Declining MFT/mirrorless camera sales?

Started Jan 1, 2014 | Discussions thread
jkoch2 Senior Member • Posts: 1,198
Look at this from the bottom [line] up...

jalywol wrote:

In some ways, the smartphone camera may actually prove a blessing in disguise for the enthusiast market....It may very well weed out the lower-end enthusiast cameras,

Canon and Nikon, if they survive the bumps, might indeed sit pretty if three or four competitors fold or exit the camera business. But less competition will allow them to raise prices, offer fewer models, and cater only to the most traditional groove of DSLR clients, which will upgrade bodies every 4 years or so, no matter the price or modest the advantage.

but it will for sure open up the higher end camera market to smartphone users who discover that they really are interested in photography and they can't do what they want to do with the smartphones....

Like presuming that readers of People or Examiner will evolve into enthusiasts of Milton or Leibnitz.  Or to imagine that eaters if McFish sandwiches will morph into trout fly-tyers.  If it ever happened, it would be for the wrong reasons, or entail monstrous results.

the same way that most of us got interested back in the day, after using a basic snapshot cam and realizing there was a lot more potential there to explore......

Unless friends continue to respond mainly to casual people-shots, which is about as sure as Newtonian laws of motion, momentum, and gravitational force.

Now if only the news media would approach their coverage with this in mind, we would not have these remarkably lopsided articles about the demise of the photo industry....

Unless cameras are a profitable business, they will revert to a rich man's fancy, sort of like yachts, antique ornaments, coveted "masters" canvasses, or private planes: if you shuddle at the cost, or even ask about price, you can't afford them.

It is not mere "noise" or impertinent banter that P&S sales are a disaster, DSLR sales flat, and mirrorless market shares in decline.  Smart phones are simultaneously the elephant, 800 lbs gorilla, and T-rex in the room.  The global camera industry is a wee appendix, as risk of relegation to "sunset" status, except as a pricey retro niche.

If the market bottoms in 2014, that may be the "silver lining" for two of the manufacturers, but not even that, unless growth for upper-end models perks up.

The total unknown: whether two or more companies can make money from selling high-end stuff only, without the economies of scale formerly offered by P&S stuff, and will a slow down in the appreciable qualitative advances.  After all, the 2010-2013 stock of cameras is already very good--even too good for most people's needs.

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