A breather and Perspective ( A bit OT )

Started Dec 22, 2012 | Discussions thread
CollBaxter
OP CollBaxter Forum Pro • Posts: 12,724
Re: It's the long term effect...

TrapperJohn wrote:

Right now, mirrorless seems to be growing at the expense of the low end dslr's.

And therein lies the long term effect, because it's those low end dslr's that are C/N's big cash cow, their most profitable lines, due largely to volume of sales.

As C/N lose sales on the low end, they lose a big chunk of R&D funding, while advanced mirrorless picks up speed and uses the profits to further close the gap. The size gap, on the other hand, is not closing.

In fact, DSLR's are hitting a bit of a plateau, we're already seeing less increases in capability over last year's model, or the year before. There is only one area where a dslr can still see dramatic improvement, and that is size. Hence, the rising popularity of the micro/mirrorless system, the same capability in a much smaller package.

No, the DSLR is not dead, won't be dead for a while, might not every be dead (but we didn't think we'd see film die, certainly not as quickly as it did). However, the dslr's development is slowing, while advanced micro systems are picking up speed.

I see it more as a equalization of the market. Those going to smaller small mirror less are going there because the product exists . As I said previously it's only on a few forums where there are mirror less products that the consensus is the mirror less is going to take over the world. Is that because its fact or because it's protection of a purchase or a path that has been chosen. I have seen the bodies and I have seen the lenses . Until there is some major break through in physics a big good lens will wipe a small good lens. From that point mirror less will not be small and although there are advantages there are also disadvantages. So we land up with a dozen of one and 12 of anther.

I do not see Sony's SLT storming the market with lots of adopters because it mirror less. They appear to be marking time. The smaller stuff yes but that's more for convenience than technology. What you can do on a small one you could probably do better on a big one.

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Collin
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