Nikon going belly up first - faster than Sony or Olympus?

Started 4 months ago | Polls thread
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Nikon going belly up first - faster than Sony or Olympus?
4 months ago

So the whole traditionalist camera market is declining these years, dramatically. All other cameras (smartphones, wearables, tablets etc.) are booming.

This year even seems to be the worst - no signs of recovery: http://www.cipa.jp/stats/documents/e/dw-201403_e.pdf

On one hand we have DSLR makers which seem to be loosing big time to the mirrorless camera makers recently. The latter already owning 25% of the global market by units in the last reported month: http://www.cipa.jp/stats/documents/e/d-201403_e.pdf

While Ricoh seems to be watching the market and has little to loose anyhow, there might be other victims first.

Who do you believe of the following three makers will go belly up first?

Nikon or Sony or Olympus

This is the most recent news for Nikon:

The company missed financial forecasts yet again, closing at a three-year low

On the other hand, what has the company been doing the last three years? And why hasn’t it worked?

http://petapixel.com/2014/05/18/nikons-financial-woes-relentless-prompt-restructuring/

Do you think it would be safe to invest in Nikon F mount as a secondary system? Or is that a dying system - probably even more so once they begin trying to catch up with the others in the mirrorless market, where they have to ditch the current mount and open up the system prison.

So being a small player with a large owner as Pentax could prove to be a good thing.

So the analyst prediction from 2013 for Nikon might be true:

“Nikon recently said they have a five year plan to address this. And my view is, that five year plan should have come out five years ago,” Mr. Chute said.

“They’re not going to be around in five years.”

http://business.financialpost.com/2013/10/05/point-shoot-collapse-why-big-camera-companies-are-the-next-blackberry/?__lsa=a1ab-7bbc

What can Ricoh learn from Nikons failure and the rise of Fuji?

POLL
Nikon: The market doesnt believe in Nikon any longer, they destroyed a whopping 42% of their company value in just 12 months, far more than any other manufacturer: http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/7731:JP/chart
44% 22  votes
Sony: Sony is still in the red as a total and many times shareholders then require selling pieces of the company. The the whole ship might sink, even while parts are recovering: http://www.sonyalpharumors.com/financial-report-sony-increases-profit-in-imaging-business-sells-more-alphas-and-less-compacts/ So the company could sink and the imaging business be sold off?
16% 8  votes
Olympus: While the emergency financial aid from Sony to help the sinking ship did help, they still have never ever delivered the numbers they forecast. But: They seem to be recovering: http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/7733:JP/chart
40% 20  votes
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