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Am I paranoid? (D100)

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Phil Flash

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Okay, just about ready to finally take the plunge on the D100, after carefully considering the 10D. I just couldn't go over to the other side after 20 years of manual Nikon equipment even though Nikon obsoleted the lenses. The 1.5x vs 1.6, spotmeter, and availability of the cool 45mm pancake lens has sealed the decision for me. I would, however, leap into the Canon line if I could justy the 1Ds as a hobbyist.

But my paranoia that a replacement is just around the corner springs from the fact that no legitimate Internet retailers have the D100 in stock (please don't look for me, save your time). B&H, Adoraman, SSD, etc. The price was lowered quite some time ago, so I don't buy a recent run on D100s as the reason.

Also fueling my paranoia is that the normally very thorough Phil Askey has not done a comparison between the D100 and 10d. Could this be because he knows the D100 replacement is on the way and is holding out on doing the painstaking comparison?

Anyway, am I just paranoid? A month after I spent $900 on an Oly 3030 a couple of years back, they came out with the 3040, with a nice 1.8 lens that I would have really appreciated. So you can see why I might be a bit nutty about this.

Is there a shrink in the house?

Phil Flash
 
http://www.dpreview.com/news/newsletter_subscribe.asp

Phil is announcing a camera tomorrow:
Phil Flash said:
There's more
============
Click to expand...
Phil Flash said:
On Friday of this week we will have news
of a new camera (and
possibly even a review or two).
Click to expand...
Phil Flash said:
Okay, just about ready to finally take the plunge on the D100,
after carefully considering the 10D. I just couldn't go over to
the other side after 20 years of manual Nikon equipment even though
Nikon obsoleted the lenses. The 1.5x vs 1.6, spotmeter, and
availability of the cool 45mm pancake lens has sealed the decision
for me. I would, however, leap into the Canon line if I could
justy the 1Ds as a hobbyist.

But my paranoia that a replacement is just around the corner
springs from the fact that no legitimate Internet retailers have
the D100 in stock (please don't look for me, save your time). B&H,
Adoraman, SSD, etc. The price was lowered quite some time ago, so
I don't buy a recent run on D100s as the reason.

Also fueling my paranoia is that the normally very thorough Phil
Askey has not done a comparison between the D100 and 10d. Could
this be because he knows the D100 replacement is on the way and is
holding out on doing the painstaking comparison?

Anyway, am I just paranoid? A month after I spent $900 on an Oly
3030 a couple of years back, they came out with the 3040, with a
nice 1.8 lens that I would have really appreciated. So you can see
why I might be a bit nutty about this.

Is there a shrink in the house?

Phil Flash
Click to expand...
 
Hi Phil

This is a good question and something that most people will worry about before taking the plunge and buying a new camera, PC, car & just about anything else apart from antiques.

I'll be rude and reply to your question with a question. You're worrying about a replacement being around the corner. Would you wait if you knew that a D100 replacement would definitely be released in 12 months? If not, how about 8 months? Will your D100 cease to be an excellent camera when a replacement comes out?

I bought a D100 just before Christmas and if tomorrow I were to drop it in a lake and simultaneously find a couple of thousand quid I'd go to a camera shop and buy another one.

Up to you Phil, the only sure thing is that in a couple of years there'll be something else out there. Question is, does it really matter?
cheers

Russ
Phil Flash said:
Okay, just about ready to finally take the plunge on the D100,
after carefully considering the 10D. I just couldn't go over to
the other side after 20 years of manual Nikon equipment even though
Nikon obsoleted the lenses. The 1.5x vs 1.6, spotmeter, and
availability of the cool 45mm pancake lens has sealed the decision
for me. I would, however, leap into the Canon line if I could
justy the 1Ds as a hobbyist.

But my paranoia that a replacement is just around the corner
springs from the fact that no legitimate Internet retailers have
the D100 in stock (please don't look for me, save your time). B&H,
Adoraman, SSD, etc. The price was lowered quite some time ago, so
I don't buy a recent run on D100s as the reason.

