins. The tech may slow but at this point, i personally don't care. The newest DSLRs are so good i don't require better tech.
Now versus future. Imagine a scenario in the not-too-distant when you get everything you want in a smaller, lighter body and lens(es). The choice will be made for you. It will eventually happen. Of course you don't have to move, but you'll have a silent shutter, more informational EVF (with great performance), mad frame rate, etc. etc.
But that's the point, if its' small and light im not getting what i want. You can't have it both ways. I like more space, a bigger grip for my hand, more buttons and dials without being crammed too close. Larger battery, longer battery life. When you are restrained by space bc you want the camera to be small and light, you can't have these benefits.

Many people feel like me which is why they still buy DSLRs instead of ML.
A D500 would track anything and everything i could ever ask for, the IQ is good enough for any print or email i use. It has all the lenses i could ask for available.
You wil have the choice of that (and more) in a smaller, lighter body. In the not-too-distant. It will happen.
I wouldn't say that. Time doesn't automatically mean the lenses will show. Look how long K mount has been around, they still have nothing close to Canikon's tele selection of lenses. I know it's hard to believe but some companies just don't know how to do certain things well. There is no guarantee that any ML system will reach what Canikon is today.
Canikon could slow way down and just stay with DSLRs forever and many people would stay loyal.
Until that fateful day where their lunch is eaten by their competition. Canon and Nikon can't afford to sit and watch the mirrorless train; that's why both are on it. Though Nikon possibly caught the wrong one...
I think Canon (and maybe Nikon) will indeed release class leading ML bodies, but, they will also keep their DSLRs going. They will offer both bc they know people want both. They will dominate both markets.
 
Your brought a great point. I have been thinking the same thing where Canon is developing some sort of mirrorless camera that will accept their existing line of lenses.

I have seen impressive pictures taken with the eos m3 also using native lenses. Do their current flash system works with the m3?
 
Nothing is certain. They may lengthen camera cycles, spending less on R&D and making bigger margins. The tech may slow but at this point, i personally don't care. The newest DSLRs are so good i don't require better tech.
Now versus future. Imagine a scenario in the not-too-distant when you get everything you want in a smaller, lighter body and lens(es). The choice will be made for you. It will eventually happen. Of course you don't have to move, but you'll have a silent shutter, more informational EVF (with great performance), mad frame rate, etc. etc.
But that's the point, if its' small and light im not getting what i want. You can't have it both ways. I like more space, a bigger grip for my hand, more buttons and dials without being crammed too close. Larger battery, longer battery life.
Smaller and lighter doesn't imply bad grip. Would you be dissatisfied with the grip of a Panasonic G7? What about Panasonic GH3? Both are mirrorless. Would you be dissatisfied when battery life improves greatly without getting a bigger battery (and while still giving you a good grip?). Plus many more features. Far from science-fiction.
When you are restrained by space bc you want the camera to be small and light, you can't have these benefits.
You are not restrained by space, you are freed up from the thick bodies of DSLRs and the typically bigger lenses and some of the weight too. Important when travelling. There will always be enthusiast models just as there will be those models that attract the more casual users scared off by buttons and large grips.
Many people feel like me which is why they still buy DSLRs instead of ML.
I know the reasons but I am asking you to imagine a future when those annoyances that you have with mirrorless now vanish. I use DSLRs too (but much prefer mirrorless whenever I can get away with it).
You wil have the choice of that (and more) in a smaller, lighter body. In the not-too-distant. It will happen.
I wouldn't say that. Time doesn't automatically mean the lenses will show.
No that's right. No guarantees for anything. 99.9% of the market will go mirrorless though; that's what I think. Eventually the mirror will be considered old hat.
Look how long K mount has been around, they still have nothing close to Canikon's tele selection of lenses. I know it's hard to believe but some companies just don't know how to do certain things well. There is no guarantee that any ML system will reach what Canikon is today.
Smaller market share equals less resources to invest in lens selection. Smaller lens selection equals less market share. Pentax are pretty aggressive and 'different' with their body offerings (they have to be to stand out from the Big Two).
Canikon could slow way down and just stay with DSLRs forever and many people would stay loyal.
Until that fateful day where their lunch is eaten by their competition. Canon and Nikon can't afford to sit and watch the mirrorless train; that's why both are on it. Though Nikon possibly caught the wrong one...
I think Canon (and maybe Nikon) will indeed release class leading ML bodies, but, they will also keep their DSLRs going. They will offer both bc they know people want both. They will dominate both markets.
No argument that's what is happening and will happen in the nearer-term. Over a longer period (say 5+ years), I think we will have some serious evidence DSLRs are fading away, both from pros and mainstream customers.

https://www.dpreview.com/reviews/panasonicdmcg1

The camera that started it all. Now look at what has happened to the interchangeable lens market since that little experiment. Note the following:

"Panasonic's stated reasons for introducing Micro Four Thirds are simple; to produce smaller cameras that act more like compact DSCs whilst offering the quality and versatility of a DSLR - and in doing so to convert some of the millions of compact camera buyers who - according to research - are put off digital SLRs by the bulk, complexity and lack of user-friendliness."

This research doesn't surprise me. Even if it is a PR thing, I think it applies to me (and would apply to millions of others). It is these customers that are driving the investment in mirrorless.
 
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But that's the point, if its' small and light im not getting what i want. You can't have it both ways. I like more space, a bigger grip for my hand, more buttons and dials without being crammed too close. Larger battery, longer battery life.
Smaller and lighter doesn't imply bad grip. Would you be dissatisfied with the grip of a Panasonic G7? What about Panasonic GH3? Both are mirrorless. Would you be dissatisfied when battery life improves greatly without getting a bigger battery (and while still giving you a good grip?). Plus many more features. Far from science-fiction.
Well i dont know how you can have a big grip and still be small. The grip is part of the camera right? The rest of the camera may be the size of a smart phone but if the grip is handsomely large, it keeps the camera footprint from being small.

As for MFT, part of their smaller size is due to the format, the lenses are also small bc they are both a smaller format and are closer to a 1:1 ratio, making more use of the image circle space. And yes, i think their grips are rather small, if i had my way they would be larger still.

