Interesting read by Thom Hogan

Started 7 months ago | Discussions thread
wb2trf
Senior MemberPosts: 1,402
Like?
Room for both? Like view cameras, maybe, maybe not.
In reply to Russell Evans, 7 months ago

Russell Evans wrote:

wb2trf wrote:

They are powerless, as the technology and the market will put an end to mirrors in the light box, just as surely as it did to every other mechanical contrivance for which an electronic substitute was developed.

What do you use to shave with? I would bet the razor market is larger than the electric market, but I can't find any data in searching. There is room for both though, and that's how it will be with DSLRs and mirrorless. Neither is going to die out or rule.

dslr's may not literally die out any more than view cameras have, although due to their manufacturing complexity they are at much greater risk.  For all I know somebody still makes typewriters, even though had I made my statement about typewriters three years after the PC came out, I would have been as correct about that as I am about this.  That took probably 15 years?  This won't take that long.

Here's the thing, if any company in the industry is telling themselves your kind of razor story, they are certainly dead.  Over and over again this story plays out.  Suppose I had told you in 1995 that Kodak was dead?  The giant of the industry.  Gone.

I'll bet that the margins on the A3000 when retailed at the sale price of $300 are 2x those of the D3200 sold at $439, and it takes better pictures.  Furthermore, Nikon has to pay Sony for the chip in that thing.  Sony can put the retail price squeeze on Nikon at the low end to the point that the only margins in the Nikon camera are being realized by Sony.    Do you realize what a miserable competitive position that is to be in?  Nikon has Sony supplying them with sensors top to bottom while Sony is putting those same sensors into cameras that cost half a much to make using many of those same sensors.  That is a classically horrible competitive position to be in.

Hogan is clueless. Bowing his violin while his city burns.

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