DPReview TV: We react to our 2022 predictions

Tip for next year:

If the two of you make opposite predictions, one of you is likely to be correct.

My predictions for 2023: Nikon will update their lens roadmap. They will release lenses which are *not* on the roadmap. But not release lenses which are (and have been, for four years)…

The war in Ukraine, Covid and chip shortages will drag on for ever. Inflation will turn into hyperinflation. And western civilisation will continue its painful and tragic collapse. Several thousand species will go extinct, extreme weather patterns will force billions to migrate (all to Europe).

The UK will switch prime minister a couple of times, but none of them will introduce legislation forcing landlords to ensure that accommodation has any insulation at all. Thousands will die of cold, starvation and disease.

Leica will release a Q3, but sadly not with a 35 mm option. Sturgeon will go extinct, so no more caviar :-(

One thing M43 sensors have going for them is that since the sensors are smaller than APS-C and FF. they can run at higher speeds with the same technology opening the possibility of more "smartphone like" image magic. Not sure how much of an edge their smaller size gives them, but it may be significant?

The Pentax KF... that is what it means... Kouple Features. KF. Done.

The 4/3 world, cool OM-1, minimal improvement OM-5, as in, they couldn't even include the OM-1 menu system, and "lots of glass"...? Lots of glass? If you say so. And if Fuij can do 40-ish MP in their camera, OM ought to be able to do more that a baseline 20mp in theirs. Smart phones have more than that, and way tinier than 4/3.

And FF doesn't need to go above 50-60MPs anyway. They will, and some people will jump and then complain about noise and such, but they really don't need to be 100MPs. MF has that covered, leave it there.

24 megapixels is enough for me in any format. Plenty of resolution for printing if I need to and I don't need a supercomputer to work with my files. I love my M43 cameras and lenses too. It's a fun, affordable format and I hope it continues.

M43 has been declared dead and buried repeatedly in comments here. But for me, it is very much alive. I can pack a couple E-M5 bodies and a collection of lenses in one side of a small airline carry-on bag, and have everything I need for a lengthy trip. The convenience of the format, coupled with the quality of my still images, the result of decent sensors, quality glass, and remarkable, unequaled IBIS, makes the format attractive and practical. I expect it will be in for the long haul.

Why are your reactions of relevance? What is this strange new trend of videos of people watching videos?!

If DPR didn't choose to ignore Fuji they would have a few predictions right

But will Sony finally come out with a new APS=C photo camera in 2023?

I don't see where M43 can go - it was supposed to be ILC compact convenience, but now FF are being made smaller than ever. And while cell phones get 200 MP, and FF get's 50 and higher MP, the M43 segment seems stuck. No higher MP for still enthusiasts, and video that is eclipsed by FF sensors, and even by cell phones with "computed" DoF technologies and dynamic HDR in the video sometimes offering better video than M43 can deliver.

So what exactly is "the reason" for M43 any more? It's being eclipsed both from FF cameras and from mobile handsets.

For your 2023 predictions, I hope you look at the state of medium format systems.

Lower Pricing for FF will make it increasingly difficult for anything less than that. That's a hard reality some will refuse to accept, until they can't.

I personally predict that in year 2023, Nikon will keep using this reply in every interview

"unfortunately we cannot comment on future product developments"

Perhaps 2023 will bring forth bold and courageous move from camera makers starting with L and H companies.

On board soldered storage of 256GB capacity, UFS3.1 speed (1.2GB/s write speed). Extensible storage via USB-c port (10Gb/s) when needed. Standard video quality is 10bit 4:2:2 for 25/30fps 1080p & 2160p. No more 8 bit and 4:2:0.

More computational photography AI features embedded into the cameras.

These camera companies are doing everything they can to delay. They’re not evolving, they’re accepting their fate slowly and doing as little as possible to change or invest monies to grow. That’s been their problem from the getgo and the main reason mobile and computer companies are eating their industry. Sluggish old leaders and investors who ultimately care more about short-term profits than the future of dedicated cameras. They’re milking the profits all the way down with incremental updates. Some things never change.

Hey, nobody's perfect. With a batting average like this, have you guys considered working in the financial industry?

Anyway, you're not alone. The Sigma guy, who presumably has access to what Sigma is up to, predicted a full frame Foveon this year. So far, it's not looking good.

Here's my prediction. In 2023, camera manufacturers will give lengthy interviews to DPR. These Q & A sessions will reveal absolutely nothing but DPR readers will love them just the same.

If only I could read about this.

I'm so starved for articulate, thorough text journalism that I just subscribed to that insidious, lefty mouthpiece, NYT.

Shields Up, Mr. Sulu!

Go Pentax! \(^o^ )/

I predict we will see a DPR Pentax review next year 🤔

You guys either proved that the camera industry is totally out of touch with economic realities or that all camera consumers are totally crazy. Perhaps both.

I dont think panasonic are interested in.photography anymore. The once promising S1 and S1R seem to be a dead end

Well, that was honest at least. (And more than, I suspect, we’ll hear from those ‘rumor sites’ or Youtube rumour mongers.)
But these days there’s hardly anything to distinguish ‘forlorn hopes’, ‘wishful thinking’ and ‘wild optimism’ from ‘predictions’. I know from experience it’s very hard to get any real sense of what a Japanese company is up to for even the very near future, and their CEO’s or executives’ public statements are almost always ambiguous.
But I would like to see photographic journalists try a bit harder when they’re on their press jollies.

2023 will come:
Canon R5II
R8
Nikon Z8
Z6III
Z7III
Sony A9III
A7000
A7500
Fuji
X-Pro IV

I hope Sony can create a new body for the A7000 line, I wish Nikon could bring a Z50 (Z500).

A year from now you should react to your reaction video ;)

If you think that was a good year for m43 please send me some of what you were drinking... okay, a lot of... keen m43 shooter...
The GH6 came out with a mediocre pixel bump and poor quality images due to sensor complications.
Panasonic seem to have given up with stills-centric medium-high end cameras (the G9-II really isn't happening).
OMDS released the really quite interesting OM-1, developed by Olympus, and the unbelievably cheaply developed OM-5 - basically the previous camera with a slightly faster SoC soldered on, same antique USB port, same Antique menus - how cheap would it have been to fix those, but no!!

Great fun, good to see your predictions and the actuals.
Looking forward to your 2023 predictions.