I would love better battery life, even in ML, but whatever tech allows that will also be in DSLRs, making them even better. Either way, DSLRs (when using the OVF) will always have better battery life bc they are not LV based.
When you are restrained by space bc you want the camera to be small and light, you can't have these benefits.
You are not restrained by space, you are freed up from the thick bodies of DSLRs and the typically bigger lenses and some of the weight too.
How does the camera being ML make the lenses smaller? Ask around in FE mount chat, many people are not liking the new Sony glass bc it's huge and heavy.
Important when travelling. There will always be enthusiast models just as there will be those models that attract the more casual users scared off by buttons and large grips.
As it stands, those who want small and light often buy ML, those who want a mature system that isn't dependent on size and weight buy DSLRs.
Many people feel like me which is why they still buy DSLRs instead of ML.
I know the reasons but I am asking you to imagine a future when those annoyances that you have with mirrorless now vanish. I use DSLRs too (but much prefer mirrorless whenever I can get away with it).
I don't think you are hearing me. I don't see larger and heavy as an annoyance. I do see small and light as annoyances. Heavier cameras are more resistant to hand shake bc they have more inertia. I don't put convenience over the other attributes i care about, it seems many others have convenience at the top.

They want small, light, easy to manage. DSLRs are easy enough for me, i prefer the battery life, heft, OVF, system maturity, ect. Those are not annoyances.
You wil have the choice of that (and more) in a smaller, lighter body. In the not-too-distant. It will happen.
I wouldn't say that. Time doesn't automatically mean the lenses will show.
No that's right. No guarantees for anything. 99.9% of the market will go mirrorless though; that's what I think. Eventually the mirror will be considered old hat.
Well we will see, many predictions have been made by lots of people.



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Look how long K mount has been around, they still have nothing close to Canikon's tele selection of lenses. I know it's hard to believe but some companies just don't know how to do certain things well. There is no guarantee that any ML system will reach what Canikon is today.
Smaller market share equals less resources to invest in lens selection. Smaller lens selection equals less market share. Pentax are pretty aggressive and 'different' with their body offerings (they have to be to stand out from the Big Two).
The big two already have huge lens selections, even if their market share dwindles, people have what they need. More likely to happen is Canon and perhaps Nikon create ML along side their DSLRs, both using the same mount and lenses. This just adds to the people buying those lenses and the system grows even bigger.

I see Canon putting a lot of ML companies out of business when that day comes.
I think Canon (and maybe Nikon) will indeed release class leading ML bodies, but, they will also keep their DSLRs going. They will offer both bc they know people want both. They will dominate both markets.
No argument that's what is happening and will happen in the nearer-term. Over a longer period (say 5+ years), I think we will have some serious evidence DSLRs are fading away, both from pros and mainstream customers.
The beauty is even if DSLRs start fading, the systems will live on, just using ML bodies. That's worst case scenario, and if so, i will still be able to buy today's best DSLRs used for cheap and have the same lenses to choose from. Look at film, you can still buy bodies for next to nothing right now.

Until ML makes EVFs a LOT better, im ok with what DSLRs offer, even if it means for the rest of my life.
https://www.dpreview.com/reviews/panasonicdmcg1

The camera that started it all. Now look at what has happened to the interchangeable lens market since that little experiment. Note the following:

"Panasonic's stated reasons for introducing Micro Four Thirds are simple; to produce smaller cameras that act more like compact DSCs whilst offering the quality and versatility of a DSLR - and in doing so to convert some of the millions of compact camera buyers who - according to research - are put off digital SLRs by the bulk, complexity and lack of user-friendliness."

This research doesn't surprise me. Even if it is a PR thing, I think it applies to me (and would apply to millions of others). It is these customers that are driving the investment in mirrorless.
But again, it's not smaller just bc it's ML, it's bc of the sensor size and ratio. It's funny we hear this size argument so often but most of the size difference is due to removing the mirror box, which only shortens the flange. But then we see guys praising adapters as a benefit of ML, which of course adds that flange back.

If ML users really believed a shorter flange was all that, nobody would buy adapters bc OMG it's making it bigger !!! If we are talking psychology, i think it's a hipster thing. I think some people have the self image of a hipster, and they think ML is the new fad and they gotta be "with it". They can't be part of a dinosaur crowd like DSLRs.

Silly people.

--
"This is the year where hope fails you
The test subjects run the experiment
And the bastardo you know is the hero you hate
But cohesion is possible if we try
There's no reason, there's no lesson, no time like the present
Tell me right now, what have you got to lose?
What have you got to lose? Except your soul
Who's with us?"
-Slipknot
 