Also fueling my paranoia is that the normally very thorough Phil
Askey has not done a comparison between the D100 and 10d. Could
this be because he knows the D100 replacement is on the way and is
holding out on doing the painstaking comparison?

Anyway, am I just paranoid? A month after I spent $900 on an Oly
3030 a couple of years back, they came out with the 3040, with a
nice 1.8 lens that I would have really appreciated. So you can see
why I might be a bit nutty about this.

Is there a shrink in the house?

Phil Flash
Click to expand...
 
I agree with Russ,,,,,phil....

There will always be a new camera "around the corner". However, I can personally attest to the D100 being an excellent camera and it has provided me with about 9 months of great picture taking thus far.

Don't worry about it, just go get one and start taking pictures. After all is said and done, the D100 will still be taking pictures for many years to come.

I have a a two year old PC and it is not as fast as the newer ones however, it does everything I need it to do and does it well.

I don't think you are paranoid per se,,,,just worried about getting the newest and best for your hard earned dollar. But, at some point, you have to jump in. I think now is as good a time as any..

Happy shooting
Russ T said:
Russ
Phil Flash said:
Okay, just about ready to finally take the plunge on the D100,
after carefully considering the 10D. I just couldn't go over to
the other side after 20 years of manual Nikon equipment even though
Nikon obsoleted the lenses. The 1.5x vs 1.6, spotmeter, and
availability of the cool 45mm pancake lens has sealed the decision
for me. I would, however, leap into the Canon line if I could
justy the 1Ds as a hobbyist.

But my paranoia that a replacement is just around the corner
springs from the fact that no legitimate Internet retailers have
the D100 in stock (please don't look for me, save your time). B&H,
Adoraman, SSD, etc. The price was lowered quite some time ago, so
I don't buy a recent run on D100s as the reason.

Also fueling my paranoia is that the normally very thorough Phil
Askey has not done a comparison between the D100 and 10d. Could
this be because he knows the D100 replacement is on the way and is
holding out on doing the painstaking comparison?

Anyway, am I just paranoid? A month after I spent $900 on an Oly
3030 a couple of years back, they came out with the 3040, with a
nice 1.8 lens that I would have really appreciated. So you can see
why I might be a bit nutty about this.

Is there a shrink in the house?

Phil Flash
Click to expand...
Click to expand...
 
Let me set your mind to rest. If you buy a D100 today, or next week, just as you are getting comfortable with it and start to love it Nikon will announce its replacement, lets call it the D200. If you want until the D200 comes out and buy one just as you are getting happy Nikon will announce the D300. Get the pattern here? Unless you are sure that something is about to be announced do not bother “waiting for the new thing”

Nikon and Canon have learned the lesson well from Intel: Having a 4-5 year product cycle is bad, having an 18 month product cycle is good. People HAVE to have the new toy if it has bigger/faster/smaller numbers with it. People will pay good money for something even if what they have now works just fine.

If you are ready to go digital go. Just wait for it to be in supply. If they are running out of supply because a new model is on the way they will never get the supply in.
Phil Flash said:
Okay, just about ready to finally take the plunge on the D100,
after carefully considering the 10D. I just couldn't go over to
the other side after 20 years of manual Nikon equipment even though
Nikon obsoleted the lenses. The 1.5x vs 1.6, spotmeter, and
availability of the cool 45mm pancake lens has sealed the decision
for me. I would, however, leap into the Canon line if I could
justy the 1Ds as a hobbyist.

But my paranoia that a replacement is just around the corner
springs from the fact that no legitimate Internet retailers have
the D100 in stock (please don't look for me, save your time). B&H,
Adoraman, SSD, etc. The price was lowered quite some time ago, so
I don't buy a recent run on D100s as the reason.

Also fueling my paranoia is that the normally very thorough Phil
Askey has not done a comparison between the D100 and 10d. Could
this be because he knows the D100 replacement is on the way and is
holding out on doing the painstaking comparison?

