Who will abandon mirrorless first?

Started 4 months ago | Polls thread
David Hull
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Re: Who will abandon mirrorless first?
In reply to EinsteinsGhost, 4 months ago

EinsteinsGhost wrote:

EinsteinsGhost wrote:

So at least we have proven one thing. You are no eyeinstyne.
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Everything happens for a reason. #1 reason: poor planning
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When you learn to spell, you might figure out that one doesn't need to be Einstein to figure out that digital photography will only become more digital.

I think a better way to say it is that we can expect the mechanical stuff more and more be replaced by electronic equivelents -- where it makes sense. I think the devil is in the details when it comes to the "where it makes sense part". Right now, I suspect that the mechanical solution is still cheaper (particularly for the manufacturers that traditionally have built them that way). I think that it is a nobrainier to make the long term prediction that the flip up mirror will someday be a thing of the past but the question is when. It seems that there are issues of. cost, performance and perception that need to be addressed in the meantime.

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I don't think cost is an issue. If anything, it would be cheaper approach to go mirrorless. However, at this time the mirrorless systems are new and the typical consumer largely driven by "tradition". Being new also increases development costs especially of support system (lenses) and need to advance the technology to do it differently. Even the m43 system is barely six years old. Sony's E-mount will turn four this summer.

I am not convinced.  Do you think it is cheaper to include a flip-up mirror, the little motor that drives it and the pentaprisim than the display, driver SoC etc. for the electronic approach?  I am guessing not, mechanical stuff is really cheap particularly when it has been optimized for years.

Another may be that the established players like Canon and Nikon are keeping up by flooding the market at low end, cheap kits to get people to buy into their system and hope they will hang onto it. It should be helping for now.

Do you think that CaNikon are loosing money on these?  If not, then the least expensive DSLR that doesn't use a penta-mirror is probably indicative of what it really costs to take the OVF approach in a camera.

A good counter move from mirrorless effort would be to take top down approach and that may be next.

I think that there is another aspect to it as well.  I would be willing to entertain a mirrorless approach but I would want it to mount and properly work with my Canon accessories (lenses, flashes, etc.).  At this point the only thing that will do that is the EOS-M (which ain't quite there yet).  Sony has an "adapeter" but it doesn't work the Canon glass as well as a Canon body does.  I suspect that there are quite a few who would be interested if the right criteria were satisfied.

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