will be 22MP -- and I see no reason to stop there.
Moore's law does not apply.
True. It's a slower cycle then that. But sensor technology still
improves by a generation. Even tough sensor sizes doesn't shrink
with better performance per generation as logic does.
Did he claim Moore's law applied ?
There is more than enough evidence around that many imagers are reaching the physical limits of the pixel pitch. That is where Moore's law does not apply. You cannot just keep cramming pixels, which have a size limited by light waves, unto a limited space. Folks can tell me all about their being sensor designers; if they don't realize this, then I wish them lots of luck.
A Sony engineer told me after the released the 828 that they had gone past the physical limits of the state of the art on that imager, and the results were cräp in his own words. That pixel pitch was about 2.2 um. Imager designers say that the limit taking light into consideration and allowing room to actually gather it is around 1.7 um. Do the math and put that pixel on a decent sized imager that will actually work with the current crop of lenses and not just with the Zeiss 21 mm.
Then start to work on the noise.
We have 16MP at 35mmFF and 12MP at 1/1.5x crop now. 12MP at 35mmFF
at 2700 Euro ...
Why would a 1DsmkIII with 22MP 35mmFF at PMA 2006 be impossible ?
Enlighten us.
I am not saying it is impossible. The statement "I see no reason to stop there" implies a continual, linear development track. The results from the current 5D would certainly open the eyes of some engineers and cause them to say the opposite: "I see a reason to stop there". This is not to say that things can change. However, the current state of the art is reaching its limits imo, and light limitations are not that far away now.
I've heard this from you before but WHEN will we see the light ?
We'll see.
6month (PMA), 12 month (Photokina), 24 month, ... ? How
will the 5D replacement look then ? or the 20D replacement (or
replacement replacement) ?
I hope you are right about the Canon/Nikon trasher
Canon need competition.
I agree.
--
Laurence
There is a tide in the affairs of men,
Which, taken at the flood, leads on to fortune;
Omitted, all the voyage of their life
Is bound in shallows and in miseries.
http://www.pbase.com/lmatson/root
http://www.pbase.com/sigmasd9/root
http://www.pbase.com/cameras/sigma/sd10
http://www.pbase.com/cameras/sigma/sd9
http://www.beachbriss.com (eternal test site)