Anyway, am I just paranoid? A month after I spent $900 on an Oly
3030 a couple of years back, they came out with the 3040, with a
nice 1.8 lens that I would have really appreciated. So you can see
why I might be a bit nutty about this.

Is there a shrink in the house?

Phil Flash
Click to expand...
 
Phil.

It's hard not to be. Nobody wants to feel like they've been taken. Yep, there will be something newer and better eventually. My guess is that the D100 is more camera than you'll need for a long time.

Relax, enjoy.

ktvd
 
ktvd said:
Phil.

It's hard not to be. Nobody wants to feel like they've been taken.
Yep, there will be something newer and better eventually. My guess
is that the D100 is more camera than you'll need for a long time.

Relax, enjoy.

ktvd
Click to expand...
 
http://forums.dpreview.com/forums/read.asp?forum=1000&message=4975501

No, it's not an SLR.
tok said:
Phil,

Would you be able to say if friday's new camera announcement will
be an SLR ?

intrigued,
tok
--
http://www.pbase.com/tok/india
Click to expand...
--
Phil Askey
Editor / Owner, dpreview.com

Now, technically a DSLR is an SLR , we'll know in a few hours if Phil was being slick with his words...but I doubt it's a DSLR and even if it is I doubly doubt it's one from Nikon.

(Though I wouldn't mind being wrong on the point!)
altan said:
squash said:
Phil is announcing a camera tomorrow:
altan said:
There's more
============
Click to expand...
altan said:
On Friday of this week we will have news
of a new camera (and
possibly even a review or two).
Click to expand...
Click to expand...
Any insight into tomorrows announcement? For example, any reason
to think it's a Nikon and not some HP or something else?

... Altan
Click to expand...
--

 
altan said:
Any insight into tomorrows announcement? For example, any reason
to think it's a Nikon and not some HP or something else?
Click to expand...
No insight into the announcement whatsoever. However, I'm not certain there's any reason to believe that Phil would get advanced notice of a pro-class DSLR announcement by Nikon.
 
Phil,

just a quick point on the "not in stock" part of your post. Bear in mind I am in the UK and this was from a small chain of camera shops, but my local place have had more than a bit of a run on the D100's for a couple of months now. They were telling me they're selling them as soon as they get them in stock at the moment. The chap I was talking to really couldn't understand why either, just one of those things from us fickle consumers he guessed.

Like everyone else has said, if you're happy its the best thing now then go for it! (even if they announced a new one tomorrow, I'm sure you'd be looking at september - november before you got your eager mitts on it)

Hope this helps

Luke
 
Not to worry with "jumping in"....It's like buying a desktop/laptop computer...there will always be a new-newest.

Eventually, camera design will settle into replaceable CCDs...reassuring the consumer that they are making an investment in the camera body and lenses. So every year or so, the consumer can "upgrade" for $300-500. The camera body cycle will be 5 years or so. This formula makes the most sense, from the cash-flow market sense, and from a R&D investment sense.

Maenwhile, get your camera and enjoy picture-taking right away!

John
Luke said:
Phil,

just a quick point on the "not in stock" part of your post. Bear in
mind I am in the UK and this was from a small chain of camera
shops, but my local place have had more than a bit of a run on the
D100's for a couple of months now. They were telling me they're
selling them as soon as they get them in stock at the moment. The
chap I was talking to really couldn't understand why either, just
one of those things from us fickle consumers he guessed.

Like everyone else has said, if you're happy its the best thing now
then go for it! (even if they announced a new one tomorrow, I'm
sure you'd be looking at september - november before you got your
eager mitts on it)

Hope this helps

Luke
Click to expand...
 
Yeah, I only recently replaced my Win 98-running PII 350 clunker with a nice Apple Powerbook (timed the cycle right, got it just when newer, faster, cheaper models came out).

