Why Thom is wrong...

Started Sep 25, 2013 | Discussions thread
paulkienitz
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Re: Why Thom is wrong...
In reply to Erik Magnuson, Sep 25, 2013

Erik Magnuson wrote:

paulkienitz wrote:

There will be an ongoing progression of small incremental improvements. But they will never make all that big a difference

They don't have to make a big difference - they just have to get "good enough."

My point is, if they're not "good enough" already, they're not going to be. The amount of good-enough-ness is not going to change significantly from this point -- the degree of improvement still available is too small. For many people, it's good enough now... but I've also heard that one of the main forces driving purchases of bridge and system cameras in the young generation is dissatisfaction with picture quality from phone cameras.

Acutally, I do see one possible path forward by which camera phones might improve substantially and prove me wrong... and that would be to use a grid of dozens of tiny cameras to simulate one large one. With enough processing, it might work pretty well. I've heard of a few experimental efforts being tried in that direction lately.

The smartphone of 18 years from now might have a big patch on the back with fifty or more tiny cameras in it, and a ring of eight or twelve itty-bitty ones around the front. The front ones would simulate a single camera in the center of the display, so you can look at the eyes of the person you're talking to. (And your image could be 3D if desired.) The back cameras would be processed with a complex pile of software to simulate either a large lens with optional bokeh, or some kind of holographic 3D view. Something like that might finally finish off traditional cameras except for professionals, specialists, and the nostalgia market.

Of course, by then the Smart Phone form factor might be giving way to the Smart Hat or something.

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