Well i dont know how you can have a big grip and still be small.
You can have some models with no grip. Small. Other models with big grip. Nice grip but still thinner and lighter body size.
The grip is part of the camera right? The rest of the camera may be the size of a smart phone but if the grip is handsomely large, it keeps the camera footprint from being small.
The camera (and lenses) can still be lighter and thinner overall. Easier to pack. Easier to carry.
As for MFT, part of their smaller size is due to the format, the lenses are also small bc they are both a smaller format and are closer to a 1:1 ratio, making more use of the image circle space. And yes, i think their grips are rather small, if i had my way they would be larger still.
Niche of a niche. I find that hard to swallow. Tried a GH3? I'd be surprised if you want bigger than that. Nothing stopping any manufacturer from offering what you want anyway. The beauty being that they can also cater to the real money: the masses with thinner, lighter bodies. Those that typically wouldn't buy a DSLR (and certainly wouldn't buy one after seeing a thinner and lighter body in the camera store next to the obese cameras). Or bothering to lug one half way around the world on their trip. I hear it again and again: leaving the heavy camera and lenses at home.
I would love better battery life, even in ML, but whatever tech allows that will also be in DSLRs, making them even better.
As long as they're still being offered by camera companies who are all-to-well-aware that tastes are changing and people want something more familiar to what they're used to (along with the extra useful features that allows).
Either way, DSLRs (when using the OVF) will always have better battery life bc they are not LV based.
I can have the display off on my Nikon V1 and only get the viewfinder to turn on when my eye is on it. Good battery life. And I can choose not to as well. And I have a silent shutter that I can use when the mechanical dies or when it's undersiable to make noise. And that is the tip of the iceberg.
When you are restrained by space bc you want the camera to be small and light, you can't have these benefits.
You are not restrained by space, you are freed up from the thick bodies of DSLRs and the typically bigger lenses and some of the weight too.
How does the camera being ML make the lenses smaller? Ask around in FE mount chat, many people are not liking the new Sony glass bc it's huge and heavy.
A lot of the lenses can be smaller. I have Four Thirds lenses. The equivalent in Micro Four Thirds have been smaller. I have EF and EF-S lenses. They are all larger than the EF-M lenses used on my M so far. Ask Canon and Olympus & Panasonic why. Not to mention much lighter (body + lens).
Important when travelling. There will always be enthusiast models just as there will be those models that attract the more casual users scared off by buttons and large grips.
As it stands, those who want small and light often buy ML, those who want a mature system that isn't dependent on size and weight buy DSLRs.
It isn't just small and light though. It's the extra features mirrorless allows plus not having to get used to how a mirror works too.
I don't think you are hearing me. I don't see larger and heavy as an annoyance. I do see small and light as annoyances.
You can avoid all lighter bodies and go heavier if you want. There will always be those options. With DSLR you only get the one option. Bodies are fat. There are no slim models. If I want 'fat' I can take the Panasonic DMC-GH3, for example. But that is just one of MANY features that going mirrorless allows. The appeal is broader and that is driving the market to make better mirrorless.
Heavier cameras are more resistant to hand shake bc they have more inertia. I don't put convenience over the other attributes i care about, it seems many others have convenience at the top.
So I'm standing with a camera (and lens) that weighs more and I am going to be more stable? Aching wrists and arms (and legs).
They want small, light, easy to manage. DSLRs are easy enough for me, i prefer the battery life, heft, OVF, system maturity, ect. Those are not annoyances.
The DSLR systems ARE more mature now. Now. But I am not arguing about now (or what you should prefer now. Frankly I still have to use DSLR for certain things because miorrorless hasn't caught up in those areas). But it's not about that. I am arguing that they will be less important tomorrow despite the 'now'.
You wil have the choice of that (and more) in a smaller, lighter body. In the not-too-distant. It will happen.
I wouldn't say that. Time doesn't automatically mean the lenses will show.
No that's right. No guarantees for anything. 99.9% of the market will go mirrorless though; that's what I think. Eventually the mirror will be considered old hat.
Well we will see, many predictions have been made by lots of people.
See you here in 5 years. Saying that DSLRs will basically disappear off the market one day (don't know when) seems utterly realistic to me here in 2016 (still in the early years of mirrorless). Canon knows it. Nikon knows it. If they didn't, they wouldn't act so scared of cannibalizing their own sales. Even if you disagree that they are scared...they are participating in mirrorless.
The big two already have huge lens selections, even if their market share dwindles, people have what they need.
What they NEED varies. Many also WANT and NEED lighter bodies and lenses that work much like the cameras they are used to. Many are also interested in the developments and features that only mirrorless provides.
More likely to happen is Canon and perhaps Nikon create ML along side their DSLRs, both using the same mount and lenses. This just adds to the people buying those lenses and the system grows even bigger.
a possibility if they overcome some tech hurdles
I see Canon putting a lot of ML companies out of business when that day comes.
i can see them doing that even if they just get serious with their M line
The beauty is even if DSLRs start fading, the systems will live on, just using ML bodies.
Yes, though there are often some major compromises using adapters on all systems.
That's worst case scenario, and if so, i will still be able to buy today's best DSLRs used for cheap and have the same lenses to choose from. Look at film, you can still buy bodies for next to nothing right now.
This doesn't surprise me. Nobody wants to deal with the constraints of film. When I say nobody, I mean the overwhelming majority of the market. Limited exposures. Expensive film. Expensive processing. A lot of hassle. No instant gratification.

DSLRs (their size, their weight, the fact that a mirror has to flip and all the compromises that entails) might be in the same situation one day: bargain-baserment obese cameras for old men. (and hipsters). And collectors. And nostalgia buffs.
Until ML makes EVFs a LOT better, im ok with what DSLRs offer, even if it means for the rest of my life.
How long is the rest of your life?
But again, it's not smaller just bc it's ML, it's bc of the sensor size and ratio. It's funny we hear this size argument so often but most of the size difference is due to removing the mirror box, which only shortens the flange.
ie. typically makes thinner, sexier, lighter cameras (even those with a decent grip)
But then we see guys praising adapters as a benefit of ML, which of course adds that flange back.
Lame benefit. If you want to talk benefits there is a lot more appealing to the masses than silly adapters. Features not seen on DSLRs for a start, like focus aids appearing in your EVF.
If ML users really believed a shorter flange was all that, nobody would buy adapters bc OMG it's making it bigger !!! If we are talking psychology, i think it's a hipster thing. I think some people have the self image of a hipster, and they think ML is the new fad and they gotta be "with it". They can't be part of a dinosaur crowd like DSLRs.
You picked one of the lamest 'benefits' of mirrorless models to end with. It's a crutch for people with existing and older lenses, not a core benefit, in my opinion. Nearly all sane people will tell you mirrorless models typically work best with their native lenses.
 
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The camera (and lenses) can still be lighter and thinner overall. Easier to pack. Easier to carry.
How can the lenses be lighter and thinner just bc you remove the mirror box?
I can have the display off on my Nikon V1 and only get the viewfinder to turn on when my eye is on it. Good battery life.
Good? I have done this with all 4 EVF based cameras i had. Still didn't give "good" battery life. Even if the EVF is off, the sensor is still on the entire time. Conversely, i don't have to turn off my OVF to save battery, i can take my time composing and not worry about juice drain. This is one reason to me why DSLRs are funner to shoot.
And I can choose not to as well. And I have a silent shutter that I can use when the mechanical dies or when it's undersiable to make noise. And that is the tip of the iceberg.
Silent mode is one advantage, some day DSLR MFG will get smart and offer it for their DSLR LV, then it's functionally similar to an NX500. Canon already uses EFCS, silent mode is probably on it's way.
How does the camera being ML make the lenses smaller? Ask around in FE mount chat, many people are not liking the new Sony glass bc it's huge and heavy.
A lot of the lenses can be smaller. I have Four Thirds lenses. The equivalent in Micro Four Thirds have been smaller. I have EF and EF-S lenses. They are all larger than the EF-M lenses used on my M so far. Ask Canon and Olympus & Panasonic why. Not to mention much lighter (body + lens).
You are confusing correlaton with causation. ML companies use small as a selling point to draw people in, but there are compromises. Sony is probably the leading ML brand right now, why do you think their newest GM glass (the good stuff) is so big and heavy? If ML can be smaller and lighter, why isn't Sony doing that?

An example, the newest Canon 70-200 2.8L IS II USM ($1999) is 3.28LB and 7.8" long, while the Sony 70-200 GM ($2598) is 3.26LB and 7.87" long. If ML lenses are smaller, what is up with Sony? That is one of countless examples we can cite. The reality is, ML brands know small size is their selling point, so they go out of their way to shrink many lenses.

