Mirrorless Takes Another Hammering

Started May 17, 2013 | Discussions thread
Abrak
Senior MemberPosts: 1,321
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Re: Mirrorless successfully established a foothold
In reply to Thorgrem, May 18, 2013

Thorgrem wrote:

Yes... funny... that is a good find. It shows the actual CIPA figures for 2012 so the slide must have been taken from at least February of this year.

It shows that Panasonic as well as Olympus are being ludricously optimistic about growth prospects in the current year.

Panasonic are forecasting 25% growth for mirrorless and 10% growth for DSLRs in 2013!

We already have the published CIPA numbers for the first 3 months and they are terrible.

DSLRs down 23.2% at 2.60m

Mirrorless down 18.5% at 0.60m

If you were to multiply 1Q x 4 = FY you find that DSLRs are looking at 10.4m and mirrorless 2.4m. Throw in an extra quarter for Xmas so that FY = 1Q x 5 and you are still looking at 13m DSLRs and 3.0m mirrorless.

It really isnt pretty and its going to come to a sorry ending. Olympus looking for 33% growth in their mirrorless business, Panasonic looking for 25% growth in the mirrorless market when the market is actually down nearly 20% in the year to date.

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