"Mirrorless" is the future???

Started Feb 16, 2012 | Discussions thread
peevee1
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Re: The big issue, yet to arrive, will swing the top of the line
In reply to wb2trf, Apr 12, 2012

wb2trf wrote:

The big advantage of mirrorless hasn't even arrived yet and will move the top of the line cameras to mirrorless. Mirrors will become incompatible with the best images.

Well, it probably will happen one day, but beyond the horizon of foreseeable future. All producers except Leica chose APS-C or smaller for their mirrorless lines (which totally makes sense but it is another story). FF sensors and its big lenses provide inherent advantages over smaller sizes though. It is inevitable that mirrorless will eat bigger and bigger chunks of market from all DSLRs, including FF, pushing FF to increasingly stratified market where medium formats are now. But the format advantages will let them stay on top for long time (in terms of quality, not market share).

By the way, when "good enough" (compared to FF) or better (compared to APS-C DSLRs) mirrorless will really start to dig into their markets (which should happen in the next 1-3 years), DSLR producers will have to raise prices to compensate for lower unit sales, and from that point the death spiral of DSLRs as mainstream choice will be very swift.

If CaNikon insist on 4-year cycle of their FF cameras, the current batch (1D X/D4/5D/D800) could even be the last as "mainstream pro" DSLRs.

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