DSLR makers could too, they just choose not to most of the time bc pancakes often have optical compromises. ML is about convenience first. Small, compact, that's what they try to offer, it's not as much an innate quality. The mirror box and prism are gone, replaced with an EVF (which does need some space). Other than that, they are identical.
As it stands, those who want small and light often buy ML, those who want a mature system that isn't dependent on size and weight buy DSLRs.
It isn't just small and light though. It's the extra features mirrorless allows plus not having to get used to how a mirror works too.
Rocket science indeed. Look through the VF, press button. Film must have been even worse, how did anybody manage a single photo?
Heavier cameras are more resistant to hand shake bc they have more inertia. I don't put convenience over the other attributes i care about, it seems many others have convenience at the top.
So I'm standing with a camera (and lens) that weighs more and I am going to be more stable? Aching wrists and arms (and legs).
You must have some medical issues. Holding a camera makes your legs ache??? I hear this argument "again and again", each time it makes me laugh. I understand there is a difference but that difference only comes from 2 sources, the mirror box and the prism. That's it, two key differences between them that must exist.

The D5500 and SL1 prove that DSLRs can be small and light.
The big two already have huge lens selections, even if their market share dwindles, people have what they need.
What they NEED varies. Many also WANT and NEED lighter bodies and lenses that work much like the cameras they are used to.
Lighter lenses?
DSLRs (their size, their weight, the fact that a mirror has to flip and all the compromises that entails) might be in the same situation one day: bargain-baserment obese cameras for old men. (and hipsters). And collectors. And nostalgia buffs.
Or maybe people who prefer the advantages of DSLRs.
Until ML makes EVFs a LOT better, im ok with what DSLRs offer, even if it means for the rest of my life.
How long is the rest of your life?
Well im approaching 40. Could be a day, could be 50 years.
But again, it's not smaller just bc it's ML, it's bc of the sensor size and ratio. It's funny we hear this size argument so often but most of the size difference is due to removing the mirror box, which only shortens the flange.
ie. typically makes thinner, sexier, lighter cameras (even those with a decent grip)
This is the hipster mentality. One thing you failed to explain is how being ML makes the lenses smaller?
 
Hello everyone!

In what directions do you see the major companies going in the next 10 years or so?
And Hello to you also ...

I am answering this without reading any of the previous replies but will stick my neck out and say definitively that "mirrorless" will be the (only) cameras 10 years from now.

DSLR's will be possibly not-produced any more, (at least a much smaller proportion than now).
I feel the same too.

@Moshe

Best is for you to get a mainstream mirrorless FF camera and start the 'conversion' process. You've come a long way to get yourself 'attuned' to your current camera, hence your good results. During the transition stage, you may experience some disruption to your established routine and expectations. Do be mentally prepared for this.
 
How can the lenses be lighter and thinner just bc you remove the mirror box?
I can only say what I've already said: the proof is out there.

* Four Thirds lenses to Micro Four Thirds equivalents.

* EF lenses (and EF-S) to EF-M equivalents.

etc.

Are they smaller or larger, in general? Generally smaller.

Small enough for the average user to notice for sure. If you expect me to give you a scientific answer, I can't do that. Never designed a lens in my life. Most offerings show a trend for smaller lenses. Ask the engineers.
I can have the display off on my Nikon V1 and only get the viewfinder to turn on when my eye is on it. Good battery life.
Good? I have done this with all 4 EVF based cameras i had. Still didn't give "good" battery life.
Yes. DSLRs simply have better battery life (now).

Mirrorless can have 'good' battery life today. Also poor (EOS M). If battery life is anything like the phone market, it will improve in future (electronics generally sip less juice as time goes on). People used to say their old NOKIAs could go for a week but we all know who is using old NOKIAs now. Same thing with older film cameras. All of a sudden, reduced battery life is OK for the benefits people are getting. I think battery life can range from poor to good in mirrorless today. This is no match for DSLRs but almost nobody cancels a purchase due to battery life concerns when in the camera store.

I love the battery life of my DSLRs, even when I forget to turn them off they don't noticeably drain the battery. But higher mirrorless battery use also gives many users higher functionality or convenience...again much like phones or tablets compared to that faithful NOKIA.
Even if the EVF is off, the sensor is still on the entire time. Conversely, i don't have to turn off my OVF to save battery, i can take my time composing and not worry about juice drain. This is one reason to me why DSLRs are funner to shoot.
I like getting more shots per charge too. But I can see countless people in shops not even considering a DSLR due to size. These people are the ones that have & will drive mirrorless sales and all the new innovations along with it.
And I can choose not to as well. And I have a silent shutter that I can use when the mechanical dies or when it's undersiable to make noise. And that is the tip of the iceberg.
Silent mode is one advantage, some day DSLR MFG will get smart and offer it for their DSLR LV, then it's functionally similar to an NX500. Canon already uses EFCS, silent mode is probably on it's way.
when I bought the Panasonic G2 years ago I was let down that it didn't have an electronic shutter... I always assumed it would. A bit dumb of me, but there you go. I got the feature later, in another camera. I use the electronic shutter whenever I can get away with it. Guilt-free shooting without worrying about failing mechanicals & without waking up sleeping babies, just like the digital compacts I upgraded from. I just wish I could always use electronic shutter in every situation without compromise compared to mechanical. One day maybe. This is the area I hope sees a lot more innovation. To me this is a great one and just one of many little things that your typical DSLR doesn't offer.
You are confusing correlaton with causation. ML companies use small as a selling point to draw people in, but there are compromises.
So you agree that small does draw people in. It's always promising when you admit that :)
Sony is probably the leading ML brand right now, why do you think their newest GM glass (the good stuff) is so big and heavy? If ML can be smaller and lighter, why isn't Sony doing that?
'Cause Sony wants those pro dollars and the way to do that is to make the 'pro' feel like they are getting they are getting something big and impressive, and therefore more easily be considered 'pro'?

It also has the trickle-down effect of making the poor amateurs and enthusiasts get the impression that they are buying into some seriously good ecosystem, thereby having a positive psychological effect on their aspirational purchase desires while making them feel that their lower-priced current gear is still a relation of the 'good' SONY bloodline?

Actually that was only a half-joke and I don't know.

