Why DX mirrorless will replace FX DSLR (for most photographers)

Started Nov 3, 2013 | Discussions thread
OP WD Contributing Member • Posts: 520
Re: observation

blue_cheese wrote:

You bring up a lot of benefits that mainly have to do with mirorless rather than sensor format. my prediction of the future:

ALL DSLR will die off, FX will remain in large bodies (camera won't shrink) but once EVF gets there and on sensor phase detect matches the dedicated AF units today, then the need for mirror is completely gone.

DX will move downmarket

I disagree.  What significant gains are there in image quality with FX?  Really.  However, with DX there is a physical downsize which is desirable for many users.  There is a pricing advantage due to lower sensor cost for the manufacturers.  A new market also exists for smaller, faster DX lenses plus the adapters which allow a HUGE variety of glass to be used.  The adapters should also be easier to design and implement for the smaller sensor.  (As an alternative, let's not rule out m4/3 rather than DX.  A smaller sensor with more nearly "square" dimensions than the 2-3 of DX and FX.)  Surely there will be FX mirrorless, but it will ultimately retain its small percentage of market share purely because....who REALLY needs it or can afford it?

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Warren

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