Who will abandon mirrorless first?

Started 4 months ago | Polls thread
EinsteinsGhost
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Re: Who will abandon mirrorless first?
In reply to David Hull, 4 months ago

EinsteinsGhost wrote:

So at least we have proven one thing. You are no eyeinstyne.
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Everything happens for a reason. #1 reason: poor planning
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When you learn to spell, you might figure out that one doesn't need to be Einstein to figure out that digital photography will only become more digital.

I think a better way to say it is that we can expect the mechanical stuff more and more be replaced by electronic equivelents -- where it makes sense.  I think the devil is in the details when it comes to the "where it makes sense part".  Right now, I suspect that the mechanical solution is still cheaper (particularly for the manufacturers that traditionally have built them that way).   I think that it is a nobrainier to make the long term prediction that the flip up mirror will someday be a thing of the past but the question is when. It seems that there are issues of. cost, performance and perception that need to be addressed in the meantime.

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I don't think cost is an issue. If anything, it would be cheaper approach to go mirrorless. However, at this time the mirrorless systems are new and the typical consumer largely driven by "tradition". Being new also increases development costs especially of support system (lenses) and need to advance the technology to do it differently. Even the m43 system is barely six years old. Sony's E-mount will turn four this summer.

Another may be that the established players like Canon and Nikon are keeping up by flooding the market at low end, cheap kits to get people to buy into their system and hope they will hang onto it. It should be helping for now.

A good counter move from mirrorless effort would be to take top down approach and that may be next.

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