Maybe Sony can't make the pro stuff smaller. Maybe they can. But it seems to be the exception rather than the norm. I am not following Sony closely. Maybe you can tell me. When all is said-and-done, this is going into the niche levels. At the lower-end and middle-range it's fairly common to see smaller lenses. So there offerings are generally smaller lenses and bodies. I don't think this is always the case with lenses and not even always the case with bodies, but it is commonly the case.

Of course there are some exceptions. You are obviously drawn to the richer DSLR lens choices (so am I) while I am talking about wider market sales being driven by mirrorless offerings in the future, which I think will happen regardless of what is better for a niche of users.
An example, the newest Canon 70-200 2.8L IS II USM ($1999) is 3.28LB and 7.8" long, while the Sony 70-200 GM ($2598) is 3.26LB and 7.87" long. If ML lenses are smaller, what is up with Sony? That is one of countless examples we can cite. The reality is, ML brands know small size is their selling point, so they go out of their way to shrink many lenses.
some small lenses are also better than their bigger mirrored parents; it goes both ways. As the mirrorless ranges increase, I think we will see more of that.
DSLR makers could too, they just choose not to most of the time bc pancakes often have optical compromises. ML is about convenience first. Small, compact, that's what they try to offer, it's not as much an innate quality. The mirror box and prism are gone, replaced with an EVF (which does need some space). Other than that, they are identical.
There is also the advantage of no chance of any dust getting stuck in the viewfinder when using mirrorless (at least far less chance).

I still prefer a DSLR's viewfinder for ultra low light work but what I don't like is that it doesn't show 100% what I will get. I wonder how long it will take for an EVF to catch up in the low light stakes...and I wonder how a 'dumb' otpical viewfinder will catch up with the richer informational displays EVFs are offering right now.
Rocket science indeed. Look through the VF, press button. Film must have been even worse, how did anybody manage a single photo?
It's called progress, even if you discount it with statements like that.

You can always compare today's usage to things people were stuck with in the past. You can always suggest that it is easy enough or was easy enough. You can also imply 'I'm smarter than that; I don't need that.' You can also get used to doing anything a certain way. You can always comapre and dismiss today's developments as unnecessary or irrelevant by making these kinds of remarks. But the fact is all these things add up to more pleasant and useful usage. Not for just the masses but enthusaists and pros. The ability to see what you're going to get before you shoot means a lot for a lot of people. Also, richer informational displays helping you focus or expose better. And just richer displays in gneeral (ability to go through the menus for some less-used settings too...all without having to take your eye from the viewfinder, for example). Some people want that. Some like it. Some need it. Some get used to it and notice it missing in some other cameras. It's progress. No it's not perfect yet in all areas. Nothing is.

It's these types of features can (and do) contribute to eating away at the market share of DSLRs. I have almost no desire to buy a new DSLR these days. I bet these thoughts exist in millions of people that have experienced both mirrorless and DSLR and millions more that will make their first contact with interchangeable lens cameras (ie. they will be ignoring the obese models). As the mirrorless models improve, the rapid decline of DSLR will be ever more rapid, I think.

Again, I am talking about the future as opposed to the now. Expectations are changing. We have a choice now. It is no longer that obese camera in the camera store that's attractive to the male enthusiast who doesn't mind lugging it around (mostly because he has had no other choice to get the performance he wants). Millions can carry smaller and lighter cameras and be OK with them. These changes in expectations and features will drive mirrorless (and the whole interchangeable lens market) forward while making DSLRs seem more primitive than they were.
So I'm standing with a camera (and lens) that weighs more and I am going to be more stable? Aching wrists and arms (and legs).
You must have some medical issues. Holding a camera makes your legs ache???
Sure it does. Those 2 spare lenses in the bag weigh more. So does the one on the camera. It all adds up. Even 300 grams more means heaps when you're walking for kilometres. Often it's more than that. Fat bags getting in the way versus small and unobtrusive bags too. Big weight versus small. Those types of things.
I hear this argument "again and again", each time it makes me laugh.
The fact that people keep heavier things at home makes you laugh?
I understand there is a difference but that difference only comes from 2 sources, the mirror box and the prism. That's it, two key differences between them that must exist.
The majority doesn't care why it's different. They see fat cameras in the camera store; they are almost always fatter than mirrorless models. That's a major thing, but it might be minor to you. Lenses are often smaller too. Are these 2 facts up for argument?

DSLR users know DSLRs have a 'disconnected' approach to taking images and are generally unfriendly in this way (or new users are about to find out...). Certainly compared to what they are used to. They are 'different enough' to not be considered friendly compared with their phones or whatever. People want things that make that transition to higher quality as painless as possible. So it's not just size and weight.
What they NEED varies. Many also WANT and NEED lighter bodies and lenses that work much like the cameras they are used to.
Lighter lenses?
Yes. People want lighter weight. That's a big one.

Plus more friendly features that make photo-taking easier for the masses. I can't see typical DSLR usability winning anyone over (versus the typical mirrorless usability).
DSLRs (their size, their weight, the fact that a mirror has to flip and all the compromises that entails) might be in the same situation one day: bargain-baserment obese cameras for old men. (and hipsters). And collectors. And nostalgia buffs.
Or maybe people who prefer the advantages of DSLRs.
Yes, maybe that too. I still use both but I think DSLR's days are numbered (just based on my own usability preferences). Time will tell the story. I can't prove anything but I know it inside. You are free to call it delusion or arrogance. I know what will happen because it's happening as we speak.
Until ML makes EVFs a LOT better, im ok with what DSLRs offer, even if it means for the rest of my life.
How long is the rest of your life?
Well im approaching 40. Could be a day, could be 50 years.
My opinion: in 10 years, if the DSLR isn't dead it will be close to dead.

Much like VHS now: once undisputedly dominant video format but now just a footnote in history that almost nobody uses (and nobody stocks new). A bit like film cameras. I doubt many would have thought that VHS would almost completely disappear in such a short time, especially after enjoying undisputed dominance (and decades of refinement), but it was time to move on.

Video on DSLRs is just a few short years old. Hard to believe. We are moving fairly rapidly and in 10 years electronics is going to get so much cheaper (to manufacture) and so much more advanced. You only need to look back 10 years to see where we were then. I think the DSLR is due for retirement. Not because it's ready to go now but because it will be ready to go in the not-too-distant future. It will simply no longer be needed, except maybe in small niche applications. Whether it's still developed at that point is another story.
ie. typically makes thinner, sexier, lighter cameras (even those with a decent grip)
This is the hipster mentality.
Wanting a smaller, lighter camera is hipster mentality?

