DPReview TV: The episode in which we predict all the big camera news of 2022

I'd like to see Olympus features in Nikon Z cameras.
Or you could also say "smartphone features"

Sony will make the 100mp camera for three reasons (1) they can, (2) their management adores the headlines it will create and (3) most people won't have a use/need for 100mp. Initially, they'll sell more than you woud expect, even if only for owner's bragging rights. DPR will have tons and tons of coverage on this camera.

Canon will make more Rebels for three reasons (1) they can, (2) there are more photo hobbyists in the world than there are DPR readers and (3) price is what excites some people more than a spec sheet.

Sigma will keep making cameras because making strange things that just miss the mark is in their DNA. No doubt they envy the Zeiss camera.

Smaller, cheaper lenses for FF mirrorless will arrive, but optically they won't be that great. Not like the classic pancakes of years past. But the price will be right and software will correct most of the flaws.

Nikon will make a full frame body that looks like a beautiful film camera but it will be backordered.

I've made same predictions in 2019 ...

Will 2022 give us a 20 year old tech, purposefully crippled APSC dslr complete with a mediocre IS "kit" lens and some ancient USB port? Sadly, I'm sure they will, so the dslr crowd can gloat for another year.

I think 2022 might be the year that we see a lot of people either jump to mirrorless, or stick with DSLR for the years to come. I’m not talking about pros or even advanced amateurs, but people who perhaps who do want good quality photography, but don’t do it often enough to invest an enormous amount of money into it. The used market for mirrorless is developing, and so some people that have been eyeing the capabilities of mirrorless, but saw the cost of switching as being prohibitive, may now be ok with still paying a bit of a premium, but getting something that they think is worth it too. For the rest, they might just stick with a DSLR for the next 3, 4, 5 years or so.

Budget lenses - yes, please. The new mirrorless mounts are begging for more affordable lenses

I won't hold my breath for 100 MP. That has been rumored for at least three years. This year will still be challenging from a supply chain perspective. 50 MP is enough for my large landscape prints at home but the 100 MP would be nice when my 800mm lens is too short!

Found myself agreeing on lots of stuff (that I actually knew about...). My comments:
Correct on the idea that DSLR's will continue to be made; Correct that DSLR's are a good niche for Pentax. Very funny that Ricoh would actually have to release a camera in 2022 for us to get excited about it, and quite true.

There are actually people these days claiming their 1 inch sensor matches an or beats the sensors from top DSLRs. There are actually people these days claiming their so called smart phone cameras beats the sensors from The best APS-C cameras. So it's no small wonder that companies like Nikon, Sony, an or Canon are keeping their focus on higher end models.

So I am still sticking with the prediction of all three brands releasing high end APS-C cameras while at the same time releasing cheap, Crippled, entry level FF. I also see Canon dumping most of their current APS-C lineup an getting in line with the way Nikon an or Sony does their APS-C cameras mount wise.

Overall excellent and quite rational predictions. There's just one area missing, however: In what year will *somebody* finally create a phone app that just works properly-seamlessly transferring photos from camera to phone/tablet for easy sharing?

Just imagine how many X-100Vs Fuji would sell (just an example, insert your favorite make and model here) if you just turned the thing on, shot it, then when you looked at your phone, the images were there and ready for edit/sharing, with none of the current futzing requirements?

In 1969 they were able to manage telemetry between earth and moon space capsule using what, 48K of rope memory behind the approximate CPU grunt of a VIC=20? Come on, it's 2022! Seems like the gulf between phone in pocket and camera on neck strap shouldn't be so wide anymore.

This is why people just use their phone.

Guys - predictions for 2022 - Did Fuji move to another planet?

I think Nikon will release or announce a lot of lenses this year, particularly telephoto lenses:

Nikkor Z 14mm f/1.4 S (development announcement)
Nikkor Z 85mm f/1.2 S (release)
* Nikkor Z 70-200mm f/4 S VR (suprise release)
* Nikkor Z 70-300mm f/4-5.6 VR (suprise release)
Nikkor Z 200-600mm f/5.6 VR (development announcement)
Nikkor Z 400mm f/2.8 S VR (release)
Nikkor Z 400mm f/4.5 S PF VR (release)
Nikkor Z 600mm f/4 S VR (development announcement)
Nikkor Z 800mm f/6.3 S PF VR (release)

When you talk of dynamic duos, you must not forget Sylvester and Tweetie Bird (a couple of my favorites).

My new hope camera for 2022 is a Sigma/Lumix/Leica ff MILC in the Sony A7C body shape with:

IBIS
High-Resolution Mode
In-camera focus shift
9.44M dot OLED EVF
Mechanical shutter for speeds 1/4000 to 1/60 second
Two tripod sockets both directly on the lens axis (Pentax 645 like).

The video would need to be enough for vloggers. However, this is aimed at real still photographers and should proudly wear the red dot.

My prediction for all things photography in 2022 - Advanced hobbyists will take back what is left of the dwindling digital camera market share, be it DSLR or MLC. The Cell Phone will continue to grow as the replacement for the Kodak Instamatic and the Cell will do almost all the video heavy lifting except for again, Advanced hobbyists and demanding vloggers. Chip, Labor, etc and shortages of all kinds will still be used as an excuse for slow production rates, weather actually true or not, while manufacturers use the down time to reevaluate the market and make plans for 2023 and beyond.

Thanks, a great video.

Despite all the advancements I sometimes do miss OVFs - 'Live long and Prosper' vs 'Like a Phoenix' indeed. ;-)

Probably the most certain prediction is that any camera announced in 2022 won’t be available for anyone to actually go into a shop to ‘try and buy’ before 2024. Or actually receive before 2023. . .

By which time, the next generation will have been announced, and. .

