David SL
Senior Member
Tom,
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Agreed.Interesting speculation going on. I don't see anything about
"about to release." Only an announcement in the next few weeks.
When will first delivery be?? Who knows, we will have to wait and
see.
Maybe, having more crop-ability is always good for anyone in those catagories if the need arises. As far as wedding is concerned it's not uncommon for people to want 10 x 14 size prints, at 11mp such an image would print at just under 300dpi yielding a very sharp "medium format class" image. For group shots at weddings the sharper the better and more resolution in the original image helps that out a great deal.1) Will the 35mm format users (PJ, Wedding, Sports) really need
and/or want the larger file sizes? In my opinion, probably not.
Medium Backs are still far more expensive than existing DSLR's, I do think that around 11 -12 mp is where you'll see saturation of greater and greater mp's as far as consumer cameras are concerned. (You may not see any more mp's in consumer cameras, but highier mp's will stay in the "pro" level of camera.) There is little need for "joe nextdoor" to buy a camera that takes 11-12mp class images if he's not going to routinely print at 10 x 14 size or larger or crop images for smaller prints. Today's best 3mp cameras satisfy the need for film quality 8 x 10's already IMO.2) Will those who need the the higher resolution (commercial,
landscape, maybe portrait) opt for 35mm format over the medium
format backs?
Here I disagree, many pc's shipping today arrive with hard drives of 30 gig or better (huge) as well as including CDRW drives (750mb/disk), DVD R disks can give you 4.7Gb per disk (and they are selling for 2.50 a pop now), system RAM is routinely shipping with half a gig (512mb) installed on mother boards that can accept max. memory over a gig or two, additionally memory bandwidth (speed of communication between the proc. and the front side bus http://www.webopedia.com/TERM/F/frontside_bus.html is increasing along with the speed of the memory itself speeding up processing and data access further)..memory space is not a problem...memory has outpaced demand for several years now so that won't be a problem in the near future (even if a 14mp camera comes out IMO) As for processor power, floating point performance is most important (the processing done for noteable photoshop functions such as Guassian blur, Lighting Effects and USM) today's 1ghz class chips can chop through 6mp files like butter. ( I know I have a 1.6ghz P4 Mobile that usually runs around 1.2Ghz but quickly processes 6mp images using floating point intensive functions I couldn't imagine what a 2000+ Athlon XP would do to them!3) Will many be willing to upgrade the computer power/memory/disk
space necessary to deal with these larger files? After dealing
with the Kodak back for a little bit I can attest to the fact that
one can't get enough power/memory/disk space when dealing with
these files. I think a dual processor 2+ GHZ, 2 gig mem, 100's of
mbytes of disk space, will be wanted when dealing with these files.
Agreed, good times are ahead better quality for cheaper prices we (the consumer) are about to win big.4) Will it drive current prices down? This is exciting and I think
it will have to. The medium format backs are going to become much
more affordable. The current DSLR market will become excitingly
affordable.
My guess again is stability for "consumer"[as in $6000 and less to purchase] cams around 12mp (as I mentioned before this is just enough for a 300dpi class 10 x 14) above that, cameras will be labelled for pro "high res" use or will simply be digital backs (it might be cheaper to just provide those than have to R&D new medium format class DSLRS) but who knows we may get a few technological revolutions on the way that make it so cheap to scale that camera manufacturers continue to sell "more mp" to consumers ..Intel sure knows that the myth of the advantages of more "hz" in it's chips has been a great marketing tool to help maintain it's dominance on processors over nearest competitor AMD, the camera companies marketing teams may use (in fact many already have been) a similar trick.The question is how much is enough. I am sure most will always
want to have MORE, but I am not sure that when people sit down and
look at it from a realistic standpoint that they will need that
much more.
Agreed.Of course this is all speculation. We will have to see when the
expected release date will be, I am guessing next spring at the
earliest, and how the other manufacturers respond to it.
Don't get too excited just yet.
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