what's in store in PMA this year for Oly

that Samsung with show a mock-up of their micro-type SLR camera?

I know they talked about launching it in 2010 but they're going to be so far behind by then.
Too bad. :)

--
'When nothing seems to help, I go and look at a stonecutter hammering away at
his rock perhaps a hundred times without as much as a crack showing in it.
Yet at the hundred and first blow it will split in two,
and I know it was not that blow that did it,
but all that had gone before.'
-- Jacob Riis (1849 - 1914)

Stay Well,
Pete K.
 
Olympus may announce a new DSLR at PMA but it may not be a replacement for either the E-420 or the E-520. Both of those will run their course then will no longer exist.

The new DSLR may be an advanced entry level camera that may have features that none of us expect.
Expect the unexpected.
--
Bill Turner
Eschew Obfuscation, Espouse Elucidation
Never let the truth get in the way of a good story.
 
Olympus may announce a new DSLR at PMA but it may not be a
replacement for either the E-420 or the E-520. Both of those will
run their course then will no longer exist.
The new DSLR may be an advanced entry level camera that may have
features that none of us expect.
Expect the unexpected.
Sounds interesting... and promising...
--
Bill Turner
Eschew Obfuscation, Espouse Elucidation
Never let the truth get in the way of a good story.
--

http://www.harrystravels.com - for travel stories, thoughts on travel camera equipment, and links to my photo portfolios.
 
If anything of the last years is anything to go by:
It isn't necessarily.
Well yeah, it doesn't have to be necessarily. It's all a guess.
A revamped e-4xx. I know some say that that line is dead but
honestly, it's all speculation,
True speculation (I think). Micro 4/3rds is too important now and
the E-420 is invading their turf. I don't think we'll see an E-430.
They'll keep the E-5x0 line however. Sales have been too good.
How do you know the e-520 sales have been good vs the e-420? How do we know the e-420 line hasn't sold well? Do you have any links?
so I am going to keep the e-4xx torch lit.
That's admirably
The e-410 and e-420 were both announced around or right after
PMA so I am expecting the same thing. And e-5xx will be announced
later probably.
I don't think we'll see a E-530 this year. The 520 will remain a bit
longer. I think a new Olympus DSLR will emerge. A new 'tweener'
between the E-520 and the E-30. This should help silence the 4/3rds
naysayers that the system is dead (for a bit longer). If I'm right
that will make 2009:
E-30; new 'tweener model'; maybe 2 new m4/3rds models plus lenses; & E-5
That's a lot for Oly to come out with in one year. E-530 next year.
But what size is this camera going to be? I guess it would have to be like the e-520. If it's for some reason like the e-420 I don't consider the e-4xx line per se dead but "moved up."
Now here's where I wonder- if Olympus is doing a u4/3rds like the
mockup concept we are seeing then I don't see the 4/3rds line
affected (yet). But if they have a surprise more "pro" model,
They just might. If they do, you're going to love it!
then I
can see Olympus considering consolidating the e-4xx and e-5xx line
Yep.
or eliminating one
E-420. Maybe they'll continue to make it for a bit or just run down
the stock until it's gone.
or the other to make way for that u4/3rds model.

The E-5 if anything will be shown as mockup and I bet it won't. One
pattern Olympus has adopted more than ever in the last 2 years is of
surprise products. Nobody saw the pancake coming, same with the E-30.
I'm not sure what you mean here. Setaside2 predicted the pancake
months before it came out and many (I don't know who was the first)
were talking about the 'tweener (E-30)' a long, long time before it
arrived or was even announced.
There were leaks. That's differetn from Olympus having something in their roadmap because it wasn't. The E-30 also came out of nowhere.
I think they may say something by year's end with possible release
2010 (for E-5). This is all my guess.
A good guess I would say. I think it may arrive in the last quarter
of 2009 even. Why waste the holiday shopping season if they can
finish it in time.
Because I really doubt they will finish it in time :-) Just like the E-30 wasn't released for the holiday season. Also I don't believe a camera in the class of the E-5 in price would be affected by any holiday rush- this is not a mass market item.
The E-5 may have 12-14
megapixels (again my guess).
Sounds right.
I think it's possible the new super
panasonic DR sensor shows up finally.
I don't know about this but maybe.
Yup, I am not that sure either. It think that sensor may still be one generation more away.
If that happens, it's possible
it may have only 10-12 megapixels as that feature alone will be a
noticeable one and may be harder to do with a more dense megapixel
count.

