News from 10 years in the future, Photokina 2022

Dateline Photokina 2022:

Today the world's only remaining Camera maker, SOCANIKON, announced two new cameras. One will be a 143 MP P&S camera with SOCANIKON's new Bokeh-buster software that will add creamy bokeh to any pictures the P&S shooter doesn't know how or why they want it. “We've learned long ago that your basic sucker... er.. enthusiast just wants to see a bigger number of MP on his camera every year.”, read the SOCANIKON press release.

The other camera will be a long awaited FF camera with 36 MP offered by little remembered SOCANIKON micro division PENTAX. “We were as surprised as anyone when this one came out.” , read the same release.

In other news, after 2022 Photokina, SOCANIKON will henceforth be called Ricoh-SOCANIKON reflecting the recent Ricoh purchase of the company.

Ricoh spokesperson said, “We'll try not to run this company into the ground but who cares, phones dominate the camera market now anyway.”

Regards

Alternate view:

There would be not one, but two photographic companies left: SOCANIKON and Pentax. And we'll still hear about how Pentax will die if they won't release a FF camera "soon".

Alex

Alex Sarbu said:

Alternate view:

There would be not one, but two photographic companies left: SOCANIKON and Pentax. And we'll still hear about how Pentax will die if they won't release a FF camera "soon".

Alex

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oh no....who cares about FF or that kind of down to Earth rubbish.

Pentax, the new concept camera, revolutionary 400M pixel soft touch , gentle feel quadroon lit sensor can easily fit into your eye socket making you a walking DSLR from the old times, long live cyborg!

seriously, that is the future, our limps , organs, and eventually sensors will be gradually replaced by the man made creations ...and it is all nearly doable except the brain for the time being...
anyone working on it?

In 2022 , in response to Pentax producing the LX-II the previous year to mark their centenary , SOCANIKON decided to produce the badge-engineered F-1-2/F3-2 , collectively dubbed the F 2-1/2 .

Since Pentax Corporation ( having bought out the Ricoh-Hoya-Fuji corporation ) introduced their revolutionary silver oxide one-use analogue sensor , under licence from the Eastman-McCartney Kodak corporation , the others had raced to catch up .\

Sony/Zeiss had trawled back through their legacy brand aquisitions to discover that they owned Agfa-Gevaert technology and , with the blessing of their Fourth Reich masters had amalgamated with Roleii AG , and collaborated with Count Hasselblad III to set up a revolutionary factory in a Swedish Fijord to produce their own silver-oxide sensor !

This was all too little , too late - since Pentax saw it coming and reintroduced the 67 Mk II , trouncing all their rivals and becoming the 'must have' camera for every true professional across the globe .
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With kind regards

Derek.

Hey, I want that one you stick in your eye. Anything with that many MP has to be good!

This is fun, but SO ridiculous to even TRY to predict.

If Moore's Law continues to prevail, 10 years from now our computers will likely have hard drives (or something that has replaced them) in the Petabyte range, with processors operating in the Terahertz range and file transfer speeds in the gigabyte range (I KNOW SATA2 -- and especially SATA3 already claim that, but the drives aren't up to the challenge, so you rarely get anything approaching that).

Assuming Moore's Law also translates into photography electronics, that could mean all sorts of things we can't really predict -- including, perhaps, the camera you wear like a contact lens.

We don't really know where smartphone cameras are going to go, either. Today, some of them take reasonably good pictures, all things considered, but nothing compared to a decent DSLR. But 10 more years of technology improvement COULD put them on par, or even ahead of where DSLRs are today.

Consider HD TVs. Five years ago a 1080P 47" was just about the top-of-the-line and VERY expensive. Today, you can get a Sharp Aquos 90" LCD/LED 3D TV for roughly $10,000, which is more expensive than that 47" was 5 years ago, but not by too much, and the price is bound to drop quickly.

If the history of consumer electronics has shown us anything it's that it's practically IMPOSSIBLE to predict where things will go.
Jeff
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A word is worth 1/1000th of a picture... Maybe that's why I use so many words!

But Jeff,

You didn't read the rest of the 2022 press release. According to it, a SOCANIKON tech worker was walking along with his SOCANIKON 8-998mm f1.2 VF BK SDPC SE AF-S HSM JF lens and he tripped and dropped it front element down on concrete. This shattered the 250$ protective filter and only scratched the front element on the 18800$ lens. After this he noticed the lens produced the best bokeh he ever saw. So he got the idea for the Bokeh-Buster software module and was promptly fired from SOCANIKON for putting their lens division out of business! A real heart warming story. BTW VF = Very Fine, BK = Butt Kicker, SDPC = Super Dooper Protective Coating, SE = Secret Element, etc., JF = Jiggle Focus (at least after dropping).

I guess it would be Murphy's law rather than Moore's law according to this.

Regards.

The best part of the announcement was the last part where Nokia told that they want to play with the big dogs and in a few months they will present the first prototype of Full-Frame Mirrorless Nokia phone with 8-1000mm f 1 AGS UC EED ZNPM AQ ASPC APO IF IZ Di Macro Carl Zeiss lens, 1Terapixel with no AA filter and ISO range from 1-1.000.000, 100 FPS/s unlimited RAW/JPEG backed by the best mobile OS on the market: SYMBIAN.