Maybe (I’m hoping!) there’ll be a lot of ‘bargain’ ‘customer returns’ throughout 2022/3 as some people find their ‘sight unseen’ pre-ordered A1’s, A7iv’s, R3’s and Z9’s aren’t what they really needed (or are too complex for them) after all. . .

The definitive descriptive dynamic duo: Gumby and Pokey, gentlemen, Gumby and Pokey.

A cautionary tale this year might be how much are things being double if not triple ordered when the person ordering is just trying to get one thing. I think that is certainly the case for some of the hotter selling items. That could backfire in 2022.

More Fuji-X lenses from Tamron and Sigma please....

Looking at the pace Pentax releases its new products, it's definitely closer to a tortoise than a Phoenix. Then again, tortoises are known to live as long as 175 years, so I guess they're going to stick around for a while.

As cellphones continue to diminish camera market share (by a factor of 2-3), compounded by manufacturing and shipping issues, camera and lens prices will consequently rise.

Someone will invent a better clip for microphones.

It seems like they intentionally left out Fujifilm, when it's rumored that the top of the line XH2 will be released this year.

Question is why? They mention APS-C, but as going away, hoping for cheaper full frame cameras instead.

It's almost as if they want APS-C to go away, yet they're cool with M43.

There is a massive push to move customers to full frame and it's hard to overcome the marketing and the influence from online forum conversations. I think there are a ton of people in limbo at the moment--Canon M users, M4/3 users, cheap crop DSLR users. People just want a solid, enjoyable system with a smaller footprint for travel, hiking, outdoor enthusiast activities, family vacations etc. Even the basic Nikon Z 24-70 f/4, extra lens a Z5 and all of the water, food etc. is not something I would be willing to carry up the side of a mountain or family vacations. I did this for years with a D700 and a brief time with a Z6. Got some great shots. But, I also got some great shots with other lesser quality cameras too. After climbing a few high peaks in the Adirondacks, I forced myself to be honest with myself. I am not a professional. I do not need the best image quality to take acceptable photos. I'm cheering for the underdog--m4/3

I am not sure how useful increased megapixels are going to be without dramatic increases in stabilization. The advantages of increased megapixels cannot be seen in hand held photography of moving objects.

I couldn't stop thinking that Jordan had lost the mic (Had fallen of his shirt and was laying next to him on the chair?)...

But besides that, I think the chip and supply crisis will prevent focus on lower-end but high quantity cameras. Focus will still be on high-end low quantity (but higher profit pr camera) camera models.

I believe/hope Canon will debut an APS-C camera for RF-mount. But it will be high-end. Maybe the "R7" I'm hoping for? ;-)
I also think that Canon will keep EF-M alive some more time. Probably not the original plan, but because they won't/can't introduce cheaper cameras for RF mount (fullframe or APS-C), they will postpone the death of EF-M.

Thanks for your thoughts. I hope for Nikon that they will bring us a Z8 without shutter.
By the way, why is Chris face yelloish and Jordans reddish? Do you use different lights on both sides?? Have a good start in 2022, hope I can met you once at Wetzlar.

Best wishes
Bernd

It's so silly when people feel they have to discredit or at least dislike reviewers just because those reviewers aren't positive about their brand. Like, seriously? If a guy says something positive about Pentax (or any other brand for that matter, but I think Pentax users are on average more loyal), then they're suddenly good reviewers? How does that work?

I fear for the world. Objectivity is getting few and far between.

I didn't see that M4/3 prediction coming, I'd love to see it but I'm skeptical, a couple $2K M4/3 bodies with stacked sensors aren't really gonna move the needle much unless they really do have some more compelling computational features...

Those already invested will surely love it but it's not gonna draw new users in. I hope it pans out tho... Now, if they can get stacked sensors into $700-1K bodies that's a whole different story, I'd settle for seeing the 1/60 readout sensor in a body <$1K and/or in a really tiny body.

Speaking of APS-C sensors, did I miss it, or was nothing at all mentioned about Fuji's tech and/or releases for the coming year? It would seem to me that Fuji would be the top rated APS-C camera maker for years to come.

Seems like Panasonic isn't really trying that hard at either FF or m4/3 right now. I could see them going to cinema/video only before long. I mean they've only really released video centric m4/3 lenses in this decade anyway. And their FF system can't be meeting their sales goals.

It looked like m4/3 was fading fast, but with recent developments, it could be only Fuji and OM digital left with real crop systems before long. I don't see crop systems going away completely, as they still have their advantages in size and cost.

Pentax seems content with niche sales in low numbers. They've designed their product cycle around it and I don't see that changes. My prediction is maybe 1 lens release if we are lucky.

Nikon, Canon and Sony will keep duking it out for specs superiority in FF mirrorless while ignoring their DSLR and only giving bare-minimum for APS-C stuff.

better ISO DR sensors. it's about time we see some significant improvement is ISO and DR performance

Everything is going to be moving to stacked sensors and no mechanical shutter, but it's a lot of fab to get there... probably not enough fabs until 2023. It's interesting that everybody had been talking about non-Bayer RGB stacked pixels (same word, very different meaning) for years as what's next, and almost nobody is saying that now.

I agree fire-sale-priced DSLRs are likely in 2022 because it's easier to get parts (largely from stock). As for 100MP FF, that's not really a huge win because most FF lenses don't resolve that... but it would mean almost never seeing moire, and some sensor tech that isn't ready yet (e.g., QIS) would want much higher pixel counts.

Fuji?

Jordan had some sort of microphone transmitter at his waist, but no mic near his neck, so his voice capture was weak, particularly at 3:15. It seems that Chris's mic was the sole source of audio. An oversight due to beverage consumption?

My "forget about" predicton for 2022:
Still only monochrome camera with a fair price.