7D - 70D - 7D2

Started Jul 21, 2013 | Discussions thread
bobn2
bobn2 Forum Pro • Posts: 63,443
Re: 7D - 70D - 7D2
1

x-vision wrote:

Bobn2 wrote:

I have heard from two independent industry sources that they expect the DSLR market (as opposed to mirror less) to be entirely full frame by the next full generation.

Nah. This won't happen in the next five years ... if ever.

My two sources, who work for camera manufacturing companies, say differently. Whether they are actually well informed about their company's plans, I don't know, but as I said, I heard the same thing through two different routes.

Just look at the prices of all FF cameras ever made and you will see that manufacturers have been charging at least a $1000 premium for FF - compared to their similarly spec'd crop counterparts.

Of course, I know that. But that doesn't actually say that they aren't planning what my sources say they are.

This is a very steep premium for 'better image quality' - an intangible feature, appreciated mostly (only?) by select few.

But that is true of the whole DSLR market.

The current $1000+ FF premium needs to drop down to $200-300 max, IMO, to entice 'regular' buyers to spend extra for the better image quality of FF vs its identically spec'd crop counterpart.

That is, the D600 and 6D successors need to be priced at $1500 max, rather than $2000+, if FF is to become mainstream.

I don't see this happening in the next five years.
In addition to not being very feasible economically, I just don't see manufacturers giving up the high premium that they currently enjoy for FF.

I think you haven't quite understood what is being said. It is not that APS-C products will disappear, but that they will be mirrorless, not DSLR. There are really only three DSLR manufacturers left, and only two of them can one see staying in that market long term. The proposition is that DSLR will become more of a specialist product, concentrating on a higher price, lower volume market where full frame is the norm - SLR systems will increasingly concentrate of full frame. The APS-C will concentrate on EVF cameras, with the associated short register lens systems. Even companies the size of Canon and Nikon have to consolidate their R&D sensibly, and it is the choice between maintaining three systems or two.

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Bob

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