It's no different from the early days of digital photography when people would say things like, "It's really dependent upon further development of digital sensors to the point where it's at least as good as film."
You also have to consider how good you really
need it to be, and for what applications. For probably 90++ percent of the shooting population, the latest EVF's are easily good enough, while providing a lot of features and benefits that optical viewfinders lack. And obviously, as videography and photography become more and more enmeshed into unified devices (as we are clearly seeing with the rapid rise of the video DSLR), it'll be logical to enable video shooting while still using the viewfinder...which will obviously necessitate an EVF. I think that's what their ultimate goal is...to develop EVF to the level that they can finally get rid of the reflex mirror and put an EVF into their DSLR's, and have no one (or at least no reasonable person) scream bloody murder or throw a tantrum. I think that's what this all means.
But of course, there will be people who will never be happy with EVF, just like their are still film shooters who aren't happy with digital. It's simply enough for something to be
different (even in the subtlest ways) for some people to not like something. However, that's never stopped the onward push of technology in response to changes in how we use devices and what we use devices for. With the advent of the mirrorless ILC class of cameras, as well as the growing importance of video in DSLR's, both categories of devices provide the impetus for taking the EVF to the highest levels possible.
This all bodes well for EVF. It's probably a reasonable certainty that all the big camera manufacturers (as well as plenty of outside electronics companies) are working to advance the state of the art in EVF technology to the highest levels, just like they did with digital image sensors. With all these companies investing so much in mirrorless ILC systems and video DSLR systems, their future success really depends on having EVF's perform up to the most demanding of expectations. They'll never be able to satisfy
everyone , but if they can hit the fat section of the bell curve of users, that'll be enough.
In this Imaging Resource interview Sony's Mark Weir who is Senior Manager of Technology and Marketing at Sony apparently admits that the EVF is still inferior to the OVF:
"...I think it really is dependent upon further developing the devices, [EVFs] to the point where it's at least as good as ...." - Mark Weir (Senior Manager of Technology and Marketing)
Imaging Resource redacted the full quote, but I suspect he said "as good as [
an OVF.]"
You can read the full interview here:
http://www.imaging-resource.com/news/2012/01/15/sony-interview-10-years-hence-will-mirror-based-cameras-be-a-distant-memory
What do you think?
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Best regards,
Jon