I bet if you asked anyone - even most pros - what they'd really want it's smaller and lighter gear. If they could get the same quality (or similar quality or performance) they'd go for it. We are seeing that very thing today. I fail to see how this is a hipster mentality. I think retro styling is most attractive to the stereotypical hipster, but I can't see how wanting a smaller lighter camera is a hipster mentality: just about everyone would take that if they had half a chance.

Plenty are happy to sacrifice some quality but if they could get the same quality they'd go for it. That is part of what's happening now. Mirrorless today is in a far better position than when it was when Panasonic released the G1. If all of the market consisted of enthusiasts who thought: "performance & obese cameras at all costs" (with a lot of mirrorless features missing at all cost too)...then there'd be no reason to make mirrorless or buy it. I think the market is quite different from that though.

Mirrorless is in a better position now because people are looking for alternatives or can see them in-store. Right in their faces. Once they experience alternatives, their needs and expectations quickly change (or develop for the first time). They might find that they are not keen on lugging around bigger cameras any more. They might find that DSLRs suck in certain areas compared to what they are used to; how they like to handle and use a camera and so forth. Yes, a small percentage will not be satisfied with mirrorless now: mostly performance enthusaists who make use of fast AF tracking on the typical DSLR. Also those who know that some DSLR lenses offer better value or choice than what is available in mirrorless land. Also those that prefer an optical viewfinder. I get that. I see that with my own usage too. These people might be an important niche but they won't stop heavy investment in mirrorless. Mirrorless is a train that can't be stopped. It's where we need to go now. I think it will overtake DSLR sales: it's just a question of when.
One thing you failed to explain is how being ML makes the lenses smaller?
Ask the engineers why. Seen the offerings available? Often smaller.

quality

There are some mirrorless lenses that are better quality than the (roughly) equivalent lens in the DSLR range (of roughly equivalent price). Just as there are some that are worse than the roughly equivalent DSLR lens in roughly equivalent price. And this is when comparing line-ups that have had decades to mature versus the new mirrorless lines. How will it be 10 years from now?

DSLR sales

You say that DSLRs are declining faster. Why do you think that is?

A few years ago I would hear people on this very forum dismiss mirrorless as a whole market segment. I had to laugh (on the inside). I can only assume it was because they tried mirrorless and it was lacking a feature they wanted (fast AF tracking? Battery life?) while ignoring all the other benefits (or at least downplaying all the other benefits). I have so little incentive to buy a new DSLR these days, it's unbelievable. I simply don't like using them as much as a mirrorless body.

They are sort-of refreshing to go back to now and then just for fun (or when you have to) - you realise how massive DSLRs are and it's nice to occasionally switch-up cameras for fun and variety's sake. Then you end up leaving them alone when you're done...or not bringing them with you. At least I do. They simply aren't as nice to use.

At most, I think I'll see 6 years with my current DSLRs before I drop them completely. By this point, the megapixel imiprovements, focusing improvements & video improvements will probably be enough incentive to move up to the next mirrorless. I have zero desire to move up to another DSLR. I enjoy taking photos more on a mirrorless body. I enjoy making videos far more on a mirrorless body. I'm sure our Japanese friends have done their market research and they know which way the market is going, too.
 
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How can the lenses be lighter and thinner just bc you remove the mirror box?
I can only say what I've already said: the proof is out there.

* Four Thirds lenses to Micro Four Thirds equivalents.

* EF lenses (and EF-S) to EF-M equivalents.

etc.

Are they smaller or larger, in general? Generally smaller.

Small enough for the average user to notice for sure. If you expect me to give you a scientific answer,
And this is why you are wrong, there is no scientific answer bc it's not true. Lenses are lenses, removing the mirror makes no difference otherwise DSLRs would need different lenses when used in LV. I mean think about it, DSLRs when in LV are basically a large ML camera, like an oversized NX500 or A5100.

You said it, you don't understand what im saying bc you don't understand the science. Lenses are based on sensor size.
Yes. DSLRs simply have better battery life (now).
Unless a ML MFG developes their own patented battery tech that nobody else has, DSLRs will always have better shot life (always).
I like getting more shots per charge too. But I can see countless people in shops not even considering a DSLR due to size. These people are the ones that have & will drive mirrorless sales and all the new innovations along with it.
And countless people do care about battery life, it's why even some ML bodies have battery grips, it's why LG designed a battery addon for the G5, it's why battery life is a spec for just about every portable device.

This small size theory is wishful thinking, you guys are hoping smaller takes over bc that's what you prefer. Wishing doesn't make it so. A lot of the people buying smaller ML bodies are people who still own DSLRs, bc they want both for different uses.
when I bought the Panasonic G2 years ago I was let down that it didn't have an electronic shutter... I always assumed it would. A bit dumb of me, but there you go. I got the feature later, in another camera. I use the electronic shutter whenever I can get away with it. Guilt-free shooting without worrying about failing mechanicals & without waking up sleeping babies, just like the digital compacts I upgraded from. I just wish I could always use electronic shutter in every situation without compromise compared to mechanical. One day maybe. This is the area I hope sees a lot more innovation. To me this is a great one and just one of many little things that your typical DSLR doesn't offer.
A useful feature indeed. Eventually all DSLRs will have it in LV too. It's not however a feature that is at the top of my list. More important is lens selection, VF aesthetics, battery life, grip comfort and ergonomics. When global shutters are on CMOS sensors it will be more useful, as of now it can't be used with flash or with fast motion.
You are confusing correlaton with causation. ML companies use small as a selling point to draw people in, but there are compromises.
So you agree that small does draw people in. It's always promising when you admit that :)
With some people of course it does, it's why people have always bought compacts and such. Others find capability more important than size. Nothing new here.
Sony is probably the leading ML brand right now, why do you think their newest GM glass (the good stuff) is so big and heavy? If ML can be smaller and lighter, why isn't Sony doing that?
'Cause Sony wants those pro dollars and the way to do that is to make the 'pro' feel like they are getting they are getting something big and impressive, and therefore more easily be considered 'pro'?
So you are suggesting that Sony is better off making people mad by designing huge heavy lenses for ML, than making "pro"
glass that is small and light??? Dude thats a poor argument. The real reason those lenses are huge is called physics. Same reason why the best GPUs are not the miniaturized ones.