And yeah the E-5 will cost a billion dollars. I expect something
similar to the E-3. If it has the new high dynamic range sensor,
maybe add $500 more.
I think the E-5 will be priced about the same as the E-3 was on its'
release (approx $1699). This will separate it from the E-30 again.
If it is higher, I think it will be minimal. I wouldn't think that
Oly wants to bring it too close to FF models and would like to keep
it below the D-400 price.
I only mention a price increase if it has the new high DR sensor.
--
'When nothing seems to help, I go and look at a stonecutter hammering
away at
his rock perhaps a hundred times without as much as a crack showing
in it.
Yet at the hundred and first blow it will split in two,
and I know it was not that blow that did it,
but all that had gone before.'
-- Jacob Riis (1849 - 1914)

Stay Well,
Pete K.
--
Raist3d (Photographer & Tools/Systems/Gui Games Developer)
Andreas Feininger (1906-1999) 'Photographers — idiots, of which there are
so many — say, “Oh, if only I had a Nikon or a Leica, I could make great
photographs.” That’s the dumbest thing I ever heard in my life. It’s
nothing but a matter of seeing, and thinking, and interest. That’s what
makes a good photograph.'
 
this camera is on the e-4xx type form factor, I don't consider the e-4xx line dead. To me it's more about the concept the camera is than the name when I say all this. I am crossing my fingers Olympus doesn't abandon the smaller than e-5xx size.. it's one of their strengths and they should fully capitalize on it.

--
Raist3d (Photographer & Tools/Systems/Gui Games Developer)
Andreas Feininger (1906-1999) 'Photographers — idiots, of which there are
so many — say, “Oh, if only I had a Nikon or a Leica, I could make great
photographs.” That’s the dumbest thing I ever heard in my life. It’s
nothing but a matter of seeing, and thinking, and interest. That’s what
makes a good photograph.'
 
may show up a mockup, but Canon will probably show what they intend to release this year of their micro APSC.
that Samsung with show a mock-up of their micro-type SLR camera?

I know they talked about launching it in 2010 but they're going to be
so far behind by then.
Too bad. :)

--
'When nothing seems to help, I go and look at a stonecutter hammering
away at
his rock perhaps a hundred times without as much as a crack showing
in it.
Yet at the hundred and first blow it will split in two,
and I know it was not that blow that did it,
but all that had gone before.'
-- Jacob Riis (1849 - 1914)

Stay Well,
Pete K.
--
Raist3d (Photographer & Tools/Systems/Gui Games Developer)
Andreas Feininger (1906-1999) 'Photographers — idiots, of which there are
so many — say, “Oh, if only I had a Nikon or a Leica, I could make great
photographs.” That’s the dumbest thing I ever heard in my life. It’s
nothing but a matter of seeing, and thinking, and interest. That’s what
makes a good photograph.'
 
how big this camera is going to be. I hope it's not at its biggest, bigger than the e-520.

--
Raist3d (Photographer & Tools/Systems/Gui Games Developer)
Andreas Feininger (1906-1999) 'Photographers — idiots, of which there are
so many — say, “Oh, if only I had a Nikon or a Leica, I could make great
photographs.” That’s the dumbest thing I ever heard in my life. It’s
nothing but a matter of seeing, and thinking, and interest. That’s what
makes a good photograph.'
 
If anything of the last years is anything to go by:
It isn't necessarily.
Well yeah, it doesn't have to be necessarily. It's all a guess.
True.
A revamped e-4xx. I know some say that that line is dead but
honestly, it's all speculation,
True speculation (I think). Micro 4/3rds is too important now and
the E-420 is invading their turf. I don't think we'll see an E-430.
They'll keep the E-5x0 line however. Sales have been too good.
How do you know the e-520 sales have been good vs the e-420? How do
we know the e-420 line hasn't sold well?
I'm not saying that it didn't sell well. I just believe that the E-520 sold better.
Do you have any links?
Well I remember there being posts from both camera dealers talking about their store's individual sales and forum members relating what their own dealers told them (510/520 outsells 410/420) but I'll go nuts trying to find them.

