How much market share will Sony lose?

Started Oct 6, 2017 | Discussions thread
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Margo Z Regular Member • Posts: 208
How much market share will Sony lose?

Currently Sony is the only maker of FF mirrorless ILC's. They can only lose market share if someone else enters the market.

Nikon and Canon are rumored to enter the market in the next year.

A good number of Sony FF users rely on Canon lenses.

It is possible a number of DSLR owners switch to mirrorless when Canon and Nikon release thier systems. But how many Sony owners will switch back?

Will Sony lose no users?

Will Sony lose 10%?

Will Sony lose 30%?

I think we will see the FF mirrorless market greatly increase, and Sony losing about 20-25% of their users. In two years Nikon and Canon should control about 50% of that market and within 4 years 60-70%. That means Canon and Nikon each having about 30%.

Will Sony's sales drop, or will enough DSLR owners switch to help keep their sales steady?

Even if Nikon and Canon can only each gain 20% of the market, that is a 40% loss for Sony. Will the size incease enough that this doesn't greatly harm Sony's sales numbers?

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