Canon Mirrorless System Cam to be announced end May-June?

None of the current systems are very interesting, as evidenced by their low sales numbers (all systems combined sell around half as much as just Canon's dSLRs). The Nikons have an interesting feature - on-sensor phase-detection autofocus, but even that doesn't seem to have attracted much of a following. So what can Canon do to such a system to make it interesting to either compact-camera buyers (largely people looking for an under $350 camera to put in a pocket or purse) or dSLR buyers (people looking for much better performance than you can get from a compact)? I've got nothing.
You might want to take a look at this:

http://www.dpreview.com/news/2012/02/15/Cipa_publishes_mirrorless_sales_and_shipments
What about it?
It sounds like sales numbers are pretty good and getting better all the time.
They're horrible, and not improving. DSLRs are "out there" already. Sales should have plateaued. Sales should only be to existing owners upgrading, and a few new entrants. If mirrorless cameras are the next best thing, they should be dominating as all the dSLR owners buy into the system, and there should be more upgraders from other areas because they are so much better.

That's not happening. Canon is planning on a 30% increase in dSLR sales this year.
--
Lee Jay
(see profile for equipment)
 
It sounds like sales numbers are pretty good and getting better all the time.
They're horrible, and not improving. DSLRs are "out there" already. Sales should have plateaued. Sales should only be to existing owners upgrading, and a few new entrants. If mirrorless cameras are the next best thing, they should be dominating as all the dSLR owners buy into the system, and there should be more upgraders from other areas because they are so much better.

That's not happening. Canon is planning on a 30% increase in dSLR sales this year.
I guess I just don't understand where your getting your information that sales are horrible.
 
It sounds like sales numbers are pretty good and getting better all the time.
They're horrible, and not improving. DSLRs are "out there" already. Sales should have plateaued. Sales should only be to existing owners upgrading, and a few new entrants. If mirrorless cameras are the next best thing, they should be dominating as all the dSLR owners buy into the system, and there should be more upgraders from other areas because they are so much better.

That's not happening. Canon is planning on a 30% increase in dSLR sales this year.
I guess I just don't understand where your getting your information that sales are horrible.
How about from your article above? Around a quarter of dSLR sales (and flat), when they should be growing like crazy if they really are as great as the proponents claim.

They should look like this, but they don't. At least, not yet. So my question is, what is Canon (or anyone) going to do to make them this interesting:



--
Lee Jay
(see profile for equipment)
 
It sounds like sales numbers are pretty good and getting better all the time.
They're horrible, and not improving. DSLRs are "out there" already. Sales should have plateaued. Sales should only be to existing owners upgrading, and a few new entrants. If mirrorless cameras are the next best thing, they should be dominating as all the dSLR owners buy into the system, and there should be more upgraders from other areas because they are so much better.

That's not happening. Canon is planning on a 30% increase in dSLR sales this year.
I guess I just don't understand where your getting your information that sales are horrible.
How about from your article above? Around a quarter of dSLR sales (and flat), when they should be growing like crazy if they really are as great as the proponents claim.
You and I must be reading different articles here is a quote from dpreview:

"The first batch of figures show mirrorless cameras are becoming increasingly popular in all major markets.

Unsurprisingly, Japan leads the world in embracing mirrorless cameras, with over half the interchangeable lens cameras shipped between October and December 2011 being of the non-reflex variety. Asia (excluding Japan) is in second place, with 30% of ILCs being mirrorless, with Europe and the Americas sitting around 21%. The interesting thing to note is that mirrorless continues to grow, proportionally, almost everywhere in the world."

Most people would think sales are pretty good.
 
mirrorless camera (regardless M43 or APS-C) has open up a market for those who always wanted to have good IQ but always step back due to the bulk of DSLR. it sits well between DSLR and enthusiast compact. And I would see the sales to be increase, especially for the ladies photographer who just don't want to walk around with DSLR. Most of my photography friend (ladies) has switch to mirrorless, because the design is more stylish and trending, smaller package, lighter, and still it gives the IQ which is same/similar to DSLR.

New photographer may dive straight into mirrorless instead of DSLR. existing DSLR user may buy mirrorless as their second camera (instead of enthusiast compact). Basically the market is there and it is really a big one. Thanks to the existence of entry level DSLR, people are more aware towards what a high-end camera can do for them. And if they do not mind the larger size (compared to compact camera), they don't mind jumping into the mirrorless camp and start shooting.

my personal opinion, DSLR market will not shrink. it will still grow, but the rate will surely slower as compared to mirrorless.
 
They should look like this, but they don't.
Umm... are you looking at the same article? In two consecutive quarters the proportion of mirrorless sales increased at very roughly the same rate as the smart phones have in the same period (according to your graph), and it's done so in all of the markets except "other countries".
 
They're horrible, and not improving.
From the article:

For instance, the proportion of mirrorless cameras sold in the Americas region jumped from 12.5% to 22.1% between the third and fourth quarter of the year, a 76% increase.


