I am a Nikon shooter still on the fence. I am waiting as much as
anything for the higher quality to come down to a more reasonable
price point across all brands. $8K is still too much for me, when
I will need at least two bodies and a new set of lenses to boot.
The D2X is the first that gets me close to where I want to be. A
12MP 1DMKII with it's better (than Nikon's 1.5) 1.3x factor is one
of the choices I want to have before I make my final decision. This
camera and format offers the best of both worlds. It costs less
and offers the advantages of Nikons strategy of the sensor
utilizing the best/sharpest portion of the lenses image circle. In
another year a high MP FF Canon will likely be at a price point
where I can afford it, and I'll have an excellent back up in with
the 12mp 1DMKII(if I go Canon). I also hope there will be a new
offering from Kodak, and look forward to seeing how Leica/Kodak's
10mp CCD stands up to the current generation of CMOS sensors.
My bet is all of these upcoming models will be here by this summer.
The sooner the better.
An EOS-3 type body between the 20D and 1-series also makes sense to me, but both bodies contradict what Canon has done in the past and what they've said about their plans for the future. That being said, maybe Canon will surprise us, but I doubt it. Though I am curious on how they'll make good on their plan to merge the 1D and 1Ds into one high-res, high-speed body. There's a pretty huge price difference, and I doubt they can make FF chips in enough volume to satisfy the 1D/1Ds market. We'll see I guess.