rrccad wrote:
looking at CIPA numbers we're seeing a october spike in shipments to the united states.
Usually you can see peaks in the shipments a month prior to a release of a camera - especially with mirrorless because the volumes are so low.
it would have been too late for A7SII and obviously the Lecia SL isn't going to sell in volume.
The only new mirrorless released/shipping left around that time frame was the M10 (out in early november)
if I had to pin a number on it, i'd say that canon shipped around 60,000 units to USA.
A surprising amount of cameras to be honest, I suspect we'll see the price drop pretty quickly in the new year on the M10 down to the original M levels.
what's curious is the only other time USA had a dramatic spike in shipments was when the M was released.
(however yes, mirrorless is doing so well in the USA.. )

Curious on the timeline, is that sony really didn't push that many A7 series bodies out with the initial release, and seems to have pushed put more with the A7II release.
keeping with that pattern, not much of a shipment spike with the A7R II (despite claims that it's taken over the camera industry, seems sony really didn't ship squat).
and the last spike most like attributed to the EOS-M10.
keep in mind as you look at this graph, that these unit numbers are seriously low with respects to ILC's in general.
Here is some really simple math for you that pretty much blows your entire theory.....
Year to date (Jan-Oct) mirrorless shipments to the Americas (North, Central, and South) is 456,403 units. Canon's mirrorless market share is roughly 10%. Ten percent of 456,403 is 45,640 units. There is no way Canon shipped 60,000 M10 units in October when they haven't shipped anywhere near that many mirrorless cameras for the entire year.