I just did a lot of searching for articles I remember reading and didn't come up with all I was looking for. Here's some.

The Top 50 Best Selling Digital Cameras:
-the only Olympus to make the list was the E-520 at the 47th slot.
http://www.gizmag.com/the-top-50-best-selling-digital-cameras/10375/

In this one (Japan Sales 2008) the E-520 and E-420 are virtually tied - 18th and 19th place with 1.2% share. The E-510 sold a bit more 1.4%. The E-410 didn't make the top 20.

http://www.photolectic.com/reviews/dslr/top-20-best-selling-dslrs-in-japan-2008.html
http://forums.dpreview.com/forums/read.asp?forum=1022&message=30525030

I know my experience only includes a tiny sample but I see the E-510/520 in stores more often than the E-410/420. Flickr list the E-510 as the most posted Oly DSLR on their site last I checked. I see more 510/20 posts on this forum than 410/20.

It may be pretty close with the edge to the E-5x0 series. I can't find world sales of individual models or US sales. You'll have to take my word for it. :)
The e-410 and e-420 were both announced around or right after
PMA so I am expecting the same thing. And e-5xx will be announced
later probably.
I don't think we'll see a E-530 this year. The 520 will remain a bit
longer. I think a new Olympus DSLR will emerge. A new 'tweener'
between the E-520 and the E-30. This should help silence the 4/3rds
naysayers that the system is dead (for a bit longer). If I'm right
that will make 2009:
E-30; new 'tweener model'; maybe 2 new m4/3rds models plus lenses; & E-5
That's a lot for Oly to come out with in one year. E-530 next year.
But what size is this camera going to be?
I don't know.
I guess it would have to be
like the e-520.
I would think. Probably uses the same body and some of its' components.
If it's for some reason like the e-420 I don't
consider the e-4xx line per se dead but "moved up."
The E-5 if anything will be shown as mockup and I bet it won't. One
pattern Olympus has adopted more than ever in the last 2 years is of
surprise products. Nobody saw the pancake coming, same with the E-30.
I'm not sure what you mean here. Setaside2 predicted the pancake
months before it came out and many (I don't know who was the first)
were talking about the 'tweener (E-30)' a long, long time before it
arrived or was even announced.
There were leaks.
Yes.
That's differetn from Olympus having something in
their roadmap because it wasn't.
Right.
The E-30 also came out of nowhere.
Yes but the leaks were right.
I think they may say something by year's end with possible release
2010 (for E-5). This is all my guess.
A good guess I would say. I think it may arrive in the last quarter
of 2009 even. Why waste the holiday shopping season if they can
finish it in time.
Because I really doubt they will finish it in time :-) Just like the
E-30 wasn't released for the holiday season. Also I don't believe a
camera in the class of the E-5 in price would be affected by any
holiday rush- this is not a mass market item.
If the rumor that Oly releases three DSLRs this year is true, I assume (rightly or wrongly) that the E-5 is the third.

But who knows?

--
'When nothing seems to help, I go and look at a stonecutter hammering away at
his rock perhaps a hundred times without as much as a crack showing in it.
Yet at the hundred and first blow it will split in two,
and I know it was not that blow that did it,
but all that had gone before.'
-- Jacob Riis (1849 - 1914)

Stay Well,
Pete K.
 
may show up a mockup, but Canon will probably show what they intend
to release this year of their micro APSC.
I thought Canon said they weren't interested in this micro format when Oly/Pany announced their plans to build them! I guess they said one thing and did another to fake out the competition.

--
'When nothing seems to help, I go and look at a stonecutter hammering away at
his rock perhaps a hundred times without as much as a crack showing in it.
Yet at the hundred and first blow it will split in two,
and I know it was not that blow that did it,
but all that had gone before.'
-- Jacob Riis (1849 - 1914)

Stay Well,
Pete K.
 