Most lens designs require they be a certain size for optimal optical performance. You said it yourself, you don't understand the science.
It also has the trickle-down effect of making the poor amateurs and enthusiasts get the impression that they are buying into some seriously good ecosystem, thereby having a positive psychological effect on their aspirational purchase desires while making them feel that their lower-priced current gear is still a relation of the 'good' SONY bloodline?
That is one muddy and convoluted BS conspiracy theory. Funny too.
Actually that was only a half-joke and I don't know.

Maybe Sony can't make the pro stuff smaller. Maybe they can. But it seems to be the exception rather than the norm.
Well plz show me "pro" glass that is tiny. Look at Canon, Nikon, hell look at Samsung's top lenses, they are all big and heavy. It's physics. I know ML users don't like to admit it bc tiny is one of their bragging points, but it is what it is. Even the best ML bodies are also the biggest and heaviest. look at the NX1, the A7RII, look at Fuji. The best bodies are always the biggest.

How is a ML system that is marketed to be small, going to benefit by it's flagship being big?
I am not following Sony closely. Maybe you can tell me. When all is said-and-done, this is going into the niche levels. At the lower-end and middle-range it's fairly common to see smaller lenses.
Exactly, bc those lower end designs don't need as good of optical performance. They are cheaper lenses (and bodies), they can compromise optical quality when shrinking.
So there offerings are generally smaller lenses and bodies. I don't think this is always the case with lenses and not even always the case with bodies, but it is commonly the case.
Once in a blue moon you get a pancake that's optical great. It's not the norm and is far less common with zooms than primes.
some small lenses are also better than their bigger mirrored parents; it goes both ways. As the mirrorless ranges increase, I think we will see more of that.
As the ML range HAS increased, we have actually seen the opposite of your claim. There was a time when most ML glass was smaller, yet as they have produced higher end stuff, it's gotten bigger and bigger, lenses and bodies. What you predict is the opposite of what we are seeing in reality.
There is also the advantage of no chance of any dust getting stuck in the viewfinder when using mirrorless (at least far less chance).
Yet there is a far greater chance of dust getting stuck to the sensor.... go read FE forums some time, quite an eye opener. I get the feeling you have all these opinions without having researched much.
Rocket science indeed. Look through the VF, press button. Film must have been even worse, how did anybody manage a single photo?
It's called progress, even if you discount it with statements like that.
Like the way people discount DSLR progress? I remember not long ago when eye tracking was the go-to argument for ML fanboys. Now cameras like the D500 do it better than ML. But lets not talk about DSLR progress, lets pretend that only ML are improving.....
So I'm standing with a camera (and lens) that weighs more and I am going to be more stable? Aching wrists and arms (and legs).
Do some pushups or something man, aching??? I have spent half a day using a gripped D800 and wasn't aching anywhere. Hipsters are some soft dudes for real.
You must have some medical issues. Holding a camera makes your legs ache???
Sure it does. Those 2 spare lenses in the bag weigh more.
False, as i have explained.

I didn't bother reading the rest of the post, my points have been made.
 
And this is why you are wrong, there is no scientific answer bc it's not true. Lenses are lenses, removing the mirror makes no difference otherwise DSLRs would need different lenses when used in LV. I mean think about it, DSLRs when in LV are basically a large ML camera, like an oversized NX500 or A5100.
Smaller lenses are available and selling now despite your science. Can you explain that? We have offerings that we didn't quite see so much of before.
You said it, you don't understand what im saying bc you don't understand the science. Lenses are based on sensor size.
Again, irrelevant. Software tricks or not, we are seeing smaller lenses in mirrorless line-ups generally. Four Thirds to Micro Four Thirds = same sensor size, often smaller lenses. EF-S to EF-M = same sensor size, often smaller lenses. Etc.
Yes. DSLRs simply have better battery life (now).
Unless a ML MFG developes their own patented battery tech that nobody else has, DSLRs will always have better shot life (always).
Nokia feature phone versus today's smartphones.
I like getting more shots per charge too. But I can see countless people in shops not even considering a DSLR due to size. These people are the ones that have & will drive mirrorless sales and all the new innovations along with it.
And countless people do care about battery life, it's why even some ML bodies have battery grips, it's why LG designed a battery addon for the G5,
http://wccftech.com/lg-g5-terrible-build-quality/

Abysmal sales and build quality, apparently. This is what happens when you go against market trends. You are a niche enthusiast not totally satisfied by mirrorless today. I get that. Tomorrow?
it's why battery life is a spec for just about every portable device.
Of course it's a spec. It's a spec that will get increasingly less attention as time goes on. I'd say it's pretty low on the radar as it is now. I care about it, but not half as much as you make it sound. I think most users are the same. I certainly wouldn't cancel a camera purchase and buy another just based on the battery life. I would never bother with a grip (though did buy one for my Canon once...a third-party one...and I never use it because I find it too big).
This small size theory is wishful thinking, you guys are hoping smaller takes over bc that's what you prefer. Wishing doesn't make it so.
Hope to catch up with you again in the next few years. I really do.
A lot of the people buying smaller ML bodies are people who still own DSLRs, bc they want both for different uses.
And when they buy a new camera (again) they will never go back to a fat-bodied DSLR or suggest a DSLR to their friends or family. Another nail in the coffin.
when I bought the Panasonic G2 years ago I was let down that it didn't have an electronic shutter... I always assumed it would. A bit dumb of me, but there you go. I got the feature later, in another camera. I use the electronic shutter whenever I can get away with it. Guilt-free shooting without worrying about failing mechanicals & without waking up sleeping babies, just like the digital compacts I upgraded from. I just wish I could always use electronic shutter in every situation without compromise compared to mechanical. One day maybe. This is the area I hope sees a lot more innovation. To me this is a great one and just one of many little things that your typical DSLR doesn't offer.
A useful feature indeed. Eventually all DSLRs will have it in LV too. It's not however a feature that is at the top of my list. More important is lens selection,
yes, and mirrorless lenses are growing; we already see some fine lens choices that can't be had on the bigger bodies.
VF aesthetics, battery life, grip comfort and ergonomics.
vf aesthetics to me means optical viewfinders still look better in ultra low light. Ergonomics. Seen the new Canon M5? They finally moved into the enthusiast space. Exciting times.
When global shutters are on CMOS sensors it will be more useful, as of now it can't be used with flash or with fast motion.
Yes, an area that needs work.
With some people of course it does, it's why people have always bought compacts and such. Others find capability more important than size. Nothing new here.
But it is new for removable lens cameras. In other words, those wanting better quality and responsiveness than what they are typically used to will still have to buy removable lens cameras...and many will be ignoring Phat Bodies. They have a choice now. They didn't really have a noticeably smaller and easier-to-use choice in the past. Those are the keys.
So you are suggesting that Sony is better off making people mad by designing huge heavy lenses for ML, than making "pro"
glass that is small and light??? Dude thats a poor argument. The real reason those lenses are huge is called physics. Same reason why the best GPUs are not the miniaturized ones.
I said I was half-joking didn't i?
Most lens designs require they be a certain size for optimal optical performance. You said it yourself, you don't understand the science.
I am not an optical engineer, that's right. I know the basics. There are lots of good and small lenses for mirrorless bodies. Personally I prefer those that don't use software tricks to be 'good'. Nobody cares about the reasons why, unless they are into philosophical debates about optics. That reality is lost on you.
It also has the trickle-down effect of making the poor amateurs and enthusiasts get the impression that they are buying into some seriously good ecosystem, thereby having a positive psychological effect on their aspirational purchase desires while making them feel that their lower-priced current gear is still a relation of the 'good' SONY bloodline?
That is one muddy and convoluted BS conspiracy theory. Funny too.
Conspiracy? I suggest you don't read any marketing books then.
Well plz show me "pro" glass that is tiny. Look at Canon, Nikon, hell look at Samsung's top lenses, they are all big and heavy. It's physics. I know ML users don't like to admit it bc tiny is one of their bragging points, but it is what it is. Even the best ML bodies are also the biggest and heaviest. look at the NX1, the A7RII, look at Fuji. The best bodies are always the biggest.

