How Much Experience Have We Had?

PHXAZCRAIG wrote:

Let's speculate a bit. Say we're wanting to go to New Zealand for a 1 or 2-week vacation. Currently they are quarantining everyone who comes into the country for 2 weeks. How long will they continue to do this? Anyone see them opening up the gates this summer? If so, what will happen when a new outbreak occurs?

If it becomes truly feasible to do nearly instant testing (5-15 minutes) without people just turning positive 3 days later, then you could see tourist/business hungry cities opening up without the quarantine.  I don't think we have that reality yet, and maybe never will due to the false negative rate.

I just lost my trip to Tahiti, so now I have an empty slate, and probably a bunch of credits.  I may have to reembrace cold water shore diving in California for the time being.

I see the only remote hope here is some fantastically quickly produced effective vaccine, and even then we've got a big segment of the US who is fanatically anti-vaccine. I see it as another reason other countries will be wary of US tourists.

you're probably familiar with the requirement for yellow fever vaccinations to enter some countries, or if you've visited other key ones recently.   I suspect we'll see that as they begin to be administered, since billions won't get it on day 1, or even 100.   So get out your vaccination books.

The fun bit is that we may see 4-6 different vaccines show up over a 6 month period.   Will nations respect all of them?   Will they all work?   Will any actually increase the risk, as seen with a recent vaccine in the far Pacific?