That does not sound like a "horrible" increase. An increase of 76% in sales is quite healthy and that must be the reason for the large display of mirrorless cameras at some of the local electronics stores where I live in the US.

Canon may expect a 30% increase in sales but they are not expecting a 76% increase.
 
I think ljfinger's expectations may be high.
I expect them to be dominating if they are as good as the proponents say they are. They aren't dominating, so either they aren't as good as the proponents say they are, or they are just being marketed very poorly. I'd say it's the former, hence my question - what can Canon do to make them interesting?

--
Lee Jay
(see profile for equipment)
 
I think ljfinger's expectations may be high.
I expect them to be dominating if they are as good as the proponents say they are. They aren't dominating, so either they aren't as good as the proponents say they are, or they are just being marketed very poorly. I'd say it's the former, hence my question - what can Canon do to make them interesting?
I understand what you're saying and I'm not sure what Canon could do to make them more widely accepted or interesting.

Just putting the Canon name on a mirrorless interchangeable lens camera will draw a lot of attention to the camera.

Canon is about the only major company that hasn't come out with a version of this camera so it won't surprise me if these rumors are true.

Will Canon's version be any better than what's currently available and will the Canon name and marketing efforts create big sales are all questions that remain to be seen.
 
Here is what I say will happen if this is true. The over priced G1x will stick around for another year tops. A second version of the MFT's Canon will come behind soon after. The first version will cost $100 either way of the G1x and will not blow Nikon's 1 system away.

Between Nikon & Canon they have to get in par with Panasonic or maybe Olympus to dominate MFT's. They have the DSLR crowd no question. If MFT's is just something to offer with a Nikon or Canon in name only then Panasonic and Olympus will continue to do well. I sold my Nikon D90 with several lenses for a reason mainly weight, size and my P&S got more use. I remembered how much I loved the Contax G2 (film) camera after selling my Nikon N70 many years ago and how portable and fun that camera was.

Anyway, MFT's is and should find its place. By the time you duplicate a Nikon D90 system with even non fast glass like the 12-24 & 16-85 you spend the same money (close enough) on a MFT's system duplicating the quality; also add a flash.
Looks like, according to this post:

http://www.canonwatch.com/canon-mirrorless-system-camera-to-be-announced-in-may/

Should also have WiFi connectivity.
 
what can Canon do to make them interesting?
Here is what would make it interesting for me:

1) very light weight along the lines of the Sony NEX cameras,

2) ability to use the current Canon EF lenses (including their IS and AF functionality),

3) a series of light weight prime and zoom lenses for the new camera (the ability to use the current lenses does not mean that there would not be other much lighter lenses),

4) a sensor comparable, at least, to that in the current Canon crop cameras,

5) high ISO ability (by high I would like to see at least 25600 and, hopefully, 51200),

6) HDR capability built in to the camera,

7) a built-in electronic viewfinder,

8) a price point below US $1000.

There are other things, but that is what I would like to see. Do I expect that to happen? Of course not. But it is what I would like ...
 
what can Canon do to make them interesting?
Here is what would make it interesting for me:

1) very light weight along the lines of the Sony NEX cameras,
They're way too big.
2) ability to use the current Canon EF lenses (including their IS and AF functionality),
That would be helpful.
3) a series of light weight prime and zoom lenses for the new camera (the ability to use the current lenses does not mean that there would not be other much lighter lenses),
At least the kit zoom needs to retract inside the body.
4) a sensor comparable, at least, to that in the current Canon crop cameras,
Think more along the lines of the G1X sensor.
5) high ISO ability (by high I would like to see at least 25600 and, hopefully, 51200),
Try 12,800.
6) HDR capability built in to the camera,
Can't see a reason for that.
7) a built-in electronic viewfinder,
Well, it's better than an LCD or the crappy OVF on the G-series.
8) a price point below US $1000.
Body only? I'd say $599 or less, $699 with kit lens.
There are other things, but that is what I would like to see. Do I expect that to happen? Of course not. But it is what I would like ...
I'd want on-sensor PDAF like the Nikons,

The most important thing is, the basic body shouldn't be much bigger than the S100, and the kit lens has to fold nearly flat with the front. Then you might have something.
--
Lee Jay
(see profile for equipment)
 
1) very light weight along the lines of the Sony NEX cameras,
They're way too big.
The NEX camera body is really small and light so are you talking about the lenses? Hard to see the camera getting any lighter and smaller.
3) a series of light weight prime and zoom lenses for the new camera (the ability to use the current lenses does not mean that there would not be other much lighter lenses),
At least the kit zoom needs to retract inside the body.
Great idea, but then the body cannot be really small unless the kit lens is only a small prime.
4) a sensor comparable, at least, to that in the current Canon crop cameras,
Think more along the lines of the G1X sensor.
The Sony NEX is supposed to have a sensor close to the size of the current Canon crop cameras. Isn't the G1X sensor smaller than that? Why would you want a smaller sensor?
5) high ISO ability (by high I would like to see at least 25600 and, hopefully, 51200),
Try 12,800.
Again, why? I always assume that the top ISO is unusable except under extreme need so 25600 might make 12800 actually usable. At least it would make 6400 fully usable.
8) a price point below US $1000.
Body only? I'd say $599 or less, $699 with kit lens.
Well, that would be better but it is hard to see how they could do that.
I'd want on-sensor PDAF like the Nikons,
I am not familiar with what a PDAF is.
 