How is a ML system that is marketed to be small, going to benefit by it's flagship being big?
Mirrorless can be big and small. Wonderful isn't it? DSLRs have obnoxiously fat bodies with no option for small bodies and few options for small lenses. Plus, in general more larger lenses in the entry-level and mid-range, which most of the market is buying. Not that wonderful is it? That's my general feeling.
Exactly, bc those lower end designs don't need as good of optical performance. They are cheaper lenses (and bodies), they can compromise optical quality when shrinking.
mirrorless lenses aren't always cheaper lenses with more compromises then their dinosaur parents. So that is simply not true (if you are suggesting that). It depends.
So there offerings are generally smaller lenses and bodies. I don't think this is always the case with lenses and not even always the case with bodies, but it is commonly the case.
Once in a blue moon you get a pancake that's optical great. It's not the norm and is far less common with zooms than primes.
Canon is doing great things with their EF-M lenses, in general. This lens talk means absolutely nothing to most people who will be (and are) generally buying smaller bodies and lenses. The market will move forward with all the features and conveniences mirrorless gives the interchangeable lens user. It will not move backward. The bulk of the new investment will go to mirrorless in the future. Wait and see. Again, you are talking now versus future trends. Canon's recent M5 announcement shows all the signs of 'bye-bye DSLR' from a DSLR market leader (if it wasn't already apparent from their smaller competitors).
some small lenses are also better than their bigger mirrored parents; it goes both ways. As the mirrorless ranges increase, I think we will see more of that.
There was a time when most ML glass was smaller, yet as they have produced higher end stuff, it's gotten bigger and bigger, lenses and bodies. What you predict is the opposite of what we are seeing in reality.
So you should be happy. You want higher-end glass, you have it. Higher-end glass has always (generally) been bigger than the 'consumer' stuff, so nothing has changed. Except now you can get slimmer bodies and slimmer lenses if you want them too. This is the way the market in general is headed.
There is also the advantage of no chance of any dust getting stuck in the viewfinder when using mirrorless (at least far less chance).
Yet there is a far greater chance of dust getting stuck to the sensor.... go read FE forums some time, quite an eye opener. I get the feeling you have all these opinions without having researched much.
Researched much? I have used mirrorless interchangeable lens cameras since the Panasonic G2. My first interchangeable lens camera was a Four Thirds (not micro) camera: an Olympus with its anti-dust system (but that had an optical viewfinder with dust caught inside it). Today, I have zero issues with dust affecting my images (and zero issues with dust affecting the internal bits of my viewfinder. It's great. You can always buy cleaning kits if you have a real problem with the sensor: I never have. I don't see any big advantage sticking to DSLR. DSLRs had nothing to take care of dust for years before Olympus showed the dinosaurs the way. Many claim that it is still the most effective system to deal with dust. I don't see these claims in reality. If anything you have just reminded me of how crappy things were.
Rocket science indeed. Look through the VF, press button. Film must have been even worse, how did anybody manage a single photo?
It's called progress, even if you discount it with statements like that.
Now cameras like the D500 do it better than ML. But lets not talk about DSLR progress, lets pretend that only ML are improving.....
I don't pretend that DSLRs are not improving. They do and are. All electronics. But there's no escaping those fat bodies and generally higher weight, is there? There's no escaping that mirror either, is there? There's no escaping those sexy thinner cameras in the camera store sitting next to the obese, is there? There's really no denying the better usability of mirrorless. Plus the lack of the need to make a precision mirror. These basics will draw investment away from DSLRs. It really doesn't take a genius.
So I'm standing with a camera (and lens) that weighs more and I am going to be more stable? Aching wrists and arms (and legs).
Do some pushups or something man, aching??? I have spent half a day using a gripped D800 and wasn't aching anywhere. Hipsters are some soft dudes for real.
Yes, I am a 'soft dude'. So are the women who buy cameras, which make up about 50% of the earth's population. It isn't just about you but the wider market who can do what you do but would prefer not to. In other words, convenience.
You must have some medical issues. Holding a camera makes your legs ache???
Sure it does. Those 2 spare lenses in the bag weigh more.
False, as i have explained.
you explained nothing. It's generally true that for a given price mirrorless bodies do offer lighter bodies and lenses. Far more likely to be true than not. Overall camera + lens weight is less. Making it more convenient to carry and use them, in my opinion. I can see that quite clearly after years of use and the 'shock' I get going back to my DSLRs. Both in body & lens size plus general usability.
I didn't bother reading the rest of the post, my points have been made.
They were made several posts ago. I just happen to disagree with them in terms of where future trends are headed. Right now...mirrorless is not for everyone in every possible situation, including me. But we are fast getting there don't you think? I look forward to catching up with you in a few years to see if a DSLR divorce is on the cards.
 
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