AGS = Anti-Gravity Stabilization
UC = Ultra-Coated
EED = Extra-Extra-Low Dispersion Glass
ZNM = Zero-Noise Pico-Motor
AQ - Awsome Quality
ASPC = Asphcubical
APO = Apofantastic
IF = Internal Focus
IZ = Internal Zoom
Di = Digital
Macro = 1:1
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I know it's the photographer, not the camera that makes a great photo, but I'll keep shooting with a Pentax just in case ...

In fact it's probably 75% already.

Camera phones will satisfy most people's needs and dedicated camera sales will plummet with only a few pro models.

Inbuilt camera phone apps will automatically fix out of focus or blurred shots, apply fake bokeh, replace backgrounds, Photoshop women's faces into supermodels and create any kind of lighting effect you can imagine.

In 10 years the majority of pro photographers will be have been replaced by a bunch of phone apps.

Sad but true.

It's not a matter of if but more of when, seeing what Nokia has done so far in term of IQ from such small sensors and the intuitiveness of software developers camera phones will dominate the low end of the imaging market with no more dedicatated compacts cameras but it will not be the end of professional photography more so because photography it's not just a job it's the passion of taking images with the best IQ possible and the love for technologie and gadgets. It may be a niche market but we will prevail. Long Live Pentax
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I know it's the photographer, not the camera that makes a great photo, but I'll keep shooting with a Pentax just in case ...

Camera phones are already killing professional photojournalism as we speak.
Local papers have little or no budgets for dedicated photographers anymore.

Many photos appearing in the local paper are sent in by the readers. This is especially true of things like car accidents or fires where there is no one to cover the story. The person emails the paper a few pictures and gets a credit without payment. This is happening all the time.

RaZZ3R Death said:

It's not a matter of if but more of when, seeing what Nokia has done so far in term of IQ from such small sensors and the intuitiveness of software developers camera phones will dominate the low end of the imaging market with no more dedicatated compacts cameras but it will not be the end of professional photography more so because photography it's not just a job it's the passion of taking images with the best IQ possible and the love for technologie and gadgets. It may be a niche market but we will prevail. Long Live Pentax
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I know it's the photographer, not the camera that makes a great photo, but I'll keep shooting with a Pentax just in case ...

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I know that's true, Pundit, and the simple fact of the matter is that with the rising costs of paper and printing, combined with the reduction in both advertising revenue AND paid subscriptions, many big newspapers have already gone online-only, or, at the very least, gone non-daily (the New Orleans daily paper -- don't want to try to spell its funny name, lol), just went to only three days a week, and laid off MUCH of its staff, including a staff photographer who's been with them for almost 40 years (they interviewed him on the CBS Evening News and showed him holding a lens practically as big as he is). MANY locals are upset about that, since that paper continued to publish as soon as it could after Hurricane Katrina and was INSTRUMENTAL in helping a lot of folks know what was going on and get back on their feet -- and a GREAT MANY of the poor people in New Orleans DON'T have even a computer, much less internet access, nor even know how to do that (it will publish daily online).

Seattle's "Intelligencer" went online-only a couple years back, as have a number of other big-city papers. Oddly many of the smaller daily papers, like the one where I live, continue to publish daily -- for now.

But I agree that regardless of WHAT they're using to take the pictures, there weill ALWAYS be a need for professional photographers, as the ART of taking pictures far superceeds the technology of whatever one is shooting with.
Jeff

pundit said:

Camera phones are already killing professional photojournalism as we speak.
Local papers have little or no budgets for dedicated photographers anymore.

Many photos appearing in the local paper are sent in by the readers. This is especially true of things like car accidents or fires where there is no one to cover the story. The person emails the paper a few pictures and gets a credit without payment. This is happening all the time.

Click to expand...

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A word is worth 1/1000th of a picture... Maybe that's why I use so many words!

Petroglyph said:

Dateline Photokina 2022:

Today the world's only remaining Camera maker, SOCANIKON

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When did they change it from CANIKONY?

It was said that painting will no longer be needed and will disappear when photography started showing up, then the same thing happend when the art of filming made it's debute. Yet still non of the most used arts ever disappeared, and even thou painting is still more of an hobby, passion and art then job (you can make a living out of it but there wont be many like you out there) the same thing will happen to professional photography but it will never disappear and neither will the SLR design, well at least for another 25-50 years.
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I know it's the photographer, not the camera that makes a great photo, but I'll keep shooting with a Pentax just in case ...

pundit said:

Camera phones are already killing professional photojournalism as we speak.
Local papers have little or no budgets for dedicated photographers anymore.

Many photos appearing in the local paper are sent in by the readers. This is especially true of things like car accidents or fires where there is no one to cover the story. The person emails the paper a few pictures and gets a credit without payment. This is happening all the time.

Click to expand...

I'm sure this situation won't last long.

The general population will eventually learn there's money in it so they'll all send their pics to Gettys and the like instead of straight to the publications.

Why would Nikon be the only one to have it's full name, wright ? CANIKONY VS. PENTLAICFUJI VS. SAMSIGRICO VS. OLYPANA
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I know it's the photographer, not the camera that makes a great photo, but I'll keep shooting with a Pentax just in case ...