Truth is, if a product perfprms without failure for the first month
you are almost guaranteed to have a product that will not fail for
a long, long time.
True enough for electronic gear that does not have heat or other
environmental problems. However, I would argue that mechanical
things do break down with use (VCRs for example). Again, I'm not
saying blindly go for the extended warranty, but it becomes more of
a cost/benefit calculation. For example, if you were to routinely
take your camera into places where it is likely to get knocked
around, rained upon, etc. and you were able to get a no questions
asked warranty (ie, none of this normal use only) from an outfit
likely to remain solvent, an extended warranty might be useful.
This is accepted as gospel by the manufacturers. The distributors
know this. They make a TON of money on the extended warranty. I
would hazard a guess and say that they keep over 95% of the money
they collect.
I do agree that in general you don't want to go with the standard
extended warranty, as it is a cash cow for the store.
Moral: the factory warranty is more than enough. If something
breaks it usually happens quickly. I have never, ever went for the
extended warranty, and I have yet to pay for it. I aint scared.
This assumes something breaks due to being improperly made. I am
arguing that it could break due to wearing out. Now, in the world
of computers and cameras, things change from year to year, that
companies would like us to be on an infinite upgrade cycle.