1) very light weight along the lines of the Sony NEX cameras,
They're way too big.
The NEX camera body is really small and light so are you talking about the lenses? Hard to see the camera getting any lighter and smaller.
Body and lenses, but mostly lenses.
3) a series of light weight prime and zoom lenses for the new camera (the ability to use the current lenses does not mean that there would not be other much lighter lenses),
At least the kit zoom needs to retract inside the body.
Great idea, but then the body cannot be really small unless the kit lens is only a small prime.
The G1X lens retracts mostly inside the body.
4) a sensor comparable, at least, to that in the current Canon crop cameras,
Think more along the lines of the G1X sensor.
The Sony NEX is supposed to have a sensor close to the size of the current Canon crop cameras. Isn't the G1X sensor smaller than that? Why would you want a smaller sensor?
To get a smaller system.
5) high ISO ability (by high I would like to see at least 25600 and, hopefully, 51200),
Try 12,800.
Again, why?
Because that's a practical limit for the sensor in the G1X.
8) a price point below US $1000.
Body only? I'd say $599 or less, $699 with kit lens.
Well, that would be better but it is hard to see how they could do that.
Then they might as well not bother, IMHO.

You can buy a T2i body for $519 and a T3i body for $619. I thought one of the claims for these mirrorless systems was that they were cheaper since they don't have a mirror box, pentamirror, or optical viewfinder.
I'd want on-sensor PDAF like the Nikons,
I am not familiar with what a PDAF is.
Phase Detection Auto Focus. It's what makes SLRs focus so much faster and track so much better than mirrorless systems or compacts, and it's what the Sony adapter adds for the same reasons.

--
Lee Jay
(see profile for equipment)
 
Here is what I say will happen if this is true. The over priced G1x will stick around for another year tops.
Why do some people perpetuate this myth? The Canon Powershot G1X is not overpriced. Even at Full retail. Some even sell it at under $749 but not because they can't sell it at full retail but because they are trying to compete with rival stores to build a regular customer base. At $749 it's a STEAL. Many serial cameras are replaced annually but not always. Canon have already formally stated that the G1X is not a successor to the G12 but a separate machine in another class. An example is the excellent Canon Powershot Pro1 which was not subjected to any successor since 2004. How many people waited year after year for a Pro2? How many excellent pictures did they miss because they wanted to wait for something that didn't exist?
A second version of the MFT's Canon will come behind soon after. The first version will cost $100 either way of the G1x and will not blow Nikon's 1 system away.
The G1X already outperforms the Nikon1 in image quality.
 
Here is what I say will happen if this is true. The over priced G1x will stick around for another year tops.
Why do some people perpetuate this myth? The Canon Powershot G1X is not overpriced.
You can get a Canon T2i with kit lens for $649 which will out-perform the G1X in every way except compactness. You can get a T3i with kit lens for $749. That's why the G1X seems overpriced.

--
Lee Jay
(see profile for equipment)
 
How many excellent pictures did they miss because they wanted to wait for something that didn't exist?
Probably none.

There are plenty of good cameras out there that meet our individual shooting styles and we all know that none of them are perfect. Besides, not everyone is joined at the hip with a particular camera, including the G1X!
The G1X already outperforms the Nikon1 in image quality.
I'd give up some image quality for the speed and performance of a camera like the Nikon 1. According to the dpreview review, the Nikon 1 has fast and accurate phase-detection tracking AF and exceptional continuous shooting rates - up to 60 fps. That's important to me for some of the types of photos I take.

Mind you, I wouldn't buy the first generation of either camera. If there are no successors, there are and will be other choices!

--
My S100 Galleries ~ http://www.pbase.com/gailb/canon_s100
My Canon S100 Blog: http://www.digicamhelp.com/topics/camera-logs/canon-s100/
 
I am sure that a mirrorless interchangeable lens Canon would be nice but by time I bought it and all the different lenses that I would want, my day pack would once again be getting larger than I want.

The G1X is giving me the quality I want, within the size package I am willing to carry. Give me a G2X after another 8 months and I will be even more happy.
--
Greg Gebhardt in
Jacksonville, Florida
 
At $749 it's a STEAL.
A steal of buyer's money. But that is ok. There is one sucker born every second anyway. Canon wants us to believe that G1x is not a follow-up of G12 so that they could sell it at higher price. But with the advance of technology Canon should be able to price G1x at G12's and get similar profit margin. By the way I am glad that I picked up LX5 at $275 (new) and satisfited with the result I am getting even though I was initially interested in G12.
 

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