Having had digital compact E550, currently using dSLR-like S5600 and considering real dSLR was much in the same boat. Was, because I have made up my mind already.Path #1
Path #2
- fuji f30/f20
- 3 to 6 months
- Pentax K100D + lens kit
- fuji s6000fd/s6500
- one year later
- Pentax K10D + lens kit (or K100D subject to price drop and reviews)
Have you had dSLR(-like) before? If not AND if you're really certain about going dSLR route anyway, then I suggest you get one dSLR-like as cheap as you can, shoot few thousand pics with it, carry it everywhere with you as often as you can AND then make up your mind wich dSLR you really need. Trust me, if you come straight from compact body may not appreciate or notice things which are important for "real" body. For example - how big can the body be in order to fit in your favourite bag? If all you have had is compact, you're just guessing. I, having carried my S5600 around for some time, only now can estimate which dSLR I would like to have. How big/small it has to be, which body would be comfortable for me, etc. For example, I now can say that Canon 350D handle is way too small and uncomfortable for me so I can rule that cam straight out. I wouldn't have known if I hadn't been using S5600. I also know now whether I would actually bother to carry dSLR with me when just strolling around in the city or not (yes, I would, but I couldn't have known it before).
So my advice is to get cheap dSLR-like, use if for a while and then go for real dSLR, depending on your budget. You may skip the ergonomics lessons, get another compact and then go straight to dSLR but I personally value greatly the time I spend with my S5600, even knowing that I'll be "upgrading" to dSLR at some point. If you're getting dSLR for sure then you might want to save the money for that and opt for cheaper transitional camera. You'll be paying left and right for lenses, flashes, filters and whatnot after you get dSLR, so you might just want to consider that too.