Aside from full frame, there's really nothing missing on the D100 that I could possibly want.
NNS said:
There will always be a new camera "around the corner". However, I
can personally attest to the D100 being an excellent camera and it
has provided me with about 9 months of great picture taking thus
far.
Don't worry about it, just go get one and start taking pictures.
After all is said and done, the D100 will still be taking pictures
for many years to come.

I have a a two year old PC and it is not as fast as the newer ones
however, it does everything I need it to do and does it well.

I don't think you are paranoid per se,,,,just worried about getting
the newest and best for your hard earned dollar. But, at some
point, you have to jump in. I think now is as good a time as any..

Happy shooting
Russ T said:
Russ
Phil Flash said:
Okay, just about ready to finally take the plunge on the D100,
after carefully considering the 10D. I just couldn't go over to
the other side after 20 years of manual Nikon equipment even though
Nikon obsoleted the lenses. The 1.5x vs 1.6, spotmeter, and
availability of the cool 45mm pancake lens has sealed the decision
for me. I would, however, leap into the Canon line if I could
justy the 1Ds as a hobbyist.

But my paranoia that a replacement is just around the corner
springs from the fact that no legitimate Internet retailers have
the D100 in stock (please don't look for me, save your time). B&H,
Adoraman, SSD, etc. The price was lowered quite some time ago, so
I don't buy a recent run on D100s as the reason.

Also fueling my paranoia is that the normally very thorough Phil
Askey has not done a comparison between the D100 and 10d. Could
this be because he knows the D100 replacement is on the way and is
holding out on doing the painstaking comparison?

Anyway, am I just paranoid? A month after I spent $900 on an Oly
3030 a couple of years back, they came out with the 3040, with a
nice 1.8 lens that I would have really appreciated. So you can see
why I might be a bit nutty about this.

Is there a shrink in the house?

Phil Flash
Click to expand...
Click to expand...
Click to expand...
 
Have you tried Service Photo in Balt, MD? USA only, prices same as B&H, cheaper shipping and great to deal with. I've bought 2 D100's, F5, 990, 5000, many lenses and sb80dx. I don't work there, just like the deals.
Phil Flash said:
Aside from full frame, there's really nothing missing on the D100
that I could possibly want.
NNS said:
There will always be a new camera "around the corner". However, I
can personally attest to the D100 being an excellent camera and it
has provided me with about 9 months of great picture taking thus
far.
Don't worry about it, just go get one and start taking pictures.
After all is said and done, the D100 will still be taking pictures
for many years to come.

I have a a two year old PC and it is not as fast as the newer ones
however, it does everything I need it to do and does it well.

I don't think you are paranoid per se,,,,just worried about getting
the newest and best for your hard earned dollar. But, at some
point, you have to jump in. I think now is as good a time as any..

Happy shooting
Russ T said:
Russ
Phil Flash said:
Okay, just about ready to finally take the plunge on the D100,
after carefully considering the 10D. I just couldn't go over to
the other side after 20 years of manual Nikon equipment even though
Nikon obsoleted the lenses. The 1.5x vs 1.6, spotmeter, and
availability of the cool 45mm pancake lens has sealed the decision
for me. I would, however, leap into the Canon line if I could
justy the 1Ds as a hobbyist.

But my paranoia that a replacement is just around the corner
springs from the fact that no legitimate Internet retailers have
the D100 in stock (please don't look for me, save your time). B&H,
Adoraman, SSD, etc. The price was lowered quite some time ago, so
I don't buy a recent run on D100s as the reason.

Also fueling my paranoia is that the normally very thorough Phil
Askey has not done a comparison between the D100 and 10d. Could
this be because he knows the D100 replacement is on the way and is
holding out on doing the painstaking comparison?

Anyway, am I just paranoid? A month after I spent $900 on an Oly
3030 a couple of years back, they came out with the 3040, with a
nice 1.8 lens that I would have really appreciated. So you can see
why I might be a bit nutty about this.

Is there a shrink in the house?