How do you know the e-520 sales have been good vs the e-420? How do
we know the e-420 line hasn't sold well?
I'm not saying that it didn't sell well. I just believe that the
E-520 sold better.
Well you made a claim, didn't seem like a guess. All I am saying is if you know this to be true, pass the ganji to the left hand side... er.. um... that was an old old song hehe
Do you have any links?
Well I remember there being posts from both camera dealers talking
about their store's individual sales and forum members relating what
their own dealers told them (510/520 outsells 410/420) but I'll go
nuts trying to find them.
Well to me this is sort of anecdotal though. I mean we could argue we have seen a lot of e-420 owners even ones that had or still have Full Frame cameras... but that's still anecdotal.
I just did a lot of searching for articles I remember reading and
didn't come up with all I was looking for. Here's some.

The Top 50 Best Selling Digital Cameras:
-the only Olympus to make the list was the E-520 at the 47th slot.
http://www.gizmag.com/the-top-50-best-selling-digital-cameras/10375/

In this one (Japan Sales 2008) the E-520 and E-420 are virtually tied
  • 18th and 19th place with 1.2% share. The E-510 sold a bit more
1.4%. The E-410 didn't make the top 20.

http://www.photolectic.com/reviews/dslr/top-20-best-selling-dslrs-in-japan-2008.html
http://forums.dpreview.com/forums/read.asp?forum=1022&message=30525030
Yeah but that's the 410 not the 420. I think sales of the 420 increased when the pancake was shown. The e-410 "never ate pancakes so... " :-)
I know my experience only includes a tiny sample but I see the
E-510/520 in stores more often than the E-410/420. Flickr list the
E-510 as the most posted Oly DSLR on their site last I checked. I
see more 510/20 posts on this forum than 410/20.
I am not talking about the 510. I am talking about 420/520. By this I mean that it's possible the trend changed when the 420 got in, particularly because of le pancake lens.
It may be pretty close with the edge to the E-5x0 series. I can't
find world sales of individual models or US sales. You'll have to
take my word for it. :)
I don't :-) That's why I am asking all of this :-) I mean I have seen my own things too... I am not saying it's impossible, but I just don't see it easy to conclude.
The e-410 and e-420 were both announced around or right after
PMA so I am expecting the same thing. And e-5xx will be announced
later probably.
I don't think we'll see a E-530 this year. The 520 will remain a bit
longer. I think a new Olympus DSLR will emerge. A new 'tweener'
between the E-520 and the E-30. This should help silence the 4/3rds
naysayers that the system is dead (for a bit longer). If I'm right
that will make 2009:
E-30; new 'tweener model'; maybe 2 new m4/3rds models plus lenses; & E-5
That's a lot for Oly to come out with in one year. E-530 next year.
But what size is this camera going to be?
I don't know.
I guess it would have to be
like the e-520.
I would think. Probably uses the same body and some of its' components.
If it's for some reason like the e-420 I don't
consider the e-4xx line per se dead but "moved up."
The E-5 if anything will be shown as mockup and I bet it won't. One
pattern Olympus has adopted more than ever in the last 2 years is of
surprise products. Nobody saw the pancake coming, same with the E-30.
I'm not sure what you mean here. Setaside2 predicted the pancake
months before it came out and many (I don't know who was the first)
were talking about the 'tweener (E-30)' a long, long time before it
arrived or was even announced.
There were leaks.
Yes.
That's differetn from Olympus having something in
their roadmap because it wasn't.
Right.
Well then. That's my point! :-)
The E-30 also came out of nowhere.
Yes but the leaks were right.
[]
Because I really doubt they will finish it in time :-) Just like the
E-30 wasn't released for the holiday season. Also I don't believe a
camera in the class of the E-5 in price would be affected by any
holiday rush- this is not a mass market item.
If the rumor that Oly releases three DSLRs this year is true, I
assume (rightly or wrongly) that the E-5 is the third.

But who knows?
That's fine, all I am saying is I don't think a camera in the market and price of the E-5 is going to be "rushed' for "not missing holidays." I don't think a camera of that caliber, Olympus would care about Xmas. It's just not tied to it.

"Look dad what I gave you for Xmas! I decided to buy you an E-3 with the 12-60! It was only $2,500 USD. Now when we go on vacation you can take it along (though it's kinda heavy and big) and photograph our family snaps!"

