Pure guesswork and speculation...
vegetaleb wrote:
Yep and hobbyist like me won't pay more than 2k $ on a camera body + extra weight and size, when I switched back from the Z6 to x-t3 ,I couldn't believe how much I was happy to get these 135grm less! So no , if Fuji think we will get GFX cameras instead of apsc they are very wrong. Only Pro photographers who really need the extra MP and DR and have the $$ will do it. Don't believe the angry photographer, he got his gfx cameras for free.
What was making me perplex about Fuji vision on apsc is the answer a Fuji manager gave to ''fujirumors'' website, that they won't make an X-H2 before a ''leap in technology'' meaning new apsc sensor, apparently the IMX510 32mp sensor was deceiving for Fuji and they are waiting for another sensor. So it will take a long time before they release an x-H2 or X-T5, because you have also to count months of adapting and prototyping the new camera once the new sensor is out. Add to that the other answer saying that they are not planning to do another Mk II , the 27mm and 10-24mm are the only ones. The 18 f1.4 though could be a bomb if it will be a refined Mighty 16 in a 18mm cloth, I am waiting for this lens to see if it will replace my Mighty 16
So, I think your statement about the significant time required to develop, test, and bring a new sensor to market is quite accurate. It certainly doesn't happen overnight. However, what neither you, nor anyone else here, would have is any visibility whatsoever on Fujifilm's development pipeline and timing, beyond what they are prepared to discuss. We can speculate here until the cows come home, but I think I can safely say that no one participating in this (or any) thread here really knows where that development effort is in that pipeline nor can they accurately estimate when it might actually hit the market. Assuming that sensor development (or any such R&D effort for that matter) is strictly a serial process is also quite likely a bad assumption.
So bottom line: without really knowing the details of where they are in the development process, and their priorities, no one here can estimate, with any degree of accuracy, when products based on a new sensor will actually "hit the streets." So, you can interpret the Fujifilm manager's feedback any way you wish, but I think trying to draw a conclusion such as yours is simply guesswork, and IMHO, not supportable with what little information we currently have. So, as one of those [not so] patiently awaiting a successor to my X-H1, I will continue to hold out some hope that we'll see something next year... likely well into the year I would guess. But, again, I'll emphasize the word "guess" here. And, honestly, my current camera continues to serve me well, so in the meantime, so I simply have no intention of stressing over this. I'll just keep my popcorn supply well stocked for all the speculation and guesswork here in the forum.
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Jerry-Astro
Fujifilm X Forum Co-Mod