How Much Experience Have We Had?

kelpdiver wrote:

PHXAZCRAIG wrote:

The problem as I see it is a collision between advancing age and potential self-quarantine periods to travel to other countries. I see this virus circulating over the next 4 years, and the entire world shutting off from itself to fight it.

While C19 is far more easily transmitted than SARS or MERS was, also much lower death rate. Ebola had highest rate, but pretty limited in spread, and attacks so fast that the epidemic quickly dies out. If we get the worst attributes of each - easy transmission, slow development, 10% death rate, then we get that scenario you present. And that would be the end for happy leisurely travel. You'd have to commit to moving to a place and doing quarantine.

Let's speculate a bit.  Say we're wanting to go to New Zealand for a 1 or 2-week vacation.  Currently they are quarantining everyone who comes into the country for 2 weeks.   How long will they continue to do this?  Anyone see them opening up the gates this summer?  If so, what will happen when a new outbreak occurs?

Another aspect - the US seems completely outmatched in fighting this disease, and the way I foresee things, the US is going to be having problems for a while, and what is the likelihood of travelers from the US (particularly) will be allowed free access to other countries around the world who have the virus under control before the US?

I see the only remote hope here is some fantastically quickly produced effective vaccine, and even then we've got a big segment of the US who is fanatically anti-vaccine.  I see it as another reason other countries will be wary of US tourists.

It's a lose-lose situation, with some losing worse than others at this point.

Phoenix Arizona Craig
www.cjcphoto.net
"In theory, practice and theory are the same. In practice, they're not."