No. Just no :-)
--
'When nothing seems to help, I go and look at a stonecutter hammering
away at
his rock perhaps a hundred times without as much as a crack showing
in it.
Yet at the hundred and first blow it will split in two,
and I know it was not that blow that did it,
but all that had gone before.'
-- Jacob Riis (1849 - 1914)

Stay Well,
Pete K.
--
Raist3d (Photographer & Tools/Systems/Gui Games Developer)
Andreas Feininger (1906-1999) 'Photographers — idiots, of which there are
so many — say, “Oh, if only I had a Nikon or a Leica, I could make great
photographs.” That’s the dumbest thing I ever heard in my life. It’s
nothing but a matter of seeing, and thinking, and interest. That’s what
makes a good photograph.'
 
may show up a mockup, but Canon will probably show what they intend
to release this year of their micro APSC.
I thought Canon said they weren't interested in this micro format
when Oly/Pany announced their plans to build them! I guess they said
one thing and did another to fake out the competition.
Canon has already confirmed that they expect to build a camera for this market. That was when they had the interview for Photokina. This isn't new. They said that they expect to come out with somethign this year back then. Whether they have to delay it or not is another issue.

As for saying one thing then do another, companies change their mind. But really, they said this last year.
--
'When nothing seems to help, I go and look at a stonecutter hammering
away at
his rock perhaps a hundred times without as much as a crack showing
in it.
Yet at the hundred and first blow it will split in two,
and I know it was not that blow that did it,
but all that had gone before.'
-- Jacob Riis (1849 - 1914)

Stay Well,
Pete K.
--
Raist3d (Photographer & Tools/Systems/Gui Games Developer)
Andreas Feininger (1906-1999) 'Photographers — idiots, of which there are
so many — say, “Oh, if only I had a Nikon or a Leica, I could make great
photographs.” That’s the dumbest thing I ever heard in my life. It’s
nothing but a matter of seeing, and thinking, and interest. That’s what
makes a good photograph.'
 
before anyone quips, I said micro apsc as a blanket statement. Canon could do a fixed lens solution or their own non micro apsc thing- who knows.

From dpreview's interview @ Photokina 2008, Canon: (the question first, then Canon's answer):

"All the buzz at this year's Photokina has been around the concept of the 'mirrorless' interchangeable lens camera following the launch of Micro Four Thirds. Is this an area Canon is interested in?

"We welcome this move to activate general market expansion, and we think it's very positive. We're not just observing what's happening in the market with the developments recently announced by Panasonic and Olympus; where we see a new market we are also looking to participate. Regarding the compact market, though you mention it's not exciting, we will come with new exciting developments next year, so please wait and look forward to next year.""

Make of that what you will. To me this means either a surprisingly good ultra compact (G11/G12 that performs truly near DSLR), or one of those with a true apsc dslr sensor, or a micro apsc type camera.

--
Raist3d (Photographer & Tools/Systems/Gui Games Developer)
Andreas Feininger (1906-1999) 'Photographers — idiots, of which there are
so many — say, “Oh, if only I had a Nikon or a Leica, I could make great
photographs.” That’s the dumbest thing I ever heard in my life. It’s
nothing but a matter of seeing, and thinking, and interest. That’s what
makes a good photograph.'
 