Phil Flash
Click to expand...
Click to expand...
Click to expand...
Click to expand...
--
http://www.pbase.com/baywing
 
I got lucky and found the D100 about a 100 miles away and picked it up the next day.

I've only had it a week, but I love this camera. It replaces a 5700 that I got just 6 months ago, and should have waited the 6 months. You'll love it.
 
I am also interested in the same camera. I saw what you were talking about at B&H and all. I just called service photo like someone above suggested and they have 5 d100's in stock for $1699. So, they are available and assuming four other people dont read this and call them up, i think were good :)
George

PS: there website was http://www.servicephoto.com I've never shoped with them but the guy on the phone seamed nice.
Phil Flash said:
Phil Flash said:
But my paranoia that a replacement is just around the corner
Click to expand...
springs from the fact that no legitimate Internet retailers have
the D100 in stock (please don't look for me, save your time). B&H,
Adoraman, SSD, etc. The price was lowered quite some time ago, so
I don't buy a recent run on D100s as the reason.
Click to expand...
 
and so????
squash said:
Phil is announcing a camera tomorrow:
squash said:
There's more
============
Click to expand...
squash said:
On Friday of this week we will have news
of a new camera (and
possibly even a review or two).
Click to expand...
Phil Flash said:
Okay, just about ready to finally take the plunge on the D100,
after carefully considering the 10D. I just couldn't go over to
the other side after 20 years of manual Nikon equipment even though
Nikon obsoleted the lenses. The 1.5x vs 1.6, spotmeter, and
availability of the cool 45mm pancake lens has sealed the decision
for me. I would, however, leap into the Canon line if I could
justy the 1Ds as a hobbyist.

But my paranoia that a replacement is just around the corner
springs from the fact that no legitimate Internet retailers have
the D100 in stock (please don't look for me, save your time). B&H,
Adoraman, SSD, etc. The price was lowered quite some time ago, so
I don't buy a recent run on D100s as the reason.

Also fueling my paranoia is that the normally very thorough Phil
Askey has not done a comparison between the D100 and 10d. Could
this be because he knows the D100 replacement is on the way and is
holding out on doing the painstaking comparison?

Anyway, am I just paranoid? A month after I spent $900 on an Oly
3030 a couple of years back, they came out with the 3040, with a
nice 1.8 lens that I would have really appreciated. So you can see
why I might be a bit nutty about this.

Is there a shrink in the house?

Phil Flash
Click to expand...
Click to expand...
 
Luke said:
just a quick point on the "not in stock" part of your post. Bear in
mind I am in the UK and this was from a small chain of camera
shops, but my local place have had more than a bit of a run on the
D100's for a couple of months now. They were telling me they're
selling them as soon as they get them in stock at the moment.
Click to expand...
Based upon book orders, I'd have to agree. The D100 must have sold in enormous quantities in November/December, died down a bit in Jan/Feb, then picked up again like gangbusters after PMA (yes, before the price decrease!). The D1 book showed a similar uptick when the price was lowered (but didn't show any upsurge prior to that in late 2002, as did the D100).

I think the "Out of Stock" messages are just that. Nikon's manufacturing is running under demand at the moment.

--
Thom Hogan
author, Nikon Field Guide & Nikon Flash Guide
author, Complete Guides to the Nikon D100, D1, D1h, & D1x and Fujifilm S2
http://www.bythom.com
 
Thom Hogan said:
The D100 must have sold
in enormous quantities in November/December, died down a bit in
Jan/Feb, then picked up again like gangbusters after PMA (yes,
before the price decrease!).

I think the "Out of Stock" messages are just that. Nikon's
manufacturing is running under demand at the moment.
Click to expand...
And that is a very good explanation, why we haven't seen any updates to the D 100. Why should Nikon go to great expenses retooling their prodiction line for a new model (they no doubt have something up the sleeve) when the D100 still sell like hot cakes, despite new models from Canon and despite the whining in this forum. That would simply bee bad buisiness. After all they are in it for money.
 
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