Do you think DX will disappear in the future?

Yes, I personally think it will dissapear in another few years. I've been predicting it ever since I got my Nikon D90 back in 2008. A few more years, I believe it will be gone. Well, let's see what happens. I can predict all I like :)
Sorry if this has already been discussed, but I want some current inputs from you guys since the D600, an 'entry-level' full-frame camera, has already been released.

I understand that Nikon made a lot of DX lenses so it'll be a waste if they terminate their DX lineup but do you think Nikon will focus more on delivering more FX cameras, and just have like a couple or one DX camera in the future?
 
If its DSLR's with an ASPC sized sensor then yes I spose its possible they will vanish before FF DSLR's as mirrorless advances although I still think thats many years in the future.

In terms of DX/ASPC sized sensors though no I don't think they'll vanish, FF will always be larger and more expensive even if the difference drops and as ISO performance carries on improving crop sensors will likely meet 95% of peoples needs.

In the end I'd say that the real limate is going to be resolution, you can squeeze more and better pixels into a crop sensor but ultimately your going to be limated by optics that do not advance at the same speed an electronics. I think we've seen with the latest 24MP crop sensors that corner to corner sharpness is very difficult to achieve so I'm guessing a 36MP+ crop camera would never be able to give the same performance as the D800 even if advances in the coming years ment its noise performance was the same.
 
I've been wondering about this. I maybe know 10 pros in my area and only one is still shooting DX (she's not very active). Everyone else went to FX some time ago. It looks to me like the demand for a pro DX body is much much less than it was when the D300 was released.

I realise I live in a "hot" area for pro photographers (Paris, France). What is the situation like out in the rest of the world?
 
DX was a good approach / solution in making DSLR photography affordable to wider range of amateurs. Professionaly speaking I think the resolution achieved by DX (and what can still be achieved in this sensor size in future) already more than covered the needs of typography (300dpi aprox A3) and especially the screen requirements. How many of the amateurs using DX really ever printed any of their photos anyways ? and if so probably would be a digital printing of something like aprox 120-150 dpi A4 size which is huge downsize for any DX MP size sensor since i don't know, 2005? And what picture is presented on screen on average larger than around 1920 x 1440 pixels?

I think that only very specialized cases benefit by large area sensors like medium format and FX. Those sizes are most probably more of left-overs of the film age where the need for higher resolution and detail was directly and unavoidably connected with film area, while now we can achieve even (maybe) from DX the resolution of a medium format film.

And as electronics and software continuously progress its maybe possible that the resolution and noise size of DX or smaller sensors can continue to improve despite their size limitations. Now i don't know which development / R&D is cheaper, and which of the two markets more profitable, a lot i guess will depend on those factors.

I believe that for example if the compact sensors sales are justifying the development cost they could evolve to DX level quality at some point. Personally the only thing i miss from FX is the viewfinder size and brightness (but that could be also achieved in a DX camera if the maker wants to) but for some professional who is called to cover very specialized cases the need for FX might be justified.

i think we are already in resolution overkill phase in photography technology and what would be the concern now, where the focus of development should be is noise and high ISO performance, If that though means unavoidably larger sensor area then FX would probably be the future but i seriously doubt that companies will ever drop DX , which is a very very active market. It doesn't seem business wise probable to abandon a big market that they created themselves. And don't forget its recession everywhere without any near future visible exit. Not many would like to not have access anymore financially to decent 28-300 (FX equiv) or pay a fortune for 600mm reach (FX equiv) that can have now for $500, and since the current DX sensors MP and resolution performance over-cover most of resolution needs, in a hypothetical scenario where DX would be abandoned (highly unlike) then i am sure the used DX market will be so insanely active that would be impossible for companies to not target it

Then again though, its all about marketing ....
 
Why would anybody ask if DX will disappear in the future??? Until camera manufacturers decide to start selling FX bodies for $500 dollars, then yes.

Lots of my friends CANNOT afford anything above $500 dollars. How do you like that? What is Nikon going to tell those people? "Oh! There aren't any more DX cameras for you, just go buy one of those point and shoot inexpensive $200 dollar ones, only FX is available now and the cheapest one is $1299, they are mostly designed for middle and upper class folks" :)
 
I've been wondering about this. I maybe know 10 pros in my area and only one is still shooting DX (she's not very active). Everyone else went to FX some time ago. It looks to me like the demand for a pro DX body is much much less than it was when the D300 was released.

I realise I live in a "hot" area for pro photographers (Paris, France). What is the situation like out in the rest of the world?
It's the same everywhere. Sure there are a few here and there, but most people that make a full time regular business from photography, jobbing pros, have moved to FX. There hasn't really been a pro DX camera since the D2Xs a number of years ago. The D300 is the last pro-build model as well.

--
Cheers, Craig

Follow me on Twitter @craighardingsr : Equipment in Profile
 
I doubt that DX will disappear.
  • However, the million dollar question is whether Nikon will support DX with the lenses that consumers want/need.
If Nikon always intended DX to be for the beginning/amateur market,
then the answer may be "no".

If Nikon does not support it with more lenses,
then the market may decide and DX will die a natural death.

You should probably decide what you want to purchase, based on your Focal Length needs (also factoring in picture quality, budget, etc.).
Sorry if this has already been discussed, but I want some current inputs from you guys since the D600, an 'entry-level' full-frame camera, has already been released.

I understand that Nikon made a lot of DX lenses so it'll be a waste if they terminate their DX lineup but do you think Nikon will focus more on delivering more FX cameras, and just have like a couple or one DX camera in the future?
 

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