Raist3d wrote:
Well you made a claim, didn't seem like a guess. All I am saying is
if you know this to be true, pass the ganji to the left hand side...
er.. um... that was an old old song hehe
♫ I say: Pass the Dutchie on the left hand side
Pass the Dutchie on the left hand side
It a gonna burn, give me music make me jump and prance
It a go done, give me the music make me rock in the dance ♪ ♫
Musical Youth 1982
blah, blah, blah
Yeah but that's the 410 not the 420.
It looks like the 420 didn't make the list because of fewer sales.
I think sales of the 420
increased when the pancake was shown.
Yeah! Where's your proof!! Where's the statistics! That's just anecdotal. LOL!
The e-410 "never ate pancakes
so... " :-)
I know my experience only includes a tiny sample but I see the
E-510/520 in stores more often than the E-410/420. Flickr list the
E-510 as the most posted Oly DSLR on their site last I checked. I
see more 510/20 posts on this forum than 410/20.
I am not talking about the 510. I am talking about 420/520. By this I
mean that it's possible the trend changed when the 420 got in,
particularly because of le pancake lens.
It's possible the trend changed when the 420 got in but I NEED PROOF!!!
Where's setaside2 and MusicDoctorDJ when you need them? :)
It may be pretty close with the edge to the E-5x0 series. I can't
find world sales of individual models or US sales. You'll have to
take my word for it. :)
You have to.
That's why I am asking all of this :-) I mean I have
seen my own things too... I am not saying it's impossible, but I just
don't see it easy to conclude.
Tough! I order you to believe me. :) Checkmate! Bingo! Case closed! lol
The e-410 and e-420 were both announced around or right after
PMA so I am expecting the same thing. And e-5xx will be announced
later probably.
I don't think we'll see a E-530 this year. The 520 will remain a bit
longer. I think a new Olympus DSLR will emerge. A new 'tweener'
between the E-520 and the E-30. This should help silence the 4/3rds
naysayers that the system is dead (for a bit longer). If I'm right
that will make 2009:
E-30; new 'tweener model'; maybe 2 new m4/3rds models plus lenses; & E-5
That's a lot for Oly to come out with in one year. E-530 next year.
But what size is this camera going to be?
I don't know.
I guess it would have to be
like the e-520.
I would think. Probably uses the same body and some of its' components.
If it's for some reason like the e-420 I don't
consider the e-4xx line per se dead but "moved up."
The E-5 if anything will be shown as mockup and I bet it won't. One
pattern Olympus has adopted more than ever in the last 2 years is of
surprise products. Nobody saw the pancake coming, same with the E-30.
I'm not sure what you mean here. Setaside2 predicted the pancake
months before it came out and many (I don't know who was the first)
were talking about the 'tweener (E-30)' a long, long time before it
arrived or was even announced.
That's differetn from Olympus having something in
their roadmap because it wasn't.
Right.
Well then. That's my point! :-)
Yes, you mean official confirmations.
The E-30 also came out of nowhere.
Yes but the leaks were right.
What does this mean?
Because I really doubt they will finish it in time :-) Just like the
E-30 wasn't released for the holiday season. Also I don't believe a
camera in the class of the E-5 in price would be affected by any
holiday rush- this is not a mass market item.
If the rumor that Oly releases three DSLRs this year is true, I
assume (rightly or wrongly) that the E-5 is the third.
But who knows?
That's fine, all I am saying is I don't think a camera in the market
and price of the E-5 is going to be "rushed' for "not missing
holidays." I don't think a camera of that caliber, Olympus would care
about Xmas. It's just not tied to it.
"Look dad what I gave you for Xmas! I decided to buy you an E-3 with
the 12-60! It was only $2,500 USD. Now when we go on vacation you can
take it along (though it's kinda heavy and big) and photograph our
family snaps!"
Well you or I may not be giving out gifts like this anytime soon, but there are weathy people that wouldn't bat an eye at giving such a gift.

The Hammacher Schlemmer catalog always goes out before Christmas and sells items like this:

http://www.hammacher.com/publish/10921.asp
http://www.hammacher.com/publish/11036.asp?promo=xsells
http://www.hammacher.com/publish/11164.asp?promo=xsells

For people who buy things like this, an E-3 + 12-60 would only be a stocking stuffer.

Stay Well,
Pete K.
 
--
'When nothing seems to help, I go and look at a stonecutter hammering away at
his rock perhaps a hundred times without as much as a crack showing in it.
Yet at the hundred and first blow it will split in two,
and I know it was not that blow that did it,
but all that had gone before.'
-- Jacob Riis (1849 - 1914)

Stay Well,
Pete K.
 
I only base my pancake claims based on the overall excitement, inquiry and people that switched here. Of course I can be wrong, and I don't have any solid Olympus data. So no, I am not asking you to believe it, and I am certainly not betting on that either unless I have data.

None of your questions or attempt to "spin back" works because you made several claims, not me, and I don't even back what I think of the pancake the way you think.

As for Xmas gifts, sorry, I think it's bloody obvious this is NOT a mainstream product. If you don't see that, cool, I am moving on.

--
Raist3d (Photographer & Tools/Systems/Gui Games Developer)
Andreas Feininger (1906-1999) 'Photographers — idiots, of which there are
so many — say, “Oh, if only I had a Nikon or a Leica, I could make great
photographs.” That’s the dumbest thing I ever heard in my life. It’s
nothing but a matter of seeing, and thinking, and interest. That’s what
makes a good photograph.'
 

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